I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Bookies give odds of 8/11 that Scotland votes yes in the potential 2023 independence referendum
- According to the odds though there's just a 9% chance that a referendum takes place next year
- It's 1/8 that the year of the next Scottish independence referendum is 2025 or later
Bookies give odds of 8/11 that Scotland votes yes in the potential 2023 independence referendum
The Scottish independence referendum has been in the news this week with the SNP publishing its arguments it has put to the Supreme Court.
Bookies make it 8/11 that Scotland would vote yes if the 2023 independence referendum does go ahead but that looks unlikely.
Smarkets give a whole host of odds around the Scottish indyref2 with Nicola Sturgeon wanting to hold the referendum in October 2023.
| Result of any 2023 Scottish Independence Referendum vote | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8/11 | 57.9% |
| No | 10/11 | 52.4% |
According to the betting odds, there's not much difference in probability between Yes or No winning the referendum vote.
No won the 2014 Scottish independence referendum with 55.3% of the vote.
According to the odds though there's just a 9% chance that a referendum takes place next year
Bookies say there's a slim chance of a Scottish independence referendum taking place in 2023 with odds of 10/1 that it happens.
The SNP has put it to the Supreme Court to make arguments towards whether MSPs could set up a referendum themselves.
They currently have to get an agreement with the UK government which so far doesn't look like happening.
| Scottish Indyref2 to take place on October 19th 2023 | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| No | 1/20 | 95.2% |
Scottish Independence Referendum Betting Odds
It's 1/8 that the year of the next Scottish independence referendum is 2025 or later
Looking further down the line at the Scottish independence referendum, bookies reckon that it'll be 2025 or later before we see it take place.
With odds as short as 1/8, any other date before 2025 at the earliest looks unlikely.
Ultimately though according to the odds there's little to choose between yes or no when it comes to any potential referendum in Scotland.
