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- Kylian Mbappe is 5/2 favourite to win his first Ballon d’Or
- The 2026 World Cup could decide this year’s award
- Teen sensation Lamine Yamal is second in the betting after breakout Barcelona season
It’s a World Cup year and that means the Ballon d’Or 2026 could be one of the most competitive in recent memory.
France’s Kylian Mbappe is the clear bookies' favourite to finally claim the coveted individual prize, with young superstar Lamine Yamal and England’s Harry Kane among the top challengers.
Betting markets are starting to heat up, and with the World Cup in the United States, Canada and Mexico fast approaching, performances on the biggest stage could heavily influence voting this autumn.
Bet365's early market gives Mbappe a 28.6% chance of being crowned Ballon d'Or winner later this year.
⚽ Ballon d’Or 2026 Latest Odds
| Ballon d’Or 2026 Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| Lamine Yamal | 11/4 | 26.7% |
| Harry Kane | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Erling Haaland | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Declan Rice | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Raphinha | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Can Mbappe Finally Claim Football’s Top Honour?
Despite winning nearly everything else in the game, Kylian Mbappe is yet to get his hands on the Ballon d'Or.
After being edged out by Lionel Messi and Rodri in recent years, 2026 could finally be his year, especially if France go deep at the World Cup and he continues his electric form at club level.
He’s currently trading at 5/2, topping the market and looking to become the first French winner since Benzema in 2022.
What the expert says...
Lamine Yamal Continues Meteoric Rise
At just 18 years old, Barcelona’s Lamine Yamal is second favourite at 11/4, a remarkable price for a teenager.
But he’s already producing at an elite level, with goals, assists, and standout moments in both La Liga and the Champions League.
If he stars for Spain at the World Cup, Yamal could become the youngest ever Ballon d’Or winner.
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Kane and Rice Fly Flag for England
Harry Kane sits at 4/1 and could shoot up the rankings if he powers England to their first major trophy since 1966.
His club form has remained consistent and success at international level may be the final piece in the Ballon d’Or puzzle for the Bayern Munich forward.
Fellow England star Declan Rice is priced at 8/1 and is enjoying a standout season with Arsenal.
As a midfield general for both club and country, Rice could become a serious candidate with a strong summer.
Where To Bet on the Ballon d'Or
Betting markets for the Ballon d'Or 2026 are now available with leading UK betting sites.
Bet365 is currently offering odds on the top contenders, and you can browse the best football betting sites for more Ballon d’Or specials and outright markets.
New customers can also take advantage of exclusive free bets when signing up to selected bookmakers.
