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- Kimi Antonelli is the clear favourite with bet365 at 13/8
- Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc make up the rest of the leading group, while George Russell will look to bounce back after a difficult Belgium
- Antonelli holds a commanding 45-point lead over Hamilton and 50 points over Russell in the Drivers' Championship
Antonelli Heads Into The Break In Style
Formula 1 arrives in Hungary for the final round before its four-week summer break, and the bookies have Kimi Antonelli as the man to beat.
It's been a superb run of form for the young Mercedes driver, and after a standout victory last time out in Belgium, bet365 have made him the clear leading contender heading into this weekend.
With a four-race gap before the sport returns, there's plenty of incentive for the front-runners to finish this stretch on a high, and Antonelli looks best placed to do exactly that.
Antonelli's recent form has translated into a serious lead at the top of the Drivers' Championship table.
A Tale Of Two Mercedes
The story out of Belgium wasn't a straightforward one for Mercedes. While Antonelli was busy claiming a superb win, his team-mate George Russell endured a torrid afternoon, retiring after tangling with Lewis Hamilton on the opening lap.
It's a result that's left the two Mercedes drivers heading into Hungary in very different moods, and it's added an extra layer of intrigue to how this weekend might play out, particularly if Hamilton and Russell find themselves racing close together again.
For Russell especially, this feels like a weekend to put a difficult result behind him before the break sets in.
Winner Odds: How The Market Shapes Up
Bet365 have priced up the full grid ahead of the weekend, with Antonelli sitting clear at the top of the market.
| Hungarian Grand Prix Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | 13/8 | 61.5% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 15/4 | 21.1% |
| Charles Leclerc | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| George Russell | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Lando Norris | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Max Verstappen | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Oscar Piastri | 20/1 | 4.8% |
Antonelli's price reflects a market that firmly expects him to carry his Belgium form straight into Hungary, though Hamilton and Leclerc both remain live contenders at shorter prices than the rest of the field.
Further back, Norris and Verstappen trade level at 9/1, with Piastri the outsider of the leading names at 20/1.
The Championship Picture
Antonelli currently sits 45 points clear of Hamilton and a full 50 points ahead of Russell, a gap that's grown significantly over recent rounds.
It's the kind of advantage that allows a driver to approach a weekend with real confidence, and with the summer break offering a natural pause for reflection, a strong result in Hungary would be the perfect way for Antonelli to head into that downtime.
Latest outright odds on the Drivers' Championship put Antonelli as the clear favourite at 2/9 to win the season.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet On The Hungarian Grand Prix
Bet365 currently have one of the more comprehensive markets for this weekend's race, though it's always worth comparing across the wider range of betting sites before placing a bet, particularly with a result like Belgium fresh in the memory and prices potentially shifting throughout the week.
Our guide to the best F1 betting sites is a good place to start for comparing the top operators for this kind of market.
