Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
October Trainers
October 2023 Trainers to Follow
We go into the last quarter of the year around level at the time of writing which is a little disappointing from where we were but we did have a good last quarter in 2022 so hopefully, we can do the same this year and end the year in profit.
+£73.41 last October so 5 return, we also have some exciting additions.
GB FLAT TURF
CHARLIE APPLEBY (ALL)
Back from last year when we made a profit following his 2yo’s, all his horses this time around.
-
2017 9/24 38% +£14.59
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2018 4/15 27% (£ 2.40)
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2019 2/10 20% (£ 2.67)
-
2020 8/22 36% +£ 9.36
-
2021 11/39 28% +£ 0.31
-
2022 13/45 29% +£13.44
Cracking strike rate but a reasonable LSP to go with it comes into the month on the back of a really good September.
RALPH BECKETT (ALL)
Back from last month where so far his 2yo figures have been a little disappointing, has some solid figures in October.
-
2019 10/41 24% +£44.75
-
2020 11/64 17% +£17.88
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2021 7/59 12% (£28.93)
-
2022 10/67 15% +£14.88
Ideally would like a slightly better strike rate but has started to run into a bit of form at the end of September so hopefully can carry that on into October.
GB NH
DONALD McCAIN (ALL)
Back from last year where he made a tiny loss, I made a note to include this year, he had 8 seconds and 15 thirds so 35/49 runners finished in the first 3.
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2019 2/35 7% +£21.00
-
2020 9/50 18% +£ 4.50
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2021 23/65 35% +£21.13
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2022 9/49 18% (£ 8.33)
Our own figures showed just a (1.82) LSL using early prices, I think he’s well worth the risk.
KIM BAILEY (ALL)
Back from last year where he provided a +£18.83 LSP, 5 of his 6 winners were 7/2 or above.
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2018 9/22 41% +£ 9.16
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2019 5/18 28% +£14.43
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2020 13/45 29% +£ 9.14
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2021 3/30 10% (£20.95)
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2022 6/22 27% +£ 8.29
We forgave him a poor 2021 and our loyalty was rewarded with a really good month, let's hope for more of the same.
JONJO O’NEIL (ALL)
The star of the show last month with a +£73.05 LSP, which was largely due to a 94/1 winner on the exchange.
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2019 8/58 14% +£ 5.38
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2020 11/75 15% +£23.88
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2021 12/64 19% +£22.18
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2022 9/54 17% +£53.36
Ideally, we would like a better strike rate but you can’t argue with the LSP, 2 winners from his last 3 runners at the time of writing.
HARRY FRY (ALL)
Another back from last year where he produced a +£2.00 LSP
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2016 6/26 23% +£ 1.68
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2017 7/30 23% (£ 1.00)
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2018 2/13 15% +£ 1.50
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2019 4/22 18% +£ 8.50
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2020 5/29 17% (£ 9.75)
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2021 6/27 22% +£ 2.33
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2022 5/15 33% (£ 3.04)
Despite the SP figure we made a profit last year with him and with such a nice strike rate would be folly to omit.
GB AW
JOHN & THADY GOSDEN (ALL)
Not as prominent in the blog in recent years but has some stand out AW figures in October. The figures below are John on his own up to and including 2020, after that it’s Thady in partnership with his dad.
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2016 5/17 29% +£ 6.97
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2017 7/24 29% +£ 4.94
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2018 7/26 30% +£ 3.30
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2019 13/42 31% +£ 2.67
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2020 10/40 25% +£ 9.41
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2021 5/23 22% (£11.97)
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2022 13/26 50% +£28.32
2021 was the first year of Thady’s inclusion, whether they tried something different or just an anomaly I’m not sure but back with a bang last year. Really strong figures.
IRISH NH
NOEL MEADE (ALL)
Last up a bit of interest over the water, back from last year with a +£2.19 LSP.
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2016 11/34 32% +£ 7.25
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2017 9/42 21% +£ 5.55
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2018 6/29 21% (£ 2.00)
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2019 10/45 22% +£13.47
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2020 15/63 24% (£12.80)
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2021 3/24 13% (£ 3.00)
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2022 7/21 33% (£ 6.07)
This might look like a strange inclusion on the face of it but my reasoning is, that we made an EP profit from him last year and I rarely omit trainers after a winning month. The fact we outscored the SP figure by +£8.26 from just 7 winners last year suggests that if something similar had happened in 2020 from 15 winners we would have likely made a profit that year despite the £12.80 loss. What this does tell us is we have to get on this guy early as his horses are usually well bet.
As always any questions or comments please leave below, good luck!!!!!
Results
Date | Runners | Winners | LSP | Running P&L |
---|---|---|---|---|
1/10/2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2/10/2023 | 2 | 1 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
3/10/2023 | 10 | 0 | -10 | -9.62 |
4/10/2023 | 14 | 1 | -10.5 | -20.12 |
5/10/2023 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -13.12 |
6/10/2023 | 5 | 0 | -5 | -18.12 |
7/10/2023 | 8 | 1 | -5.63 | -23.75 |
8/10/2023 | 3 | 1 | 5.5 | -18.25 |
9/10/2023 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -17.25 |
10/10/2023 | 5 | 2 | 9.38 | -7.87 |
11/10/2023 | 11 | 1 | -8.5 | -16.37 |
12/10/2023 | 9 | 3 | 10.63 | -5.74 |
13/10/2023 | 18 | 4 | -2.87 | -8.61 |
14/10/2023 | 11 | 5 | 12.91 | 4.3 |
15/10/2023 | 8 | 1 | -2.45 | 1.85 |
16/10/2023 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 19.85 |
17/10/2023 | 6 | 0 | -6 | 13.85 |
18/10/2023 | 11 | 3 | -0.31 | 13.54 |
19/10/2023 | 5 | 1 | 2.65 | 16.19 |
20/10/2023 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 15.19 |
21/10/2023 | 8 | 0 | -8 | 7.19 |
22/10/2023 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 16.19 |
23/10/2023 | 3 | 1 | -1.46 | 14.73 |
24/10/2023 | 9 | 0 | -9 | 5.73 |
25/10/2023 | 13 | 4 | 4.8 | 10.53 |
26/10/2023 | 9 | 2 | -7.7 | 2.83 |
27/10/2023 | 6 | 1 | -3.75 | -0.92 |
28/10/2023 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 5.08 |
29/10/2023 | 4 | 1 | -2.33 | 2.75 |
30/10/2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.75 |
31/10/2023 | 10 | 2 | -0.25 | 2.5 |
YTD (October) | -6.86 |
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