
You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
This monthly updated article will take you through a meticulous analysis of trainer form by month, based on historical performance data. You will discover which trainers consistently shine in specific months.
The Comprehensive Guide to Horse Racing Trainer Form

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Horse Racing Trainers to Follow September 2025
For September, we are focusing on five flat trainers who have combined for a LSP of +427.89 over the previous five seasons, meeting the criteria listed below.
Here is how the five trainers included below have combined over the past five years:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 40 | 10 | 25% | +126.00 |
2021 | 51 | 18 | 35% | +39.94 |
2022 | 42 | 13 | 31% | +80.38 |
2023 | 53 | 14 | 26% | +31.79 |
2024 | 61 | 21 | 34% | +149.78 |
Total | 247 | 76 | 31% | +427.89 |
Michael Appleby
The filter that we are going to use for Michael Appleby's runners in September is focusing on his runners over 5f - 6f who have had 2 or more starts this season and are the youngest in the race (or joint-youngest).
This filter has produced profits in four of the last five seasons, with the season which didn't only recording a small loss, and combined, the last five seasons produced an LSP of +108.63.
Here are the top three winners from Michael Appleby from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Fantasy Master (80/1)
- Eminny (25/1)
- Tyke (12/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Michael Appleby runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 10 | 1 | 10% | +71.00 |
2021 | 9 | 4 | 44% | +14.63 |
2022 | 11 | 2 | 18% | -2.00 |
2023 | 13 | 2 | 15% | +3.25 |
2024 | 11 | 3 | 27% | +21.75 |
Total | 54 | 12 | 22% | +108.63 |
Clive Cox
When it comes to Clive Cox for his runners sent out in September, we will be concentrating on those sent out in the South or Central England, so we are ignoring anything sent to Northern or Scottish tracks. We are also looking for runners who have made 3-4 starts that season without recording a win.
All of the last five seasons using those filters returned a profit, some bigger than bigger, but a profit is a profit, and overall those five seasons combined for an LSP of +105.08.
Here are the top three winners from Clive Cox from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Aysgarth (22/1)
- Miss Show Down (16/1)
- Star In The Making (16/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Clive Cox runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 14 | 6 | 43% | +40.50 |
2021 | 10 | 4 | 40% | +22.83 |
2022 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.25 |
2023 | 8 | 2 | 25% | +6.25 |
2024 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +35.25 |
Total | 43 | 16 | 37% | +105.08 |
Jamie Osborne
Here we a going with the father and daughter team of Jamie and Saffie Osborne when the pair team up in races over 6f - 1m2f in Class 3 or lower and when the runner has made 2 or more season starts.
This criteria has produced profits in four of the last five starts including all of the last three and over those five seasons has returned an LSP of +102.13.
Here are the top three winners from Jamie Osborne from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Raising Sand (40/1)
- Ten Club (25/1)
- Imperium Blue (18/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Jamie Osborne runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 12 | 2 | 17% | +11.00 |
2021 | 20 | 5 | 25% | -2.37 |
2022 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +62.00 |
2023 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +12.50 |
2024 | 12 | 2 | 17% | +19.00 |
Total | 63 | 14 | 22% | +102.13 |
William Haggas
A fairly straighforward one for William Haggas here for September, we are looking for his runners over 6f - 1m with Cieren Fallon in saddle who is following in his dads footstep as Kieren Fallon rode 20 winners for Haggas.
This has proven profitable in four of the last five season with a small loss in 2022, overall it shows an LSP of +76.48 with a strike rate of around 1 winner in every 3 picks.
Here are the top three winners from William Haggas from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Yabher (33/1)
- Montassib (25/1)
- Apache Green (16/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those William Haggas runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.50 |
2021 | 6 | 4 | 67% | +3.35 |
2022 | 8 | 1 | 13% | -2.50 |
2023 | 10 | 3 | 30% | +3.33 |
2024 | 22 | 7 | 32% | +68.80 |
Total | 50 | 16 | 32% | +76.48 |
Ralph Beckett
The final trainer is Ralph Beckett and we are concentrating on his 2yo's when Hector Crouch is booked in the saddle.
This combo has shown a profit for the past four seasons which combines for an LSP of +35.57 from just 37 runners and it also has a strike rate of 49%!
