4:50 Carlisle Tips

Best run so far was over this trip on 2nd start when beaten a neck by one now rated 90 on the all-weather at Newcastle. Should handle this ground, and the trainer has a decent record at this venue. Shouldn't be far away off this mark of 65.

Has won over this course and distance. A close-up fifth last time out at Wolverhampton 25 days ago. Won a nursery here last year on soft ground off 4lb higher.

Third last time on soft ground. Going should suit. Jockey claiming five pounds. Distance no problem. Has to be taken seriously. Will be there at the business end of the race.

Stable 2/10 in this race and selection has shown definite signs of ability in 2/3 of their non handicap runs to date. Starts in handicap company of decent mark of 62, very under used jockey up who does very well for this yard and very good trainer is tops here numerically last 5 seasons, making current 10/1 very good Ew value in the race.

BELLA LOVE has been placed in five races from ten starts. Fourth over 5f at Wolverhampton on her latest outing last month. Upped in trip to 7f should suit. Seems well treated and could well be able to win this race.

Trainer Katie Scott has a 31% strike rate this season with her turf 3-year-olds. Just the 5 starts so far for this filly and didn't fare too badly when 2nd over 6f in a class 6 on the AW on its penultimate start, picking up late on. It is upped to 7f for the first time, which should be more to its liking. It is upped to class 5, which could indicate it is showing improvement at home, plus carries its lowest weight so far of 8st 6lb and could do well today.

WHO WANTS ME showed some promise as a 2-year-old, but the first two runs this year have been unrecognizable. She should bounce back at some point and is worth a punt at this price just in case that's today. Her previous run here was one of her best too, and that was also on softer ground. Throw in the drop in grade, and maybe the tide is turned here.