Horse Racing Trainers To Follow In July

July Trainers

• We move into the second half of the year carrying forward triple-figure profits (+£115.49).  

• Last July was our first blog after the Covid interruptions and it was a bit of a disaster, none of the figures really held up as we went with just NH trainers so I'm going to ignore last year's figures apart from the one trainer that gave +£61.00 LSP.  

• We will go back to the 2019 figures again and go with all the profitable trainers from July that year.  

• There will be 10 trainers in total and we will have an interest on both sides of the Irish Sea.

 

FLAT TURF GB

I will include the figures for 2020 but there will have less importance than normal due to covid and the differing schedules to usual.

 

HUGHIE MORRISON (4yo+)

Shrewd Berkshire trainer who usually goes well this month with his older horses.

• 2015 2/12 17% +£9.00
• 2016 4/19 21% +£7.25
• 2017 4/16 25% +£10.50
• 2018 2/9 22% +£2.25
• 2019 3/18 17% +£3.00
• 2020 3/12 25% +£11.83

Profit every year and interesting to see that continued even last year, just his older horses though as his record is not as good with the 2&3yo's.

 

RICHARD SPENCER (ALL)

Up and coming Newmarket trainer who has gone well in July in all but his first year training.

• 2016     0/8     0%     (£8.00)
• 2017     2/6    33%   +£22.00
• 2018     7/21  33%   +£14.68
• 2019     5/31  16%    +£  1.69
• 2020     4/37  11%    +£16.50

Our own Early price figures where much better than the SP in 2019 and interesting that he also showed a LSP last year.

 

SIR MARK PRESCOTT (3YO's)

Very shrewd Newmarket trainer, probably doesn't have the quality of horse that he used to but a master when stepping horses up in trip, this is the month he usually gets his 3yo's going.

• 2015     3/11     27%     (£4.72)
• 2016     7/15     47%    +£18.51
• 2017     3/14     21%     (£4.43)
• 2018    16/27    59%    +£17.86
• 2019     7/17     41%     +£11.67
• 2020     8/18     44%     +£  2.44

Fantastic strike rate year on year with his 3yos and comes into the month 7/15 in June with a +£11 LSP.

 

GEORGE SCOTT (ALL)

Another Newmarket trainer wiith a similar profile to Spencer, the 118 rated James Garfield is probably his most notable runner to date.

• 2016     4/18     22%     +£21.13
• 2017     3/12     25%      (£ 5.33)
• 2018     7/16     44%     +£ 3.11
• 2019     4/21     19%      +£ 0.88
• 2020     1/24       4%       (£21.38)

We're not going to worry about last year, I'm quite glad he didn't do well as I was starting to think we might have missed a trick last year.

 

MARK JOHNSTON (Glorious Goodwood)

A trainer we follow every year at Glorious Goodwood, the meeting is entirely in July this year which is nice.  I don't have the exact figures but we usually do well with him.  We made a small profit in 2019 +£2.50 and 5/39 but he went close with some big-priced horses.  Last year wasn't so good but the lack of owners attending may have influenced this as I know he usually targets the meeting for his owners.

GB AW

 

MARCO BOTTI (3yo's)

An AW blog regular, we have made a profit from his AW 3yo's in recent years.

• 2015     2/9     22%     (£0.25)
• 2016     1/3     33%    +£3.50
• 2017     2/8     25%    +£3.50
• 2018     2/7     29%    +£7.38
• 2019     1/8     13%     +£7.00
• 2020     1/3     33%    +£3.50

Won't keep us too busy but usually slots a couple of nice-priced winners in.  

GB NH

 

NEIL KING (ALL)

Wiltshire trainer who's stable star is still Lil Rockerfeller, usually goes well in July.

• 2016     1/10     10%     +£5.00
• 2017     0/1        0%      (£1.00)
• 2018     3/14     21%     +£28.00
• 2019     3/12     25%     +£10.88
• 2020     3/11     27%     +£44.00

We had two of his winners at 60's and 12's and he also had four seconds so it was a fantastic month.

 

PETER BOWEN (ALL)

A trainer that usually makes hay while the sun shines.  He can normally be relied upon throughout the summer and his results in May and June have been really good.

• 2017     7/29     24%    +£ 9.25
• 2018    10/40    25%    +£56.53
• 2019     5/32     16%      (£2.75)
• 2020     0/39      0%      (£39.00)

I've just written off last year, lockdown clearly had a massive effect on the stable as he only had 2 winners between March and September, has done really well for us in June and no reason why that should change.  We made a +£2.60 profit in 2019 as well.

 

CHARLIE LONGSDON (ALL)

Has become a regular in July but we need an upturn in results this year if we are to continue with him.