Here are the top three winners from Ralph Beckett from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Trust The Stars (9/1)
- Classic Order (7/1)
- Amber Dew (13/2)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Ralph Beckett runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0 | 0 | 0% | +0.00 |
2021 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +1.50 |
2022 | 11 | 6 | 55% | +22.63 |
2023 | 12 | 5 | 42% | +6.46 |
2024 | 8 | 6 | 75% | +4.98 |
Total | 37 | 18 | 49% | +35.57 |
Monthly Statistics
Here is a full list of runners who have run under these conditions this month.
Date | Trainer | Runner | Race | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|
17/09/2025 | Jamie Osborne | Neardown | 20:00 Wolverhampton | To Run |
14/09/2025 | Michael Appleby | Winchurch | 17:18 Doncaster | Non Runner |
14/09/2025 | Clive Cox | Supreme Diamond | 16:18 Bath | Won (5/2) |
14/09/2025 | Jamie Osborne | Crystal Mariner | 13:20 Doncaster | Placed 2nd (25/1) |
13/09/2025 | Ralph Beckett | Cape Orator | 13:50 Doncaster | Lost (9/1) |
13/09/2025 | William Haggas | Wild Dahlia | 13:35 Chester | Lost (2/1) |
12/09/2025 | William Haggas | Purple Rainbow | 16:50 Sandown | Lost (9/4) |
12/09/2025 | Michael Appleby | Yorkshire Puds | 16:45 Doncaster | Non Runner |
12/09/2025 | Ralph Beckett | Wid | 16:10 Doncaster | Lost (5/1) |
11/09/2025 | Ralph Beckett | Zen Diva | 13:25 Chelmsford City | Placed 2nd (6/4) |
11/09/2025 | William Haggas | Concert | 13:15 Doncaster | Lost (11/1) |
09/09/2025 | Jamie Osborne | Palio Di Siena | 17:55 Ffos Las | Won (3/1) |
09/09/2025 | Ralph Beckett | Spanish Waltz | 17:20 Ffos Las | Placed 2nd (11/4) |
08/09/2025 | Michael Appleby | Coul Angel | 17:34 Windsor | Lost (2/1) |
08/09/2025 | Michael Appleby | Clover Time | 16:58 Lingfield | Placed 2nd (17/2) |
07/09/2025 | William Haggas | Elmonjed | 16:30 York | Won (5/1) |
07/09/2025 | William Haggas | Crown Office | 14:30 York | Lost (9/4) |
06/09/2025 | William Haggas | Binhareer | 16:25 Ascot | Placed 3rd (3/1) |
06/09/2025 | Michael Appleby | Big Mojo | 15:35 Haydock | Won (16/1) |
06/09/2025 | William Haggas | Maltese Cross | 13:40 Ascot | Placed 2nd (11/2) |
05/09/2025 | Ralph Beckett | Joulany | 17:47 Kempton | Placed 2nd (5/6) |
05/09/2025 | Clive Cox | Star Anthem | 16:40 Ascot | Lost (25/1) |
05/09/2025 | Jamie Osborne | Hickory | 16:05 Ascot | Won (6/1) |
04/09/2025 | William Haggas | Gaspacho | 15:00 Haydock | Lost (11/10) |
03/09/2025 | Jamie Osborne | Al Waqidi | 17:05 Lingfield | Lost (9/1) |
03/09/2025 | Jamie Osborne | Must Be Ten | 15:05 Lingfield | Lost (22/1) |
01/09/2025 | William Haggas | Hardys Hero | 14:30 Carlisle | Won (13/8) |
This is a breakdown of how each trainer has performed in the current month.
Trainer | Runners | Winners | LSP |
---|---|---|---|
Michael Appleby | 3 | 1 | +14.00 |
Clive Cox | 2 | 1 | +1.50 |
Jamie Osborne | 5 | 2 | +6.00 |
William Haggas | 9 | 2 | -0.37 |
Ralph Beckett | 5 | 0 | -5.00 |
Total | 24 | 6 | +16.13 |
Horse Racing Trainers to Follow October 2025
As we move into October, the last full month of flat racing on the turf, we have a mixture of three flat trainers and two jump trainers that we are focusing on.
These five trainers, under the conditions listed below, have combined for an LSP of +435.21 over the past five seasons.
Here is how the five trainers included below have combined over the past five years:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 78 | 18 | 23% | +81.26 |
2021 | 58 | 19 | 33% | +57.08 |
2022 | 74 | 18 | 24% | +141.54 |
2023 | 79 | 22 | 28% | +74.96 |
2024 | 77 | 23 | 30% | +80.37 |
Total | 366 | 100 | 27% | +435.21 |
Iain Jardine
Iain Jardine is top of the list for trainers to follow in October, the flat trainer based in Carrutherstown. We are looking for his runners, not too far from home.
