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- Josh Kerr has emerged as the favourite for this year's Sports Personality of the Year award with William Hill
- His surge follows a record-breaking mile performance and a Commonwealth Games gold medal on home soil within the space of two weeks
- Jude Bellingham and Rory McIlroy round out the leading contenders, with a genuinely broad field spanning multiple sports further down the market
A Fortnight That Changed Everything
Every so often, an athlete puts together a run of form so good that it completely reshapes an entire award race, and that's exactly what's happened with Josh Kerr.
UK betting sites have reacted swiftly to an extraordinary two weeks for the middle-distance runner, propelling him straight to the top of the market for this year's Sports Personality of the Year award.
William Hill now have Kerr as a clear favourite at 15/8, a notable gap opening up between him and the rest of the field.
It's a considerable shift in momentum, and with several months still to go before the ceremony, the timing of his form couldn't have worked out better in terms of keeping his achievements fresh in voters' minds heading into the crucial final stretch of the year.
SPOTY Odds: The Full Market
| Sports Personality of the Year 2026 | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Kerr | 15/8 | 34.8% |
| Jude Bellingham | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Rory McIlroy | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Matt Weston | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Harry Kane | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Luke Littler | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| George Russell | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Keely Hodgkinson | 20/1 | 4.8% |
The Fortnight Behind The Surge
Kerr's remarkable run began with a record-breaking mile performance, an achievement that alone would have generated significant attention within the athletics world.
But it's what followed that's really captured the wider public imagination, a gold medal effort at the Commonwealth Games, delivered on home soil in front of his own supporters.
That combination of a standout individual record followed so quickly by a major championship win in front of a home crowd is exactly the kind of narrative that tends to resonate strongly come voting time in December, and the betting markets have reacted accordingly.
Football And Golf Provide The Chasing Pack
Behind Kerr, Jude Bellingham holds the next-shortest price at 4/1 after a strong performance at the World Cup this summer.
Rory McIlroy follows at 6/1, alongside Matt Weston, who's also priced at 6/1, giving an early sense of just how competitive the middle of this year's field remains, even with Kerr now setting the pace.
Harry Kane sits at 7/1, while darts sensation Luke Littler continues to attract strong betting interest at 8/1, a reflection of his rapid rise to prominence in recent years.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On Sports Personality Of The Year
With the ceremony still months away, plenty can still change before the voting closes in December, and it's worth comparing prices across a range of betting sites as the year develops.
Many operators are also running free bets for new customers, which is worth exploring if you're new to betting on awards markets.
Our guide to the best entertainment betting sites is a great place to start for comparing your options.
