Spread Betting On The World Cup

Updated: 86 Football

The beauty of Spread Betting is that the more right you are the more you can win, the downside is the more wrong you are the more you can lose. However, spread betting gives you options away from fixed odds betting and betting exchanges.

Spread Betting On The World Cup

Photo: Shutterstock/fifg

Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

How Spread Betting Works

The best way to understand and explain Spread Betting to someone who is new is to check out the OLBG betting school articles.

Many members asked Is Spread Betting profitable?

Like all forms of betting the more you know the more chance you have to profit, during the World Cup you can also take advantage of Sporting Index or Spreadex special offers on the tournament. 

Spread Betting On the World Cup Winners 

Here is the World Cup outright market from Sporting Index on the World Cup, if you have watched the video guides it should be a bit clearer to you. 

You have the option to Buy or Sell each country depending on how far you think they will progress. 

Brazil as with the best betting sites are the favourites. 

THE 2022 WORLD CUP OUTRIGHT   

  • Winner = 100pts.
  • Runner-up = 75pts 
  • Lose Semi-Final = 50pts
  •  Lose Quarter-Final = 25pts.
  • Last 16 = 10pts. 
  • All others = 0.


You can see that had you bought Morocco at 5 pre-tournament you can now sell them at 33 which would give you 28 times your stake.

Had you bought favourites Brazil at 43 you can now sell them at 65 which would give you 22 times your stake. 

If you had bought Germany at 34 you would have lost 34 times your stake with Hansi Flick's team failing to get out of Group E

32 Markets Pre Tournament Sell Buy Quarter Finals Sell Buy
Brazil - 39 43 25 65 69
Portugal - 26 29 25 51 55
France - 35 38 25 50 54
Argentina - 35 38 25 49 53
England - 29 32 25 45 48
Netherlands - 29 32 25 38 41
Morocco - 2.5 5 25 33 36
Croatia - 12 15 25 30 33
Spain - 33 36      
Germany - 31 34      
Belgium - 24 27      
Denmark - 19 22      
Uruguay - 15 18      
Switzerland - 10 13      
Serbia - 9 12      
Mexico - 9 12      
Poland - 9 12      
USA - 8 11      
Senegal - 8 11      
Ecuador - 6 9      
Wales - 6 9      
Qatar - 3 6      
South Korea - 2.5 5      
Ghana - 2.5 5      
Iran - 2 4      
Japan - 2 4      
Cameroon - 2 4      
Canada - 2 4      
Tunisia - 1 3      
Australia - 1 3      
Saudi Arabia - 0.5 2      
Costa Rica - 0.5 2      
2022 WORLD CUP OUTRIGHT (100-75-50-25-10 INDEX)            
Winner = 100pts, Runner-up = 75pts, Lose Semi-Final = 50pts, Lose Quarter-Final = 25pts, Last 16 = 10pts. All others = 0.            
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  • I will add an example of being patriotic and backing England.
32 Markets Current Sell Buy
England - 29 32
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  • I think England will do well so I buy them at 32.
  • England make it to the Final but lose the match. 
  • You can see that the result of making it to the Final was 75 therefore I win. 
  • (75 -32= 43 x  £ 5 Stake) = Plus £215
  • My mate has the opposite opinion to me and thinks England will struggle so he sells England at 29, however, England as above make it to the Final and the bet is again settled at 75.
  • He loses (75- 29 = 46  x £5 Stake) =  Minus £230. 
  • YOU always BUY if you think the outcome will be HIGHER.
  • YOU always SELL if you think the outcome will be LOWER.  
More people BUY than SELL when it comes to Spread Betting, so always look at the SELL price to see if that offers better value for your money.

Jake Ashton - OLBG Editor


Spread Betting On The World Cup Groups 

  • Think you can predict the winners of a specific World Cup group and get 50pts. 
  • Is there an outsider who could get the runner-up spot in a specific World Cup group and get 25pts?
  • Is there a weak favourite in a World Cup group who may finish third and only get 10 pts?
  • Buy or Sell specific countries that you think will do well or badly. 

Winner: 50pts; Runner-up: 25pts; Third: 10pts; Fourth: 0pts.  

Group A Sell Buy
Netherlands 37 40
Senegal 17 20
Ecuador 17 20
Qatar 8 11
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Group B Sell Buy
England 35 38
USA 18 21
Wales 17 20
Iran 9 12
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Spain at the 2014 Brazil World Cup were the holders as well as being the European Champions. They were favourites to win Group B and get 50 points on the Spreads. They finished in third place (10 pts) behind Chile and the Netherlands.

Nigel Skinner - OLBG Editor

Group C Sell Buy
Argentina 38 41
Poland 19 22
Mexico 18 21
Saudi Arabia 4 7
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Group D Sell Buy
France 39 42
Denmark 27 30
Australia 7 10
Tunisia 6 9
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The World Champions Germany finished bottom of their group at Russia 2018 after losing to Mexico and South Korea, and therefore got 0pts with the Spread Betting firms.

Nigel Skinner - OLBG Editor

Group E Sell Buy
Spain 35 38
Germany 32 35
Japan 10 13
Coats Rica 3 6
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Group F Sell Buy
Belgium 37 40
Croatia 23 26
Morocco 11 14
Canada 8 11
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Group G Sell Buy
Brazil 40 43
Switzerland 17 20
Serbia 15 18
Cameroon 7 10
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Group H Sell Buy
Portugal 34 37
Uruguay 25 28
South Korea 11 14
Ghana 9 12
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France were beaten finalists at the 2006 World Cup and were looking to go one better in South Africa 2010, however, they did not win a game and finished bottom of Group A.

Nigel Skinner - OLBG Editor

All prices from Sporting Index on the 16th of November 2022. 

Closing Your Spread Bet

You can close your bet on the majority of Spread Betting markets and take your profit if the bet has gone in your favour.

You can also cut your total losses if the market has gone against you. 

Using the above example of England having bought them at 32, let us say they beat Iran 10-0 in the opening game and some of the other countries struggle in their opening games

Because England were impressive the spread may increase from  Sell 29-Buy 32 to Sell 37-Buy 40. 

You bought at 32 and can now sell at 37. (37-32= 5 x £5 Stake) = Plus £25.


Below is the main match markets on the opening England v Iran game, each World Cup game will have these + many more markets on offer. 

Spread Betting Markets

Just about every market you can think of is available for individual World Cup matches. If you have a strong opinion on a match take a look at the Spread Betting prices.

You can see that Englan just to win the game can be bought at 20.75 with the market settled at 25 on the winner,

This is way more profitable than the fixed odds or exchanges that have England at around 1/3 to win the game........... but you risk losing more with a Spread Bet than you would with a fixed odds or exchange bet if the results goes against you.  

You need to strike a balance of Risk v Reward. 

Main Markets Current Sell Buy
England/Iran 0-0 1.3 1.5
Total Goals 0 2.25 2.45
England Win Index 0 19.5 20.75
Iran Win Index 0 3.5 4.5
Goal Rush 0 26 29
1st Match Goal 1 36.5 39.5
Total Goal Minutes 0 115 125
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