Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Vinicius Junior now sits at 4/9 with bookies to win the 2024 Ballon d'Or
- Manchester City midfielder Rodri sits as second favourite in the betting market
- Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last year after World Cup win
Vinicius Junior now sits at 4/9 with bookies to win the 2024 Ballon d'Or
Betting remains open on the 2024 Ballon d'Or this year with Real Madrid and Brazil superstar Vinicius Junior now the 4/9 favourite with betting sites.
Vini Jr has had a massive year for Real and winning the UEFA Champions League saw his odds tumble into favourite and that has stayed the same ever since.
The Real Madrid forward's odds have actually drifted slightly from 2/5 to 4/9 with his chances of winning moving from 71.4% to 69.2%.
Real dominate the market here with 3 of the top 5 contenders playing for the Spanish giants including Kylian Mbappe who moved to the club in the summer window.
| Ballon d'Or 2024 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Vinícius Júnior | 2/5 | 69.2% |
| Rodri | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Jude Bellingham | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Kylian Mbappe | 22/1 | 4.3% |
| Harry Kane | 33/1 | 2.9% |
What the expert says...
Manchester City midfielder Rodri sits as second favourite in the betting market
Rodri looks like Vini Jr's only real contender in the Ballon d'Or betting market after he won the Premier League with Manchester City and the Euros with Spain this year.
The Man City midfielder is now known as the best midfielder in the world and he has been linked with the Ballon d'Or by fans and pundits alike in the past few months.
This season has seen Rodri play no minutes yet for City as Pep Guardiola looks to give him an extended break after a busy campaign for the 28-year-old last year.
Rodri did play for Spain though during the international break in their 4-1 win against Switzerland, with the midfielder suspended for their first game.
Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last year after World Cup win
Last year's Ballon d'Or award was handed to Lionel Messi after he won the 2022 World Cup for Argentina in Qatar over the winter period before that.
After winning the World Cup, Messi left PSG to join Inter Miami in the MLS and that move to America has been successful.
Messi's latest Ballon d'Or win was his eighth in an era largely dominated by him and Cristiano Ronaldo with the pair winning 13 of the last 15 Ballon d'Or awards.