• 2015     2/9     22%     +£0.00
• 2016     2/15   13%     +£3.00
• 2017     4/15   27%     +£2.25
• 2018     4/17   24%     +£20.00
• 2019     1/14    7%      +£1.00
• 2020     3/21    14%      (£6.50)

Not worried about last year and our own figures showed double the profit in 2019 so we'll give him another chance.

 

 

IRISH NH

WILLIE MULLINS (ALL) + GALWAY (1st August)

Had been the star of the show in recent July blogs, not so good last year but expect a big Galway which is almost all in July this year.

• 2013 10/31 32% +£ 3.49
• 2014 14/31 45% +£10.66
• 2015 14/51 27% (£16.23)
• 2016 18/44 41% +£12.54
• 2017 16/43 37% +£4.72
• 2018 20/39 51% +£25.37
• 2019 8/27   30%  (£6.63)
• 2020 10/42 24%   (£8.72)

Our own figures were almost level in 2019 and didn't include some Galway winners in August, I would advise following him throughout the festival.

 

IRISH FLAT

WILLIE MULLINS (ALL) + GALWAY (1st August)

Massive profits for Mullins on the flat in July 2019, most were at Galway but he did have success outside of the festival.

• 2015 4/7 57% +£8.67
• 2016 2/4 50% +£5.73
• 2017 4/18 22% +£19.38
• 2018 5/14 36% +£18.42
• 2019 6/18 33%  +£8.39
• 2020 1/14   7%   (£10.00)

Again I'm not too worried about last year as a lot of the festival was in August so wouldn't show in the 2020 figures.   

I was close to putting Gavin Cromwell in the NH section as he did really well for us in 2019 but 2020 was horrendous and June this year was worse so I think he's too risky, it might be worth monitoring him at the start of the month though.  

Please leave me any comments or questions below, I love receiving feedback on the blog and hope we can find some winners together!

 

 

 

 

Results

1st - Nothing to shout about on day one.     0/3     (£3.00)

2nd - Best result today was a NR!     0/4     (£4.00)

3rd - More like it today, a Scott winner at 9's and a Prescott second at 16's.     1/3     +£7.00

4th - Poor day again.     0/4     (£4.00)

5th - Winner early thefour placed.     1/7     (£2.60)

6th - Slow start continues.     0/3     (£3.00)

7th - Same story today at least we don't have loads of runners.     0/3     (£3.00)

8th - Jeez nothing even close today.     0/5     (£5.00)

9th - A winner at last but 4/7!     1/6     (£4.43)

10th - Not even Mullins could get us a winner today, NH runners tomorrow so hopefully they fair better.     0/6     (£6.00)

11th - The bad run continues on the NH.     0/6     (£6.00)

12th - Bowen's form is becoming a worry.  0/2     (£2.00)

13th - Slightly better today with a place for Prescott and a winner for Mullins at 7/4 (returned evens).     1/6     (£3.25)

14th - Much better today, seconds at 8's, 9/2 and 9/4 then Botti landed us some massive EP gains with his 6's winner that was backed at 16's in the morning.     1/6     +£11.00

15th - Another good day with a double for Scott at Epsom + a real shorty for Mullins, Longsdon went really close at 9's.     3/7     +£8.00

16th - Poor day, Mullins needs to improve before Galway.     0/6     (£6.00)

17th - A lovely Bowen double at M Rasen at 11's and 11/4 and Scott went really close at 16's.     2/5     +£10.75

18th - Just the one runner today, another Bowen winner.     1/1     +£1.25

19th - Another winner for Mr Bowen.     1/3     +£2.50

20th - Second and a fourth today.     0/2     (£2.00)

21st - Two seconds and a third today.     0/3     (£3.00)

22nd - Longsdon winner in the afternoon then three placed in the evening.     1/7     (£3.40)

23rd - 3 out of 4 placed, no winners.     0/4     (£4.00)

24th - Just one runner on Saturday...wow, it was second.     0/1     (£1.00)

25th - Two runners today, a third was the best we could do.     0/2     (£2.00)

26th - Bad start to the final week.     0/10     (£10.00)

27th - Nothing from the festivals again but a 10's winner for Longsdon gives us a small profit.     2/12     +£1.12

28th - Johnstons form is a real worry but Mullins landed a 11/2 and 7.8 winner and a 28's second (bet at 60!)     2/21     (£6.70)

29th - A nice winner for Johnston at last and a 4 timer for Mullins.     5/27     +£14.38

30th - Similar to yesterday, nice winner for Johnston (and one just touched off at 20's), a treble for Mullins.     4/24     +£4.75

31st - A miserable final day means we end the month with a loss but we still carry a healthy profit to August.     0/12     (£12.00)

 

Monthly Total

26/211     12.32%     (£35.63)

 

Yearly Total

298/1684     17.70%     +£79.86