Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites
- Kemi Badenoch remains the outright favourite to be the next Conservative leader
- Latest odds at 1/6 that the next General Election will take place in July-September 2024
- Labour are heavy favourites to win the General Election
Kemi Badenoch remains the outright favourite to be the next Conservative leader
UPDATE 22nd May: Rishi Sunak could well announce the next General Election later today with reports that a cabinet meeting will take place at 4pm and bookies seeing a surge of bets placed on a July election.
Betting odds are still available on who will be the next Conservative Party leader with Kemi Badenoch remaining the clear favourite in the betting market to take over from Rishi Sunak next.
The latest odds from bookmakers have Badenoch as the 3/1 favourite to be the next leader of the party with Sunak expected to leave if they lose the next General Election later this year.
Back in January, ConservativeHome's first leadership poll put Badenoch as the favourite to take over as the leader of the party next and bookies say there's a decent chance it happens too.
Paddy Power have Badenoch at 3/1 in the market with those odds giving an implied probability of 25% that she becomes the next Conservative Leader.
| Next Conservative Leader | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kemi Badenoch | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Penny Mordaunt | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Priti Patel | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Suella Braverman | 13/2 | 13.3% |
| James Cleverly | 13/2 | 13.3% |
What the expert says...
Latest odds at 1/6 that the next General Election will take place in July-September 2024
It's now expected that the next General Election will take place soon with July-September now the clear favourite at 1/6 in the market.
Rishi Sunak has previously stated that his "working assumption" was that the General Election would take place in the second half of the year and the latest odds suggest that will be the case.
Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
Labour are heavy favourites to win the General Election
Labour's odds of winning the next General Election are now so short that it looks like there's no chance that Keir Starmer loses against the opposition when it takes place later this year.
The Labour Party are now 1/33 to get the most seats at the General Election, with a Labour Majority currently 1/12 to happen with a dominant display expected at the polls.
Conservative's are now out to 10/1 to win the most seats at the upcoming General Election with those odds suggesting just a 9% chance of winning.
UK General Election Betting Odds
The Current Safe Seats with the biggest majorities in the 2019 General Election are shown below
Safe Seats
The Closest-Fought constituencies in the 2019 General Election feature some big areas
Close Seats
| These were the closest-fought constituency seats in the 2019 general elections. | ||
|---|---|---|
| Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Bury North | Bedford |
| Coventry North West | Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | Dagenham and Rainham |
| Bury South | Bolton North East | Coventry South |
| High Peak | Wimbledon | Sheffield, Hallam |
| Carshalton and Wallington | Gedling | Warwick and Leamington |
| West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine | Winchester | Cheltenham |
Political Betting Author Information
Political Betting Expert
Jake Ashton
Senior News Editor
