Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Mayo National Preview
The Mayo National is a relatively new race, it was first run in 2014 when Anthony & Danny Mullins teamed up for success with the favourite Sammy Black and there has not been a winning favourite since.
The race is run at Ballinrobe Racecourse usually in May of each year, it is a handicap chase that is open to runners aged four or older and is run over two miles and seven furlongs where the runners have to contend with a total of fifteen fences.
Mayo National Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Ballinrobe then head over to the Ballinrobe tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.
How competitive is the Mayo National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 11 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017 when the race had an over-round of 121%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 135%, whilst on average over the last 11 renewals of the Mayo National, the over-round has been 128%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £128 which is bet.
Mayo National Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 11 if you had followed the winner of the Mayo National next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 10 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.60. Ahead of the 2025 Mayo National why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 11 renewals, a time of 5:33.70 was set by Sammy Black in 2014, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Anthony Mullins and ridden by Danny Mullins. The slowest winning time was set in 2021 when Agent Boru won in a time of 6:16.50, booked to ride was Phillip Enright by the trainer Thomas Gibney.
These are the top three quickest-run Mayo National over the last 11 renewals:
- Sammy Black (5:33.70) in 2014
- Kilcarry Bridge (5:46.30) in 2017
- Peregrine Run (5:47.50) in 2019
Mayo National Past Winners
Here are the Mayo National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Mayo National as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 5:54.30 | Duffle Coat (IRE) 7yo 10-2 14/1 | Sam Ewing Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2023 5:51.10 | Tullybeg (IRE) 8yo 10-8 12/1 | Danny Gilligan (7lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 6:03.90 | Rock Road (IRE) 10yo 9-7 4/1 | Kieran Callaghan (7lbs) W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2021 6:16.50 | Agent Boru (IRE) 10yo 10-3 12/1 | Phillip Enright Thomas Gibney (IRE) |
| 2020 6:00.40 | Doctor Duffy (IRE) 7yo 11-3 6/1 | Kevin Brouder C Byrnes (IRE) |
| 2019 5:47.50 | Peregrine Run (IRE) 9yo 11-10 14/1 | Kevin Sexton Peter Fahey (IRE) |
| 2018 5:58.40 | Kaiser Black (IRE) 7yo 10-6 11/2 | Jack Kennedy P M J Doyle (IRE) |
| 2017 5:46.30 | Kilcarry Bridge (IRE) 10yo 10-10 8/1 | Donagh Meyler (3lbs) John Patrick Ryan (IRE) |
| 2016 5:53.80 | King Leon (IRE) 7yo 10-7 17/2 | Mark Walsh A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 5:57.20 | Rohans Pride (IRE) 9yo 10-0 10/1 | Brian Hayes (3lbs) Robert Honner (IRE) |
Mayo National Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Mayo National over the last 11 renewals is Gordon Elliott who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Tullybeg (2023) and Duffle Coat (2024).
Here are some of the top Mayo National trainer statistics over the last 11 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Elliott | 14-2-5 | +14.00 | +11.28 |
| John Patrick Ryan | 10-1-1 | -1.00 | -4.20 |
| W P Mullins | 9-1-3 | -4.00 | -3.12 |
| Peter Fahey | 5-1-2 | +10.00 | +9.38 |
| Thomas Gibney | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
| C Byrnes | 3-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.75 |
| A P O'Brien | 2-1-2 | +7.50 | +5.44 |
| P M J Doyle | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Anthony Mullins | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.72 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -5.50 |
Mayo National Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Mayo National jockey statistics over the last 11 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Mullins | 9-1-2 | -5.25 | -5.53 |
| Mark Walsh | 7-1-3 | +2.50 | +1.36 |
| Phillip Enright | 5-1-1 | +8.00 | +3.50 |
| Donagh Meyler | 4-1-2 | +5.00 | +5.43 |
| Kevin Sexton | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.75 |
| Brian Hayes | 3-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.25 |
| Jack Kennedy | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.44 |
| Danny Gilligan | 2-1-1 | +11.00 | +6.50 |
| Kevin Brouder | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.75 |
| Kieran Callaghan | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
2025 Mayo National Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 4, (2, 4), (4, PU, PU), (2, PU), 3, 4, 5, 2, 3, 7
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 11 / 11 (57%) - Achieved a TS of 87+ (Last 3)
- 11 / 11 (58%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 11 / 11 (61%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 11 / 11 (65%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 11 / 11 (69%) - Furthest Placed 2m5f - 3m1f
- 11 / 11 (70%) - Furthest ran 2m6f - 3m4½f
- 11 / 11 (72%) - Break of 15 - 268 days (Last Place)
- 11 / 11 (78%) - Dam is not FR/GER/JPN/USA bred
- 11 / 11 (80%) - Ran in 9 - 35 races (Career)
- 11 / 11 (82%) - Fewer than 7 placings (Hcps)
- 11 / 11 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 39+ (Last Win)
- 11 / 11 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 11 / 11 (84%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 11 / 11 (84%) - Not in a LST/Cl3/Cl6 (Debut)
- 11 / 11 (85%) - Ran in Ireland (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ballinrobe racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Mayo National. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Mayo National by adding a tip on the race here.
Mayo National Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 6+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +23.25 is when runners ran in a Non Handicap last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 starts in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-41.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Mayo National is Punchestown, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Killarney, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Killarney last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 11 winners from a total of 146 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 12 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Mayo National despite multiple attempts:
- Presenting (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Milan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Stowaway (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 11 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Peregrine Run in 2019, winning for Peter Fahey at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Kevin Sexton. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 11 renewals there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Mayo National.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Mayo National Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
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