Hyundai Music Prize Betting (Formerly The Mercury Music Prize)

Published: Jul 8, 3:49pm Last Updated: Sep 10, 10:25am Specials 0 Comments 719 Views

Mercury Music Prize Headlines

  • Collapsed In Sunbeams by Arlo Parks won the Mercury Music Prize, the initial second favourite (4/1) was heavily backed into (7/4) on the day of the awards and duly won. 

  • Soul and R&B collective Sault had been long term favourites for the Hyundai Mercury Music Prize but then drifted on the day to a best price of 100/30.

  • 12 albums in total were shortlisted for the 2021 Mercury Music Prize.

As good as the Sault album is I think Celeste will win. The 2019 Rising Star winner has an album that has an Amy Winehouse vibe to it.

OLBG Member: Dadders

Musical Instruments

Hyundai Music Prize Betting (Formerly The Mercury Music Prize)

Mercury Music Prize

The Hyundai Mercury Music Prize will be held on September 9th, 2021.

Artist  Album Betting Odds On The Day Betting Percentage Chance
Arlo Parks
Collapsed In Sunbeams
7/4 36.36%
Sault Untitled (Rise) 100/30 23.09%
Laura Mvula
Pink Noise
Black Country New Road
For The First Time
Conflict Of Interest
13/2 13.33%
Floating Points - Pharoah Sanders & The London Symphony Orchestra
8/1 11.11%
Wolf Alice Blue Weekend 10/1 9.09%
Nubya Garcia Source 10/1 9.09%
Celeste Not Your Muse 10/1 9.09%
As The Love Continues
Berwyn Demotape/Vega 16/1 6.67%
Hannah Peel Fir Wave 20/1 4.76%

There is a mystery around Sault but their music is in vogue in the current climate. My opinion is that they will win and I hope they turn up to collect the award.

OLBG Member: letsfindawinnersshallwe

Each bookie price equates to a percentage chance which you can see above.

If for example, you think Sault has a better than 38.17% chance of winning the prize you should place a bet, if you think they have a worse than 38.17% chance you should ignore. 

The odds will change as money comes in for each artist.

To place a bet on the prize please visit the best betting sites page

Mercury Music Prize Holder

The overall Mercury Music Prize winner last year was Michael Kiwanuka for his third album, titled eponymously Kiwanuka.

Untitled (Rise) by RnB music collective Sault Tumbles to Short Price Favourite in Hyundai Mercury Music Awards

Betting Favourites Sault

When online betting on the 12 best albums of the year opened Sault with Untitled (Rise) was on offer at an early 11/4, however that price didn’t last long, with a couple of weeks to go before the show which is being broadcast on BBC 4 and Six Music the idiosyncratic album is into around 13/8.

Not a huge amount is known about the prolific group Sault as they shun press and social media attention, however, this 4th album in 2 years (The 5th is out already) has received near-unanimous praise for its dance-based originality and soulful layered sound, accompanied by real vocal anger.

Whether the bookmakers have seen a huge number of actual bets for the album is open to question, they may well have just been guided by music journalists and insiders who have been raving about the diverse genres of music the artists who make up Sault are producing. The group covers funk, soul, smooth soul, afro beats, gospel, reggae, disco often perfectly aligned on the same track. 

You never quite know what is coming next, which may have been one of their many aims.

Their mystery and social message + the impressive production of the tracks should play well with the judges, and their album is currently the bookie's Mercury Music Prize favourite this year. 

Laura Mvula with Pink Noise and the Arlo Parks album Collapsed In Sunbeams are currently towards the head of the betting market.

Hyundai Music Prize Betting

The winner generally receives a huge increase in sales, although it does depend on the amount of coverage the ceremony receives. 

If the award is picked up by mainstream news organisations, and have articles written in the press it can make a notable difference to albums sold and the artist's reputation. 

You always get some naysayers around artistic awards and those who pooh pooh choosing a winner from different music genres. 

But in these troubling times singers and bands, especially those less well known, often need a helping hand, just being on the Hyundai Prize July shortlist should give them a boost. 

As soon as the Hyundai Music Prize Betting Odds are released they will be added to this page. 

We would expect odds to be available quickly after the shortlist is announced.

Hyundai Music Prize Judges

  • Anna Calvi (Artist)
  • Anna Mac (DJ)
  • Danielle Perry (Broadcaster)
  • Gaz Coombs (Artist)
  • Jamie Cullum (Artist)
  • Gemma Cairney (Broadcaster)
  • Jeff Smith (BBC Radio)
  • Jorja Smith (Artist)
  • Mike Walsh (Music Consultant) 
  • Will Hodgkinson (The Times)
  • Tshepo Mokoena (Vice.Com)
  • Phil Alexander (Kerrang/Mojo)
  • War Child

Previous Prize Winnners

Year Artist Album
2021 Arlo Parks Chasing Sunbeams
2020 Michael Kiwanuka Kiwanuka
2019 Dave Psychodrama
2018 Wolf Alice Visions Of Life
2017 Sampha Process
2016 Skepta Konnichiwa
2015 Benjamin Clementine Deep Snow
2014 Young Fathers Dead
2013 James Blake Overgrown
2012 alt -J An Awesome Wave
2011 P J Harvey Let England Shake
2010 The xx xx
2009 Speech Debelle Speech Therapy
2008 Elbow The Seldom Seen Kid
2007 Klaxons Myths Of the Near Future
2006 Arctic Monkeys
 Whatever People Say I Am, That's What I Am Not
2005 Antony And The Johnsons I Am A Bird Now
2004 Franz Ferdinand Franz Ferdinand
2003 Dizzee Rascal Boy In Da Corner
2002 Ms.Dynamite A Little Deeper
2001 P J Harvey Stories From The City, Stories From The Sea
2000 Badly Drawn Boy The Hour Of Dewilderbeest
1999 Talvin Singh OK
1998 Gomez Bring It On
1997 Roni Size/Reprazent New Forms
1996 Pulp Different Class
1995 Portishead Dummy
1994 M People Elegant Slumming
1993 Suede Suede
1992 Primal Scream Screamadelica

Most Nominated Music Prize Artists

Artists with longevity and those who continue producing quality work feature numerous times in the music nominations.

Top of the list is Radiohead with 5 nominations, (but no wins) followed by the Arctic Monkeys and PJ Harvey with four apiece. 

P J Harvey is the only artist who has won the award twice. 

Artist Nominations
Radiohead 5
P J Harvey 4
Arctic Monkeys 4
Anna Calvi 3
Bat For Lashes 3
Coldplay 3
David Bowie 3
Dizzee Rascal 3
Elbow 3
Florence and The Machine 3
Foals 3
Laura Marling 3
Michael Kiwanuka 3
Primal Scream 3
Pulp 3
Wolf Alice 3

Mercury Music Prize Video Assessment


Betting Odds

A range of bookmakers feature on with the bigger names normally offering Mercury Music Award Odds.


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