Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Carlisle Bell Preview
Scheduled to take place in June of each year at the Carlisle Racecourse is the Carlisle Bell, a race that was first run way back in 1599 during the reign of Elizabeth I. The winners are rewarded with bells, these are arguably the oldest horse racing prizes in Britain!
The race is open to runners who are aged three or older and is run over a distance of seven furlongs, one hundred and seventy-three yards.
Carlisle Bell Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Carlisle, then head over to the Carlisle tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.
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How competitive is the Carlisle Bell market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Carlisle Bell, the over-round has been 125%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £125 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Carlisle Bell Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Carlisle Bell Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Carlisle Bell races over the last 20 renewals:
- Waarif (1:35.84) in 2018
- Orbaan (1:36.70) in 2024
- Edgar Balthazar (1:37.02) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Carlisle Bell next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -9.50. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Carlisle Bell.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:35.84 was set by Waarif in 2018, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by David O'Meara and ridden by Conor McGovern. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Levitate won in a time of 1:44.77, booked to ride was William Twiston-Davies by the trainer Alan McCabe.
Carlisle Bell Past Winners
Here are the Carlisle Bell past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Carlisle Bell are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 (30k) 1:36.70 | Orbaan (GB) 9yo 9-12 (2 of 17) 7/1 | Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2023 (30k) 1:41.79 | Mostawaa (GB) 7yo 9-8 (11 of 15) 15/2 | Hollie Doyle Heather Main (GB) |
| 2022 (30k) 1:38.04 | Invincibly (IRE) 4yo 9-7 (9 of 14) 17/2 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2021 (20k) 1:37.25 | Chichester (GB) 4yo 9-9 (12 of 15) 11/2 | Joe Fanning Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
| 2019 (30k) 1:38.17 | Rousayan (IRE) 8yo 9-7 (4 of 16) 14/1 | David Egan Roger Fell (GB) |
| 2018 (30k) 1:35.84 | Waarif (IRE) 5yo 8-12 (8 of 15) 6/1 | Conor McGovern (5lbs) David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2017 (30k) 1:43.09 | Carnageo (FR) 4yo 9-2 (8 of 16) 13/2F | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2016 (30k) 1:37.02 | Edgar Balthazar (GB) 4yo 9-5 (6 of 16) 25/1 | Phillip Makin Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
| 2015 (30k) 1:39.11 | Ifwecan (GB) 4yo 9-6 (2 of 15) 17/2 | Joe Fanning Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2014 (30k) 1:38.69 | Johnno (GB) 5yo 9-3 (12 of 16) 7/1 | Adrian Nicholls David Nicholls (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Carlisle Bell have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 50 placings from 312 runners
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
Carlisle Bell Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Carlisle Bell over the last 20 renewals, with both David O'Meara and K R Burke, who have both won the race two times. David O'Meara winners have been with Waarif (2018) and Orbaan (2024). K R Burke winners have been with Bold Marc (2007) and Invincibly (2022). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Carlisle Bell, Michael Easterby has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Carlisle Bell trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| David O'Meara | 24-2-7 | -9.00 | -1.18 |
| K R Burke | 12-2-7 | +31.50 | +26.07 |
| Tim Easterby | 22-1-4 | -15.00 | -11.19 |
| Richard Fahey | 13-1-4 | -5.50 | -2.19 |
| Brian Ellison | 12-1-4 | +7.00 | +8.69 |
| Michael Dods | 10-1-2 | +0.00 | -1.74 |
| Roger Fell | 9-1-3 | +6.00 | +3.76 |
| Jim Goldie | 9-1-2 | +3.00 | +1.88 |
| Eric Alston | 6-1-2 | +0.00 | -0.49 |
| Heather Main | 2-1-2 | +6.50 | +5.07 |
Carlisle Bell Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Carlisle Bell over the last 20 renewals is Joe Fanning, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Stevie Gee (2009), Ifwecan (2015) and Chichester (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Carlisle Bell is Fergal Lynch (2 wins). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Carlisle Bell, Paul Mulrennan (0-13), David Allan (0-11) and P J McDonald (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.
Here are some of the top Carlisle Bell jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Fanning | 10-3-4 | +27.00 | +17.25 |
| Fergal Lynch | 4-2-2 | +16.00 | +9.26 |
| Tom Eaves | 13-1-5 | -3.00 | +3.32 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 12-1-3 | -4.00 | -3.31 |
| Clifford Lee | 4-1-2 | +5.50 | +4.06 |
| Franny Norton | 4-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.13 |
| Dale Swift | 2-1-1 | +17.00 | +10.25 |
| David Egan | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.75 |
| Hollie Doyle | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.69 |
| Conor McGovern | 1-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.75 |
2025 Carlisle Bell Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 16), (1, 2, 7), 7, 9, 13, (4, 8), 2, 3, 5, 3, 3, 10, 9, (1, 4), 5, 5, 7, 3, 8, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Fewer than 5 wins (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Had 3 - 15 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 79+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Ran in 7 - 16 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Off a break of 5 - 33 days
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 2 - 15 races (Going)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran in 6 - 45 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 79+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 122 - 137lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran in 10 - 55 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 6 - 15 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 1 - 7 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest Placed 7f - 1m2f
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 9 placings (Class)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Carlisle racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Carlisle Bell. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Carlisle Bell by adding a tip on the race here.
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Carlisle Bell Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +61.00, is when runners had 1 career win in the class.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins in the class, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-64.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 2 (4,5,7) [17 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 11 (8,1) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (8,3) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 12 (2,9) [15 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 4 (9,17,8) [16 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Carlisle Bell is York; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 301 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 12 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Carlisle Bell:
- Invincible Spirit (4 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Carlisle Bell despite multiple attempts:
- Kyllachy (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Oasis Dream (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Bold Marc in 2007, winning for K R Burke at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Andrew Elliott. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Carlisle Bell, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters. If you are interested in other races at the Carlisle racecourse, then why not read our blog for the Cumberland Plate?
Route to the Carlisle Bell
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Carlisle Bell, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Orbaan York - 12th of 14 (16/1) | Ice Co Supporting Macmillan Handicap |
| 2023 - Mostawaa York - 1st of 11 (11/2) | Ice Co Supporting Macmillan Handicap |
| 2022 - Invincibly Windsor - 2nd of 7 (5/1) | Digital Payments Dash Handicap |
| 2021 - Chichester Haydock - 2nd of 6 (11/2) | Pareto Financial Planning Handicap |
| 2019 - Rousayan Beverley - 6th of 8 (6/1) | Dadie Oughtred Memorial Handicap |
| 2018 - Waarif York - 2nd of 15 (9/2) | Ice Co Supporting Macmillan Handicap |
| 2017 - Carnageo Hamilton - 3rd of 8 (11/4) | Weatherbys Hamiltonian Handicap |
| 2016 - Edgar Balthazar Catterick - 12th of 14 (12/1) | toteexacta Pick The 1st And 2nd Handicap |
| 2015 - Ifwecan Thirsk - 6th of 8 (9/4) | Weatherbys Hamilton Handicap |
| 2014 - Johnno Chester - 3rd of 14 (8/1) | Crabbies Scottish Raspberry Handicap |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Carlisle Bell Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
