5:25 Carlisle Tips
Summary of Tipster comments
Poets Dawn is the most popular selection among tipsters, with a notable win rate. However, Distinction is highlighted as the best tipster's tip after a recent victory at Pontefract, despite a weight increase. Distinction has a solid track record on soft ground, which could give him an edge over the competition, who are less adept in similar conditions. Based on these insights, the recommendation is to back Distinction for a win in the upcoming race, as the tipsters believe he has a strong chance of success.
Most Popular Tip
Poets Dawn
Daily Racing
| Selection | Win Tips | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| • | Poets Dawn | 12 / 30 | 40% |
| • | Tee Aitch Aye | 4 / 30 | 13% |
| • | Distinction | 3 / 30 | 10% |
| • | Other | 11 / 30 | 37% |
Best Tipster’s Tip
Distinction
Daily Racing
+1331 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
WIN @
Distinction won at Pontefract last week. Although up 4 lbs for that, I think he could still swing this as he has won on soft in the past, with none of today's runners showing a love of the mud.
Distinction won at Pontefract last week. Although up 4 lbs for that, I think he could still swing this as he has won on soft in the past, with none of today's runners showing a love of the mud.
- Annual Profit
- 1331
- Annual Strike Rate
- 18 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 130
- 7 Days Profit
- 98
Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport.
Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport.
Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
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Daily Racing
Hide Selections
5 Distinction
- Form: 836721
- 7yo 9st 4lb (8)
- T: John Mackie
- J: P J McDonald
3 / 30 Win Tips10%1 expert
1 comment0 / 22 EW Tips0%0 / 5 NAPs0%+1331 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
WIN @
Distinction won at Pontefract last week. Although up 4 lbs for that, I think he could still swing this as he has won on soft in the past, with none of today's runners showing a love of the mud.
- Annual Profit
- 1331
- Annual Strike Rate
- 18 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 130
- 7 Days Profit
- 98
3 Tee Aitch Aye
- Form: 446
- 4yo 9st 5lb (1)
- T: Iain Jardine
- J: Andrew Mullen
4 / 30 Win Tips13%3 comments3 / 22 EW Tips14%2 / 5 NAPs40%Won on Nouvel Espoir @8.50 on Friday
EW @
Has been ridden with handicaps in mind and caught the eye last time on a qualifying run. Given a very tender ride out back and seen making late progress. Handicap debut off 66 today and has a decent chance.
- Annual Profit
- -85
- Annual Strike Rate
- 26 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 317
- 7 Days Profit
- 275
4 Poets Dawn
- Form: 074322
- 10yo 9st 4lb (7)
- T: Tim Easterby
- J: David Allan
12 / 30 Win Tips40%1 expert
4 comments9 / 22 EW Tips41%1 / 5 NAPs20%+282 profit on Horse Racing in the last 6 months
WIN @
A grand servant to the yard and the game, this lad has a record of winning at least once every season that he has competed. The soft ground that he likes at a course where he has won and been placed previously probably presents the best chance he will have this year. He is now 2 lbs under the winning mark when he ran here last August and will be bold and forward, defying those behind to catch him.
- Annual Profit
- 444
- Annual Strike Rate
- 31 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 32
- 7 Days Profit
- -14
1 Swift Salian
- Form: 94-421
- 4yo 9st 9lb (3)
- T: David & Nicola Barron
- J: Connor Beasley
3 / 30 Win Tips10%1 / 22 EW Tips5%0 / 5 NAPs0%
8 Detective
- Form: 9-3850
- 9yo 9st 2lb (2)
- T: Dianne Sayer
- J: Paul Mulrennan
1 / 30 Win Tips3%1 expert
1 comment2 / 22 EW Tips9%0 / 5 NAPs0%+2120 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
EW @
No show last 3 runs, but as a consequence has dropped to a very attractive mark of 63 here and is dropping back down to class 5 company. This C/D winner has a very good course profile, very good jockey who is in form is tops here numerically last 5 seasons and shrewd trainer who is tops percentage wise best with her 4yo plus in same period, making current 12/1 solid Ew value here.
- Annual Profit
- 2120
- Annual Strike Rate
- 26 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 294
- 7 Days Profit
- -136
7 Harswell Duke
- Form: 859-24
- 7yo 9st 2lb (6)
- T: Liam Bailey
- J: Billy Garritty
1 / 30 Win Tips3%2 comments4 / 22 EW Tips18%1 / 5 NAPs20%Won on Roarin Success @5.50 Yesterday
EW @
Beat around 2 lengths in the last two runs after a break. The return to this sort of ground can help and is now 20 lbs below the last winning mark. Can easily take one of the 4 places.
- Annual Profit
- -230
- Annual Strike Rate
- 28 %
- 30 Days Profit
- -167
- 7 Days Profit
- 21
9 Berry Edge
- Form: 5166-8
- 7yo 9st 1lb (9)
- T: David Thompson
- J: Sean Kirrane
3 / 30 Win Tips10%1 comment2 / 22 EW Tips9%1 / 5 NAPs20%WIN @
An interesting pattern emerges if you look at this one's form. Today's jockey, S. Kirane, has ridden it twice. Each time off the exact same OR 62. Each time it has lost. And also each time it has been dropped 1 lb and won its next race. The last turf win, however, was over CD off the 1 lb lower I just mentioned. The jockey deserves a win on this horse, is my thinking, having narrowly missed out previously. An alternative reading is that it will win next time.
- Annual Profit
- -553
- Annual Strike Rate
- 10 %
- 30 Days Profit
- -387
- 7 Days Profit
- -20
10 We Still Believe
- Form: -02732
- 7yo 8st 13lb (12)
- T: Daragh Bourke
- J: Rowan Scott
2 / 30 Win Tips7%0 / 22 EW Tips0%0 / 5 NAPs0%
11 Russian Virtue
- Form: 74-949
- 8yo 8st 9lb (10)
- T: David Thompson
- J: Mark Winn
0 / 30 Win Tips0%1 expert
1 comment1 / 22 EW Tips5%0 / 5 NAPs0%+1106 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
EW @
RUSSIAN VIRTUE is still finding his feet with new connections, but hasn't been totally out of it on both flat starts up to now at Nottingham and Redcar. He could fare better now further down the weights. He has a bit of form on the softer ground and should be able to cope with this trip. The last hurdle run at Uttoxeter was a near miss, so he could be a danger if finding more.
- Annual Profit
- 1106
- Annual Strike Rate
- 23 %
- 30 Days Profit
- 271
- 7 Days Profit
- -28
2 Gainsbourg
- Form: 19027-
- 7yo 9st 6lb (4)
- T: Daragh Bourke
- J: David Nolan
0 / 30 Win Tips0%0 / 22 EW Tips0%0 / 5 NAPs0%
12 Game Management
- Form: 1855-9
- 4yo 8st 9lb (5)
- T: Lizzie Quinlan
- J: Joe Fanning
1 / 30 Win Tips3%0 / 22 EW Tips0%0 / 5 NAPs0%
6 Freedom Day
- Form: 40-078
- 5yo 9st 2lb (11)
- T: Paul Robson
- J: Andrew Elliott
0 / 30 Win Tips0%0 / 22 EW Tips0%0 / 5 NAPs0%
Experts are OLBG tipsters with high strike rates, current month or 6 month profitability for a particular sport.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.