Jumpers' Bumpers preview
A bit of frost and a smattering of snow and then, yes, it’s time for the arrival of those rare National Hunt birds; the ‘Jumpers' Bumpers’. A lot of punters may well swerve these curious races, perhaps rightly believing that most of the runners are just having a day out to sharpen their fitness for when the ‘real’ races return. That may well be true to an extent but there are winners to be had if we can work out these unusual conundrums.
Another 'Jumpers Bumpers' card has been scheduled for Thursday 11th February at Kempton.
Some good horses will be on show at Kempton including high class chaser Top Notch, Grade Two winning hurdler Birchdale and former Ladbroke Hurdle winner Sternrubin, who will be having his first start for Fergal O'Brien.
A trio of big trainers who haven't previously been too interested in 'Jumpers Bumpers' have decided to get involved on Thursday at Kempton.
David Pipe saddles his first three runners in these events with Major Robinson (2.05), Iron Heart (2.40) and To Fly Free (3.10).
Philip Hobbs has also not had any previous runners in JB but is definitely grasping the nettle at Kempton with three runners: Forever Des Long (2.40), Earth Moor (4.15) and Le Ligerien (4.45).
Colin Tizzard has only had one previous runner in a 'Jumpers Bumper' but he is due to run Floy Joy in the 2.05.
We have added some stats below which we hope you will find helpful but if you are still unsure who to back why not have a look at who the OLBG expert tipsters are backing in 'Jumpers Bumpers here.
Jumpers Bumpers - The Statistics
‘Jumpers' Bumpers’ races date back as far as 2010 but finding any useable data about such races is not straightforward and the information I have found has come from the excellent Horseracebase website.
So, where to begin? Each ‘Jumpers' Bumper’ has a slightly different set of race conditions and therefore a differing pool of horses who are eligible to run. It’s always worth familiarising yourself with the different conditions so you feel confident that all the runners come from fairly similar backgrounds.
The next area to be aware of is how the respective trainers approach these races. Below is a table of all currently licensed trainers who have had more than one winner in ‘Jumpers' Bumpers’:
|Henderson, N J||47-15-26||+9.54|
|Nicholls, P F
|Greatrex, W J
|McCain Jnr, D||64-8-20||-28.80|
|Phelan, P M
|Kirby, P A
|O'Neill, J J
|King, N B||15-2-4||-9.00|
|Mullins, Seamus (JW)
|Channon, M R||3-2-2||+16.88|
(Table correct after Kempton 9th February 2021)
Jumpers Bumpers - Trainers To Note
Perhaps unsurprisingly Nicky Henderson tops the numerical table with 15 wins from 47 runners for a strike rate of just under 32%. Anyone backing all of Nicky’s runners in these races would have made themselves a 9.54 level stakes profit at SP (slightly more if betting to Betfair SP). Before punters start raiding their piggy banks to get behind any Henderson runners it is worth mentioning that 12 of the 21 horses of Henderson’s that have started favourite have been beaten.
Henderson is taking full use of the 'Jumpers Bumpers' at Kempton on Thursday 11th February with a whopping seven runners.
A more surprising name on our winners list is Brian Ellison with 12 victories. Ellison has done particularly well at Newcastle where he has had 5 winners from 26 runners.
Next on the list of numerical winners are: Paul Nicholls (10), Warren Greatrex (9), Donald McCain (8), Dan Skelton (8)and Rebecca Menzies (8). Nicholls, Skelton and Greatrex have returned a level stakes profit despite numerous runners but Donald McCain fans would be out of pocket following that trainer despite his eight winners.
Rebecca Menzies who has also had eight winners in these unusual races in a very short space of time. Not only has Menzies sent out eight winners at odds of 7/4, 5/2, 5/2, 9/2, 11/2, 11/2, 16/1 and 20/1. Menzies has also had placed horses ar 33/1 and 100/1! Menzies was formerly assistant trainer to master tactician Ferdy Murphy and the Sedgefield based trainer has obviously learnt well when it comes to successful placing of her horses.
Harry Fry's runners need to be particularly noted as the Dorset based trainer has had five winners from just 10 runners for a whopping level stakes profit of 63.5. That figure has been skewed by the victory at 40/1 of Presenting Arms at Kempton in 2014 but even without that he would still be over 23 points in profit.
Gary Moore had been top of our 'cold' trainers list but has suddenly found the key to winning 'Jumpers' Bumpers'. Despite running former Champion Chase winner Sire De Grugy in a JB, the first 18 horses Moore ran in these races did not return any winners. Since then though four of his last nineteen runners have won and Gary Moore is now very much on the trainers to follow list for 'Jumpers Bumpers'.
Jumpers Bumpers - Trainers To Be Wary Of
So, we now know the trainers to keep an eye out for but are there any we should be looking to avoid? Obviously, we are dealing with quite a small sample size, but the following trainers would normally be expected to have a better return than the figures below:
- Tim Vaughan 0/18
- Laura Mongan 0/18
- Michael Chapman 0/14
- Micky Hammond 0/12
- Fergal O'Brien 0/12
- Martin Keighley 1/15
- Nick Gifford 1/15
- Emma Lavelle 1/14
- Milton Harris 1/13
- Paul Webber 1/10
Jumpers Bumpers - Jockeys To Note
Nico de Boinville was interviewed after guiding Whitlock to victory in a particularly rough looking race on the 8th January and Nicky Henderson's stable pilot admitted that he and the other jockeys were still getting used to riding in these type of races. De Boinville went on to say that judging the pace required was particularly difficult. With that in mind it might be worth looking at the jockeys who have previously had more than one success in'Jumpers' Bumpers':
|Boinville, Nico de
|Brennan, P J
|Todd, C J
|McLernon, R P
(Table correct after Kempton 9th February 2021)
The first thing that becomes apparent is that the jockeys who are winning the most tend to be the older, more experienced jockeys. Now retired jockeys such as Noel Fehily, Tony McCoy and Barry Geraghty also all had considerable success in these races so, perhaps, it might be worth giving your selection an extra tick if the jockey engaged has plenty of experience.
Daryl Jacob caught the eye when giving Black Kalanisi a well-judged ride when winning at Lingfield on the 8th Jan. Horses partnered by Jacob in these races should be viewed positively.
It's also noteworthy that Dougie Costello features near the top of our winners' table. Costello retains his NH riding licence but has been predominantly a flat jockey since 2013. For that reason alone Costello will have had much more experience of riding on the all-weather so he (and any other dual purpose jocks) would be a significant advantage.
Nathan Moscrop has been riding well at the recent 'Jumpers' Bumpers' meetings, riding six winners for the forward-thinking trainer Rebecca Menzies.
Good luck with your bets in 'Jumpers Bumpers'. If you have any other statistics that may prove useful please do add them below.