Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch remains CLEAR FAVOURITE to lead the Conservative Party next after Rishi Sunak!

Updated: 18 Politics & Current Affairs

Kemi Badenoch still sits at the top of the betting market to become the next Conservative Leader as bookies continue to offer odds.

Next Conservative Leader Betting Odds: Kemi Badenoch remains CLEAR FAVOURITE to lead the Conservative Party next after Rishi Sunak!
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

  • Kemi Badenoch remains the outright favourite to be the next Conservative leader
  • Latest odds at 1/12 that the next General Election will take place in October-December 2024
  • Labour are heavy favourites to win the General Election

Kemi Badenoch remains the outright favourite to be the next Conservative leader

Betting odds are still available on who will be the next Conservative Party leader with Kemi Badenoch remaining the clear favourite in the betting market to take over from Rishi Sunak next.

The latest odds from bookmakers have Badenoch as the 3/1 favourite to be the next leader of the party with Sunak expected to leave if they lose the next General Election later this year.

Back in January, ConservativeHome's first leadership poll put Badenoch as the favourite to take over as the leader of the party next and bookies say there's a decent chance it happens too.

Paddy Power have Badenoch at 3/1 in the market with those odds giving an implied probability of 25% that she becomes the next Conservative Leader.

Next Conservative LeaderOddsProbability
Kemi Badenoch
3/125.0%
Penny Mordaunt5/116.7%
Priti Patel
6/114.3%
Suella Braverman
13/213.3%
James Cleverly
13/213.3%
What the expert says...

Kemi Badenoch remains favourite in the market to become the next Conservative Leader with the latest betting odds giving a 25% chance that she replaces Rishi Sunak in the role.

Nigel Skinner - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Latest odds at 1/12 that the next General Election will take place in October-December 2024

It's now expected that the next General Election will take place at some point towards the back end of the year with October-December the clear favourite at 1/12 in the market.

Rishi Sunak has previously stated that his "working assumption" was that the General Election would take place in the second half of the year and the latest odds suggest that will be the case.

Bookies have now shortened the chances from 1/4 into 1/12 that the General Election takes place between October-December 2024.

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Labour are heavy favourites to win the General Election

Labour's odds of winning the next General Election are now so short that it looks like there's no chance that Keir Starmer loses against the opposition when it takes place later this year.

The Labour Party are now 1/33 to get the most seats at the General Election, with a Labour Majority currently 1/12 to happen with a dominant display expected at the polls.

Conservative's are now out to 10/1 to win the most seats at the upcoming General Election with those odds suggesting just a 9% chance of winning.

UK General Election Betting Odds
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Political Betting Author Information

Nigel Skinner

Political Betting Expert

If you want to know anything about Political betting markets then Nigel is your go-to guy. Nigel has years of experience writing and following betting odds around a whole host of political markets including General Elections, By-Elections and even the infamous Brexit betting markets!

- Nigel Skinner, Blog content manager

Jake Ashton

Jake Ashton

Senior news editor

Jake is our News Content Manager. He reviews all content, fact-checks the data, edits the copy and enhances all of the OLBG News content from our expert team ahead of publication.

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