Premier League Betting Odds Analysis and Statistics

Betting odds analysis should always play a part in your football research. Here we look at the EPL season in relation to the betting odds and whether favourites or outsiders won each game, or did the game go to the middle-priced odds.
Premier League Betting Odds Analysis and Statistics
Nigel Skinner
Nigel Skinner Expert Guide

Many people bet based on headlines or hunches. I dig into research and market moves behind political odds & manager markets, so you can back decisions, not guesses.

How The EPL Games Panned Out

Below you can see the running totals of how the game finished in relation to the odds, in the majority of cases, the underdog has the longest odds. 

In some instances however the draw is the largest of the odds, especially if teams are well matched. 

Results 

Results After Week 19
Shortest Odds 112
Longest Odds 34
Middle Odds 34


Every round of EPL matches saw a least one surprise. 

Up to week 19, the results percentages were as follows. 

  • The shortest odds won 62.22% of the time.  
  • The longest odds won 18.88% of the time. 
  • The middle odds won 18.88% of the time.



Here you can see an example from Week 13 of how the games finished

Home Away Result Home Odds Draw Odds Away Odds
Arsenal Newcastle 2-0 1.54 4.65 6.75
Brentford Everton 1-0 2.28 3.35 3.6
Brighton Leeds 0-0 2.25 3.4 3.7
Burnley Tottenham



Chelsea Manch Utd 1-1 1.58 4.35 6.75
Crystal Palace Aston Villa 1-2 2.38 3.42 3.43
Leicester Watford 4-2 1.76 4.05 5.45
Liverpool Southampton 4-0 1.26 6.75 13
Manch City West Ham 2-1 1.3 6.5 11.5
Norwich Wolves 0-0 3.75 3.42 2.24


  • Shortest Odds Have A Blue Background
  • Longest Odds Have a Red Background
  • Middle Odds Have A Green Background


The stats indicate that we should not be put off backing bigger priced selections, all we need to decide is which will be the teams that cause an upset.

A couple of things to remember, all the odds quoted were the best odds available, please make sure you always take the best odds from the best betting sites on OLBG

Each round of football fixtures can be tipped in the OLBG football tipping competitions

You can view a breakdown of individual weekly odds via this EPL Results Blog.  

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