4:55 Perth Tips

This looks like a good opportunity for this Rutherford horse to add to recent wins, one of those being over C&D. It still looks to be well handicapped.

Iain Jardine can take this with his ex-Irish stable debutante Shuil Na Tra, who last won at Sligo in August last year while still trained by Norman Lee. There has been a fair amount of money for him here from an early price of 10/1 down to his current price of about 4/1.

Maillot Blanc won here last time by a short distance of a neck from Happygolucky Index. When winning by this distance with staying on, the horse may have more in the locker that can see delivering another big run with five pounds more.

The model I run suggests Burgundy Man can win this one. This result has been driven by Burgundy Man having a comparably high RPR to the other runners in this 10-horse field but an official ranking that leaves him looking relatively well treated off. Goes out carrying just shy of 1 stone less than the current market favorite and top weight over this 2m 7f trip. Form looks to be improving with a good second when last time out 24 days ago and looks to go one better here. Model has issued a 'very low' stakes indicator which translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

Dalileo is on a mark of 92, which looks fair as he is back on his last winning mark. Last time, he finished 6th in a handicap hurdle here where he needed the run but likes this track. Over course and distance, he has a 9.09% win rate and 54.5% place rate, showing he handles the trip and course well. On similar going, he has a 9.09% win and 27.3% place rate. In class 6 races, he has a 12.5% win rate and 31.25% place rate. Possibilities here.

No Rematch has improved this year since having wind surgery and got back handicapping in May to a C4 second. He seems on a decent mark for this drop back to C5.

This gelding looks good value to me. The yard is going well, and the horse has won his last 4 completed starts. A three-pound rise for his Kelso win shouldn't stop him.