Eurovision 1st Semi-Final Betting: Bookmakers have Ukraine as Clear Favourites to Win

Eurovision 1st Semi-Final Betting: Bookmakers have Ukraine as Clear Favourites to Win
Steve Madgwick
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.

  • Ukraine short priced favourites with bookmakers to win the first Eurovision Song Contest Semi-Final
  • Norway, Greece and Netherlands are next in the Betting
  • Betting sites give Ukraine a 61% chance of winning against Next best Greece just 14%
  • The First Semi Final takes place on Tuesday 10th May, the second 2 days later
  • The Final is on 14th May in Turin - Italy

1st Semi Final Running Order and Betting

Tuesday 10th of May is a date for the diary as the first semi-final for the 2022 Eurovision song contest takes place in Turin in Italy. We know the running order, and present that below with the betting and probability betting sites have offered each country win this semi final - You can also bet on which countries will qualify by finishing in the top ten in the first semi final.

Ukraine are short-priced favourites to win the first Eurovision Semi-Final in Turin on the 10th May with bookmakers giving them a 61% chance of winning. The next best is Greece, afforded just a 14% chance of victory
Steve Madgwick - Entertainment Betting Specialist - OLBG.com

Eurovision 2022 Semi-Final 1 Running Order and Betting

The table is ordered in terms of the favourite switch betting sites to win the heat, with the order in which they will perform in the first column

Performing Country Odds Probability
6 Ukraine 1.62 61.73%
15 Greece 6.80 14.71%
8 Netherlands 8.40 11.90%
16 Norway 8.80 11.36%
10 Portugal 25 4.00%
13 Austria 29 3.45%
17 Armenia 34 2.94%
4 Switzerland 34 2.94%
1 Albania 36 2.78%
9 Moldova 40 2.50%
11 Croatia 46 2.17%
14 Iceland 46 2.17%
3 Lithuania 46 2.17%
12 Denmark 46 2.17%
7 Bulgaria 50 2.00%
2 Latvia 50 2.00%
5 Slovenia 50 2.00%


As you can see, considering any other country to win outside of Ukraine, so far the bookmakers are concerned would be speculative at the least.

The countries looking like having the best shot are Greece, The Netherlands, and Norway.


Of the Top 4 in the betting, Norway, Netherlands and Greece have all previously won 2 semi-finals in the competition, Ukraine only once, but are odds on with bookmakers to make it a second on May 10th in Turin
Steve Madgwick - Entertainment Betting Specialist - OLBG.com

There may be some benefit in performing late and Greece and Norway are the final two performances on the night.

Since the Semi-Finals for the competition were introduced in 1996, Greece has won twice, (2008 & 2011), The Netherlands twice too, (2014 & 2019) Norway (2009 & 2018).

Ukraine have only competed since 2003 of course and won the Semi-final in 2008 when finishing second overall in the final.

More Eurovision Betting Information
For more history, statistics, trends and betting analysis, head over to the Eurovision Song Contest betting Guide

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