
Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
I recently wrote a blog about finding many well handicapped 3yos to
go to war with over the flat season (read here How
To Make Money From 3yo Handicaps) and I've recently done my
first look through the 3yo handicaps to date in order to find the
best races so far.
Many races haven't had a chance to work out yet but one race I
picked up on is already working out astoundingly well and you can
check out the form of that race on the link below.
2:40 Nottingham 10th April 2013
1. Mayfield Girl - Won again at Thirsk next time out
2. The Art Of Racing - Won at Ripon next time out
3. Fils Anges - Not run since
4. My Name Is Rio - Not run since
5. Secret Look - Not run since
6. Bispham Green - Finished second next time out (beaten only by Mayfield Girl franking the form even stronger)
7. Secret Missile - Finished 5/13 at Sandown after being trapped wide the whole way
8. Moviesta - Won at Doncaster next time out
Now that's pretty strong form from the first eight with three
going on to win next time out, one finished second only to the
winner of this race and the other horse to have run since running
very well in the circumstances.
With three horses yet to run from this race I think we have the
opportunity to have a decent win on all three next time out.
Bearing mind 4 of the first 6 home either led or were prominent the
horses to take from the race could be those that were held up which
points to improved performances from Fils Anges and
Secret Look whilst My Name Is Rio also won't go
unbacked considering he was hampered and stayed on well.
File Anges looks like a return to 6f will serve him well,
especially since he was very unlucky not to win at Yarmouth on his
season debut over 6f. Fils Anges is due to run in the 4.25 at
Newmarket on Saturday and the biggest question mark could be the
ground (only win came on good to soft, he's never run on good to
firm, recent good runs have been on good) but since Michael Bell
has said that he hated the soft ground on his debut I'm confident
good to firm will be fine.
There are a few other horses who could be well handicapped in this
race but Fils Anges looks to have enough in his locker to cope with
anything in this race even considering a 4lb rise in the
weights.
Also in this race is Secret Missile, who finished a length behind
Fils Anges at Nottingham. Given their relative form it would be
rude not to have a decent forecast on the pair.
Summary
So in the 4.25 at Newmarket on Saturday I'll be having hefty bets on Fils Anges to win and Fils Anges to beat Secret Missile in a forecast. Going forward it is very much worth keeping an eye on My Name Is Rio and Secret Look who are worth backing next time out, especially if Fils Anges and Secret Missile frank the form again here. I'll be adding all these runners to the Horse Alerts Thread on the forum too.I'll continue to keep blog readers up to date with the 3yo handicaps that are most likely to produce winners and in a month or two I should be able to produce a list of 15 or so very likely next time out winners, hopefully after these ones have already done the business for us!