Just two courses we are focusing on for his runners in handicaps that run at either Musselburgh or Newcastle, but ignore those running over 1m.
When considering those, he has made a profit in four of the last five seasons and combined for an overall LSP of +130.54.
Here are the top three winners from Iain Jardine from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Wee Fat Mac (40/1)
- Gobi Sunset (25/1)
- Loom Large (20/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Iain Jardine runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 12 | 1 | 8% | +1.00 |
2021 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +10.33 |
2022 | 18 | 5 | 28% | +54.38 |
2023 | 19 | 6 | 32% | +67.50 |
2024 | 12 | 2 | 17% | -2.67 |
Total | 70 | 17 | 24% | +130.54 |
Jonjo & A J O'Neill
Here we are focusing on the O'Neills, Jonjo and his son AJ, who was brought in on the license last year. We are looking for their season debutants over Hurdles in races that are either Class 3 or 5.
They have had some good season (mainly just when Jonjo) with four profits in the last five season for a combined LSP of +125.20.
Here are the top three winners from Jonjo & A J O'Neill from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Gwennie May Boy (80/1)
- Prince Escalus (33/1)
- Gaston Phebus (11/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Jonjo & A J O'Neill runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 21 | 5 | 24% | +34.80 |
2021 | 15 | 5 | 33% | +17.75 |
2022 | 17 | 5 | 29% | +75.78 |
2023 | 23 | 4 | 17% | -4.63 |
2024 | 14 | 3 | 21% | +1.50 |
Total | 90 | 22 | 24% | +125.20 |
Ralph Beckett
Ralph Beckett appears to be good at ending the flat season is decent form but we are not looking for his top class runners, we are focusing on those in Class 4 or 5 races which are run over a mile (or extended mile).
Last season was a bumper year with a 44% strike rate (8-18) and an LSP of +34.73 which contributed to his LSP of +73.46 over the past five seasons, he has shown a profit each season.
Here are the top three winners from Ralph Beckett from the past five years when using this criteria:
- I Am I Said (20/1)
- Artistic Star (16/1)
- Scope (16/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Ralph Beckett runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 19 | 5 | 26% | +24.00 |
2021 | 14 | 4 | 29% | +6.00 |
2022 | 16 | 1 | 6% | +1.00 |
2023 | 15 | 6 | 40% | +7.73 |
2024 | 18 | 8 | 44% | +34.73 |
Total | 82 | 24 | 29% | +73.46 |
Aidan O'Brien
It is usually hard to find an angle with Aiden O'Briens runners to turn over a consistent profit because they are usually priced up towards the head of the market.
Here we are looking at his two-year-old runners over 7f in races worth over £8k, those have produced profits in four of the last five season for a combined LSP of +59.96.
Here are the top three winners from Aidan O'Brien from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Twain (28/1)
- Merrily (25/1)
- St Marks Basilica (10/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Aidan O'Brien runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 10 | 2 | 20% | +4.75 |
2021 | 12 | 3 | 25% | +4.50 |
2022 | 14 | 4 | 29% | +6.00 |
2023 | 16 | 3 | 19% | -4.64 |
2024 | 23 | 7 | 30% | +49.35 |
Total | 75 | 19 | 25% | +59.96 |
Nigel Twiston-Davies
The second of the jump trainers for October is Nigel Twiston-Davies and we are concentrating on his Irish bred runners in Class 4 chases or hurdles.
Four of the last five seasons have returned a profit and a strike rate of 37% of those five seasons along with an LSP of +46.05.
Here are the top three winners from Nigel Twiston-Davies from the past five years when using this criteria:
- Robinshill (11/1)
- Guy (9/1)
- Templehills (8/1)
Here is a breakdown, season by season, for those Nigel Twiston-Davies runners:
Year | Runners | Winners | Strike Rate | LSP |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 16 | 5 | 31% | +16.71 |
2021 | 8 | 4 | 50% | +18.50 |
2022 | 9 | 3 | 33% | +4.38 |
2023 | 6 | 3 | 50% | +9.00 |
2024 | 10 | 3 | 30% | -2.54 |
Total | 49 | 18 | 37% | +46.05 |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Horse Racing Trainers to Follow are at hand, Darren Brett, James Banting & Andy Powell. They all work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews.
The content in this blog has been researched using the database on HorseRaceBase.