Andy Powell Expert Guide
You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
10 Year Trends
The Racingtv.com Roland Meyrick Chase is the highlight of Wetherby's Boxing day fixture, the race is a Grade 3 Handicap Chase run over 3 miles & 45 yards.
I have looked at the last 10 runnings of the race, although the race was not run in 2009, 2010 & 2015 so i have went back to 2005 for the full 10 runnings andf have came across the following -
Age - 9 of the last 10 winners were aged between 6 & 8.
Weight - 8 of the last 10 winners carried 11-00 or less.
Official Rating - 9 of the l;ast 10 winners were rated 149 or lower.
Recent Runs - 8 of the last 10 winners had finished in the first 3 in 1 of their last 2 starts.
Last Time Out - 8 of the last 10 winners had their last run within the last 32 days.
Season Runs (Since November 1st) - 9 of the last 10 winners had 1 or 2 runs since November 1st.
Distance - All of the last 10 winners had previously won over further than 2 miles 6 furlongs.
Graded Form - 6 of the last 10 winners had previously run in a graded chase.
There are 18 horses declared at the 5 day stage for the race, lets have a look at the trends -
Age - We lose 6, leaving 12.
Weight - We lose 5, leaving 7.
Official Rating - We lose 0, leaving 7.
Recent Runs - We lose 1, leaving 6.
Last Time Out - We lose 0, leaving 6.
Season Runs - We lose 0, leaving 6.
Distance - We lose 0, leaving 6.
Graded Form - We lose 3, leaving 3.
The 3 horses that pass all of the trends are -
Allysson Monterg, Crosspark & Captain Chaos
