You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Carlisle Bell Preview
Scheduled to take place in June of each year at the Carlisle Racecourse is the Carlisle Bell, a race that was first run way back in 1599 during the reign of Elizabeth I. The winners are rewarded with bells, which are arguably the oldest horse racing prizes in Britain!
The race is open to runners who are aged three or older and is run over a distance of seven furlongs, one hundred and seventy-three yards.
Carlisle Bell Information:
Our dedicated Carlisle tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Carlisle Bell, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Carlisle throughout the season, so be sure to head over there.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Carlisle Bell market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015, when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2025 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Carlisle Bell, the over-round has been 126%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ126 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Carlisle Bell Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Carlisle Bell Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Carlisle Bell races over the last 20 renewals:
- Waarif (1:35.84) in 2018
- Orbaan (1:36.70) in 2024
- Edgar Balthazar (1:37.02) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Carlisle Bell next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -8.50. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Carlisle Bell.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:35.84 was set by Waarif in 2018, trained by David O'Meara and ridden by Conor McGovern, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Levitate won in a time of 1:44.77 for trainer Alan McCabe, who booked William Twiston-Davies in the saddle.
Carlisle Bell Past Winners
Here are the Carlisle Bell past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Carlisle Bell are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:37.14 | Priapos (IRE) 4yo 9-12 (4 of 14) 12/1 | Sam James Phillip Makin (GB) |
| 2025 1:42.19 | On The River (GB) 6yo 9-4 (16 of 16) 14/1 | Joe Fanning Harriet Bethell (GB) |
| 2024 1:36.70 | Orbaan (GB) 9yo 9-12 (2 of 17) 7/1 | Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2023 1:41.79 | Mostawaa (GB) 7yo 9-8 (11 of 15) 15/2 | Hollie Doyle Heather Main (GB) |
| 2022 1:38.04 | Invincibly (IRE) 4yo 9-7 (9 of 14) 17/2 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2021 1:37.25 | Chichester (GB) 4yo 9-9 (12 of 15) 11/2 | Joe Fanning Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
| 2019 1:38.17 | Rousayan (IRE) 8yo 9-7 (4 of 16) 14/1 | David Egan Roger Fell (GB) |
| 2018 1:35.84 | Waarif (IRE) 5yo 8-12 (8 of 15) 6/1 | Conor McGovern (5lbs) David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2017 1:43.09 | Carnageo (FR) 4yo 9-2 (8 of 16) 13/2F | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2016 1:37.02 | Edgar Balthazar (GB) 4yo 9-5 (6 of 16) 25/1 | Phillip Makin Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
2026 Carlisle Bell Replay
Carlisle Bell Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Carlisle Bell over the last 20 renewals, with both David O'Meara and K R Burke, who have both won the race twice. David O'Meara's winners have been with Waarif (2018) and Orbaan (2024). K R Burke winners have been with Bold Marc (2007) and Invincibly (2022).
Here are some of the top Carlisle Bell trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| David O'Meara | 25-2-7 | -10.00 | -2.18 |
| K R Burke | 10-2-6 | +33.50 | +25.07 |
| Tim Easterby | 24-1-4 | -17.00 | -15.41 |
| Richard Fahey | 13-1-5 | -5.50 | +1.44 |
| Brian Ellison | 11-1-4 | +8.00 | +9.69 |
| Michael Dods | 11-1-2 | -1.00 | -2.74 |
| Jim Goldie | 10-1-3 | +2.00 | +2.19 |
| Roger Fell | 9-1-3 | +6.00 | +3.76 |
| Harriet Bethell | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.75 |
| Heather Main | 2-1-2 | +6.50 | +5.07 |
Carlisle Bell Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Carlisle Bell over the last 20 renewals is Joe Fanning, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Stevie Gee (2009), Ifwecan (2015), Chichester (2021) and On The River (2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Carlisle Bell is Andrew Elliott (2 wins). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Carlisle Bell. Paul Mulrennan (0-14), David Allan (0-12), P J McDonald (0-12) and Jason Hart (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides in the race.
Here are some of the top Carlisle Bell jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Fanning | 10-4-4 | +42.00 | +24.00 |
| Andrew Elliott | 5-2-4 | +42.00 | +28.76 |
| Tom Eaves | 12-1-5 | -2.00 | +4.32 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 12-1-3 | -4.00 | -3.31 |
| Sam James | 6-1-2 | +7.00 | +4.50 |
| Clifford Lee | 6-1-2 | +3.50 | +2.06 |
| David Egan | 3-1-2 | +12.00 | +7.88 |
| Dale Swift | 2-1-1 | +17.00 | +10.25 |
| Fergal Lynch | 2-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.88 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.69 |
2027 Carlisle Bell Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 9, 13, (4, 8), 2, 3, 5, 3, 3, 10, 9, (1, 4), 5, 5, 7, 3, 8, 2, 14, 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Off a break of 8 - 33 days
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved an RPR of 80+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in 7 - 16 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in 8 - 45 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Ran in 2 - 5 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Had 3 - 18 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 2 - 15 races (Going)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 80+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 6 - 15 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in 2 - 8 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in 10 - 55 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 64+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 122 - 137lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest Placed 7f - 1m2f
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Carlisle racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Carlisle Bell. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Carlisle Bell by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Carlisle Bell Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Carlisle Bell will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Carlisle Bell Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +63.00, is when runners had 1 career win in the class.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins in the class, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-64.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 4 (13,12) [14 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 16 (10,14,2) [16 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 2 (4,5,7) [17 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 11 (8,1) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (8,3) [14 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Carlisle Bell is York; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 299 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 12 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Carlisle Bell:
- Invincible Spirit (4 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Carlisle Bell despite multiple attempts:
- Kingman (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Kyllachy (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Machiavellian (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Bold Marc in 2007, winning for K R Burke at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Andrew Elliott. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Carlisle Bell, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today? If you are interested in other races at the Carlisle racecourse, then why not read our blog for the Cumberland Plate?
Route to the Carlisle Bell
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Carlisle Bell. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Priapos Carlisle - 1st of 10 (13/2) | Betway Good Luck Arsenal Handicap |
| 2025 - On The River Goodwood - 8th of 12 (13/2) | Goodwood Racehorse Owners Group Apprentice Handicap |
| 2024 - Orbaan York - 12th of 14 (16/1) | Ice Co Supporting Macmillan Handicap |
| 2023 - Mostawaa York - 1st of 11 (11/2) | Ice Co Supporting Macmillan Handicap |
| 2022 - Invincibly Windsor - 2nd of 7 (5/1) | Digital Payments Dash Handicap |
| 2021 - Chichester Haydock - 2nd of 6 (11/2) | Pareto Financial Planning Handicap |
| 2019 - Rousayan Beverley - 6th of 8 (6/1) | Dadie Oughtred Memorial Handicap |
| 2018 - Waarif York - 2nd of 15 (9/2) | Ice Co Supporting Macmillan Handicap |
| 2017 - Carnageo Hamilton - 3rd of 8 (11/4) | Weatherbys Hamiltonian Handicap |
| 2016 - Edgar Balthazar Catterick - 12th of 14 (12/1) | toteexacta Pick The 1st And 2nd Handicap |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Carlisle Bell Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
