
Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Paul Merson now odds-on to be eliminated from Strictly with odds offered ahead of Week 4
- Chris McCausland remains favourite to win the show this year
- We look at the full songs and dances for Week 4 of Strictly
Paul Merson now odds-on to be eliminated from Strictly with odds offered ahead of Week 4
Fresh from winning last weekend's Strictly Come Dancing dance-off, former footballer Paul Merson is the betting favourite to be eliminated this week.
UK Betting Sites are offering full odds on who will be eliminated from the show this weekend with Merson moving into odds-on favourite to be voted off on Week 4.
Merson has a Quickstep on this weekend's Strictly and his Fred Astaire dance could well signal the end of his journey on the show with Nick Knowles and Pete Wicks following him in the market.
Bet365's latest betting odds give an implied probability of 60% that Merson is eliminated next on Strictly with Knowles just behind with a 40% chance of leaving.
Knowles ongoing injury issues though may mean that he has to pull out of the show after missing Week 3's Movie Week with knee issues.
Strictly Come Dancing: Next Elimination | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Paul Merson | 4/6 | 60.0% |
Nick Knowles | 6/4 | 40.0% |
Pete Wicks | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Punam Krishan | 14/1 | 6.7% |
Sam Quek | 22/1 | 4.3% |
What the expert says...
Chris McCausland remains favourite to win the show this year
Comedian Chris McCausland has been backed into favourite to win Strictly in the past fortnight and he remains in that position with bookies keeping him as odds-on to win.
McCausland started the market as a 16/1 outsider to win the show and has been quickly backed into favourite after impressing fans of the show with his opening dances.
The Scouse comedian is the first ever blind contestant on Strictly and he and professional partner Dianne Buswell have been on fire as they manoeuvre their way through tough choreography.

Place Your Best Bet on Strictly Come Dancing 2025: Contestants and Betting Insights
We look at the full songs and dances for Week 4 of Strictly
Week Four of Strictly Come Dancing sees one big name missing on the list with Nick Knowles still unconfirmed to dance.
With Knowles currently not having a song pencilled in on the list that have been announced for this week it may well be that he has to pull out.
Tasha Ghouri has continued to shine on the show after topping the leaderboard on the last two weeks and she'll be looking to do so again with a Charleston this week.
- Montell Douglas and Johannes Radebe - Viennese Waltz to Nobody Gets Me by SZA
- Punam Krishan and Gorka Márquez - Jive to 2 Be Loved (Am I Ready) by Lizzo
- Sam Quek MBE and Nikita Kuzmin - Samba to Hips Don’t Lie by Shakira
- Sarah Hadland and Vito Coppola - Foxtrot to Birds Of A Feather by Billie Eilish
- Tasha Ghouri and Aljaž Škorjanec - Charleston to Unhealthy by Anne-Marie, Shania Twain
- Chris McCausland and Dianne Buswell - Salsa to Down Under by Men At Work
- Jamie Borthwick and Michelle Tsiakkas - Salsa to Danza Kuduro by Don Omar ft. Lucenzo
- JB Gill and Amy Dowden - Rumba to You Might Need Somebody by Kara Marni
- Paul Merson and Karen Hauer - Quickstep to I Won’t Dance by Fred Astaire
- Pete Wicks and Jowitza Przystal - Quickstep to Town Called Malice by The Jam
- Shayne Ward and Nancy Xu - Cha Cha to Ain’t No Love (Ain’t No Use) by Sub Sub feat. Melanie Williams
- Wynne Evans and Katya Jones - Tango to Money, Money, Money by ABBA