Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Kilbegnet Novice Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in late September or early October of each year at the Roscommon racecourse, the Kilbegnet Novice Chase is a Grade 3 chase open to novices who are four or older with the race being run over a trip of two miles and a half a furlong.
The race has been switched to other courses three times since 2000 due to circumstances of it not being able to be run at Roscommon, those were Punchestown (2000), Limerick (2002) and Gowran Park (2016).
Kilbegnet Novice Chase Information:
- Kilbegnet Novice Chase Past Winners
- Kilbegnet Novice Chase Trainer Statistics
- Kilbegnet Novice Chase Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Roscommon tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?
How competitive is the Kilbegnet Novice Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Kilbegnet Novice Chase, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Kilbegnet Novice Chase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Kilbegnet Novice Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.25. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 3:48.60 was set by Darwins Fox in 2013, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Henry De Bromhead and ridden by A E Lynch. The slowest winning time was set in 2017 when Landofhopeandglory won in a time of 4:21.00, booked to ride was Mark Walsh on this Joseph Patrick O'Brien trained runner.
These are the top three quickest-run Kilbegnet Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals:
- 2013 - Darwins Fox (3:48.60)
- 2014 - Ted Veale (3:53.50)
- 2010 - Save My Blushes (3:54.50)
Kilbegnet Novice Chase Past Winners
Here are the Kilbegnet Novice Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Kilbegnet Novice Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 4:15.10 | Hercule Du Seuil (FR) 6yo 11-8 2/5F | Mark Walsh W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2022 3:57.70 | Enniskerry (IRE) 8yo 11-1 5/2 | Michael O'Sullivan Barry Connell (IRE) |
| 2021 4:06.90 | Exit Poll (IRE) 7yo 11-3 85/40 | Sean O'Keeffe Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2020 4:04.20 | Benruben (IRE) 7yo 11-3 5/2 | Rachael Blackmore Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2019 4:18.90 | Djingle (FR) 6yo 11-1 4/5F | A P Heskin John Queally (IRE) |
| 2018 4:02.30 | Ornua (IRE) 7yo 11-5 3/1 | Dylan Robinson Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2017 4:21.00 | Landofhopeandglory (IRE) 4yo 10-5 2/1F | Mark Walsh Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 4:08.10 | Ridestan (IRE) 6yo 11-1 9/2 | David Mullins Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2015 3:57.20 | The Game Changer (IRE) 6yo 11-8 11/10 | B J Cooper Gordon Elliott (IRE) |
| 2014 3:53.50 | Ted Veale (IRE) 7yo 11-1 1/1F | Barry Geraghty A J Martin (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Kilbegnet Novice Chase have been based:
- IRE: 20 winners with an additional 24 placings from 130 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Kilbegnet Novice Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Kilbegnet Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Henry De Bromhead who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Darwins Fox (2013), Ridestan (2016), Ornua (2018) and Benruben (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Kilbegnet Novice Chase is Noel Meade (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Kilbegnet Novice Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henry De Bromhead | 16-4-8 | +0.25 | +1.24 |
| Noel Meade | 5-2-3 | +1.58 | +0.45 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 7-1-2 | -3.87 | -3.37 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 6-1-3 | -3.00 | -2.07 |
| W P Mullins | 6-1-3 | -4.60 | -3.29 |
| Paul W Flynn | 4-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.38 |
| Gordon Elliott | 4-1-2 | -1.90 | -1.62 |
| Eoin Griffin | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
| M F Morris | 2-1-2 | +1.00 | +2.15 |
| John Queally | 2-1-1 | -0.20 | -0.50 |
Kilbegnet Novice Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Kilbegnet Novice Chase over the last 20 renewals is Mark Walsh who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Landofhopeandglory (2017) and Hercule Du Seuil (2023).
Here are some of the top Kilbegnet Novice Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Walsh | 5-2-2 | -0.60 | -1.50 |
| Rachael Blackmore | 4-1-3 | -0.50 | +0.15 |
| A P Heskin | 2-1-1 | -0.20 | +0.50 |
| Dylan Robinson | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.80 |
| Michael O'Sullivan | 1-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.56 |
| Sean O'Keeffe | 1-1-1 | +2.13 | +1.33 |
| Paul Townend | 6-0-4 | -6.00 | -2.55 |
| Robbie Colgan | 4-0-1 | -4.00 | -1.00 |
| Denis O'Regan | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
| Sean Flanagan | 3-0-0 | -3.00 | -3.00 |
2024 Kilbegnet Novice Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): F, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 4, 3, F, (1, 8), 1, 2, PU, 1, 2, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (56%) - No bigger than 8/1
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Furthest Won 2m½f - 2m4f
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Had 2 - 8 wins (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Made 2 - 6 starts (Season)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Made 1 - 4 starts (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Had 1 - 6 wins (Further)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Made 8 - 18 starts (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Sex is Gelding
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Break of 8 - 91 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Made 1 - 10 starts (Chase)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Won is not Cl2/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not on GF/FM (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 113+ (Trip)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Roscommon racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Kilbegnet Novice Chase. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Kilbegnet Novice Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Kilbegnet Novice Chase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +2.41 is when runners ran on Soft ground last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 season wins, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-35.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Kilbegnet Novice Chase is Listowel, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Listowel last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Galway, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Galway last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 101 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 30 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was St Devote in 2011, winning for Eoin Griffin at odds of 8/1 under the guidance of Barry Geraghty. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Kilbegnet Novice Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
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