You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Mayo National Preview
The Mayo National is a relatively new race; it was first run in 2014 when Anthony & Danny Mullins teamed up for success with the favourite Sammy Black, and there has not been a winning favourite since.
The race is run at Ballinrobe Racecourse usually in May of each year. It is a handicap chase that is open to runners aged four or older and is run over two miles and seven furlongs, where the runners have to contend with a total of fifteen fences.
Mayo National Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Ballinrobe, then head over to the Ballinrobe tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.
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How competitive is the Mayo National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 13 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2017, when the race had an over-round of 121%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 135%, whilst on average over the last 13 renewals of the Mayo National, the over-round has been 129%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £129 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Mayo National Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Mayo National Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Mayo National races over the last 13 renewals:
- Sammy Black (5:33.70) in 2014
- Western Fold (5:38.80) in 2025
- Kilcarry Bridge (5:46.30) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 13 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Mayo National next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 12 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +6.40. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Mayo National, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 13 renewals, it was Sammy Black, trained by Anthony Mullins and ridden by Danny Mullins, who set the fastest winning time in the Mayo National. That runner won the race in a time of 5:33.70 in 2014. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Thomas Gibney and jockey Phillip Enright with Agent Boru who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 6:16.50 in the 2021 renewal.
Mayo National Past Winners
Here are the Mayo National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Mayo National are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 5:53.80 | Native Speaker (IRE) 8yo 10-7 12/1 | Darragh O'Keeffe Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2025 5:38.80 | Western Fold (IRE) 6yo 11-12 5/1 | Danny Gilligan Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2024 5:54.30 | Duffle Coat (IRE) 7yo 10-2 14/1 | Sam Ewing Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2023 5:51.10 | Tullybeg (IRE) 8yo 10-8 12/1 | Danny Gilligan (7lbs) Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2022 6:03.90 | Rock Road (IRE) 10yo 9-7 4/1 | Kieran Callaghan (7lbs) W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2021 6:16.50 | Agent Boru (IRE) 10yo 10-3 12/1 | Phillip Enright Thomas Gibney (IRE) |
| 2020 6:00.40 | Doctor Duffy (IRE) 7yo 11-3 6/1 | Kevin Brouder C Byrnes (IRE) |
| 2019 5:47.50 | Peregrine Run (IRE) 9yo 11-10 14/1 | Kevin Sexton Peter Fahey (IRE) |
| 2018 5:58.40 | Kaiser Black (IRE) 7yo 10-6 11/2 | Jack Kennedy P M J Doyle (IRE) |
| 2017 5:46.30 | Kilcarry Bridge (IRE) 10yo 10-10 8/1 | Donagh Meyler (3lbs) John Patrick Ryan (IRE) |
Mayo National Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Mayo National over the last 13 renewals is Gordon Elliott, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Tullybeg (2023), Duffle Coat (2024) and Western Fold (2025). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Mayo National; Gavin Cromwell has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Mayo National trainer statistics over the last 13 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Elliott | 17-3-6 | +17.00 | +12.41 |
| John Patrick Ryan | 12-1-2 | -3.00 | -4.20 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 11-1-3 | +2.00 | +0.00 |
| W P Mullins | 10-1-4 | -5.00 | -2.24 |
| Peter Fahey | 5-1-2 | +10.00 | +9.38 |
| Thomas Gibney | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
| C Byrnes | 3-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.75 |
| A P O'Brien | 2-1-2 | +7.50 | +5.44 |
| P M J Doyle | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Anthony Mullins | 1-1-1 | +2.75 | +1.72 |
Mayo National Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Mayo National over the last 13 renewals is Danny Gilligan, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Tullybeg (2023) and Western Fold (2025).
Here are some of the top Mayo National jockey statistics over the last 13 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Gilligan | 4-2-2 | +15.00 | +8.63 |
| Mark Walsh | 9-1-3 | +0.50 | -0.64 |
| Danny Mullins | 9-1-2 | -5.25 | -5.53 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 8-1-3 | +5.00 | +3.07 |
| Donagh Meyler | 6-1-2 | +3.00 | +3.43 |
| Phillip Enright | 5-1-1 | +8.00 | +3.50 |
| Brian Hayes | 5-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.25 |
| Kevin Sexton | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.75 |
| Jack Kennedy | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.44 |
| Sam Ewing | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.75 |
2027 Mayo National Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 4, (2, 4), (4, PU, PU), (2, PU), 3, 4, 5, 2, 3, 7, 7, PU
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 13 / 13 (59%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 13 / 13 (65%) - Within the first 9 of the market
- 13 / 13 (67%) - Furthest Placed 2m5f - 3m1f
- 13 / 13 (69%) - Furthest ran 2m6f - 3m4½f
- 13 / 13 (70%) - Achieved a TS of 89+ (Last 5)
- 13 / 13 (71%) - Ran over 2m4f - 3m4f (LTO)
- 13 / 13 (72%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Last 3)
- 13 / 13 (74%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
- 13 / 13 (75%) - Highest Placed is not G1/G3/Cl4
- 13 / 13 (79%) - Dam is not FR/GER/JPN/USA bred
- 13 / 13 (80%) - Fewer than 6 races (Class)
- 13 / 13 (81%) - Ran in 9 - 35 races (Career)
- 13 / 13 (81%) - Fewer than 7 placings (Hcps)
- 13 / 13 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 13 / 13 (84%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Ballinrobe racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Mayo National. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Mayo National by adding a tip on the race here.
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Mayo National Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 7+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.25, is when runners ran in a Non Handicap last time out.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 starts in the past 90 days, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-50.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Mayo National is Punchestown; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Punchestown last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Killarney; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Killarney last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 13 winners from a total of 174 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 15 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Mayo National despite multiple attempts:
- Milan (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Presenting (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Stowaway (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 13 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Peregrine Run in 2019, winning for Peter Fahey at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Kevin Sexton. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 13 renewals, there have been 1 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Mayo National, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Mayo National
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Mayo National. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Native Speaker Leopardstown - 9th of 13 (11/1) | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase |
| 2025 - Western Fold Tipperary - 1st of 15 (7/1) | Ryans Cleaning Beginners Chase |
| 2024 - Duffle Coat Killarney - 2nd of 5 (9/2) | Gerard OSullivan Memorial Novice Chase |
| 2023 - Tullybeg Punchestown - 5th of 14 (33/1) | Punchestown Listed Novice Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - Rock Road Punchestown - 2nd of 24 (16/1) | Adare Manor Opportunity Series Final Handicap Hurdle |
| 2021 - Agent Boru Punchestown - 5th of 20 (29/1) | Palmerstown House Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase |
| 2020 - Doctor Duffy Kilbeggan - 1st of 8 (6/5) | Kieran Kelly Memorial Beginners Chase |
| 2019 - Peregrine Run Killarney - 1st of 4 (8/13) | Seamus Weldon John Deere An Riocht Chase |
| 2018 - Kaiser Black Tipperary - 2nd of 10 (11/4) | Kedrah House Stud "Well Chosen" Beginners Chase |
| 2017 - Kilcarry Bridge Punchestown - 4th of 15 (25/1) | Punchestown Listed Novice Handicap Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Mayo National Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
