Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase - Tips & Trends

Updated: 2208 Horse Racing

I'll take a look at a few tips and trends for the Paddy Power GoldCup in search of unearthing the winner, using the last 10 yearsdata.AgeA list of the different runners age groups with their wins, placesand non-completes listed too.5

Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

I'll take a look at a few tips and trends for the Paddy Power Gold Cup in search of unearthing the winner, using the last 10 years data.

Age

A list of the different runners age groups with their wins, places and non-completes listed too.

5 Year Olds

- 13 have ran producing 0 winners and 4 places. 4 runners also did not finish. Not a particularly strong trend. Only fancied good horses would be sent here at 5, and obviously find the experience too much to give away.

6 Year Olds

- 29 runners have given 2 winners and 5 placed efforts. Of the remaining 22, 9 have not completed. More likely to not finish than win or place, and again one for consideration but not adherence. Experience looks key here.

7 Year Olds

- 41 runners providing 6 wins and 7 places with only 8 not completing. The strongest age group in terms of winners and also finishing the race. At 7 it looks like they've matured enough to fully run their race.

8 Year Olds

- 43 runners have given only 1 win and 5 places, with 13 failing to cross the line completely. More likely to not finish than finish well, and looks like another one to avoid.

9 Year Olds

- 1 winner and 6 places from 21 runners is a good strike rate, but similarly there have been 9 not finishing the race. Too risky as a group.

10+ Year Olds

- 18 runners with no winners or placers and 6 failed to finish. Avoid these older horses.
Looks fairly convincing that the safest and age group to be backing is the 7 year olds. Probably due to having enough experience to make it count, whilst still having the right mix of youth and speed to burn.

7 Year Olds

Al Ferof, Hunt Ball, Grands Crus, Quantitiveeasing, Walkon, Kingsmere, Questions Answered & Gilbarry.

Weight

Only 1 winner has carried top weight and that was 2002's winner. Only two more have carried less than 8lbs lower than the top weight, with only 3 more of these filling the places so I'm inclined to not look towards the top half of the weights.
This leaves us with:
Walkon (8/1)
Kingsmere (33/1)
Questions Answered (50/1)
Gilbarry (66/1)
I prefer Kingsmere out of the four at a big price of 33/1.

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