Horse Racing Trainers To Follow In November

November Trainers

A small profit in October (2023) meaning we are around level for the year going into the final 2 months.  November (2022) was a losing month for us last year so just 2 will return.  We have 7 trainers in total, 3 NH and 4 AW.

GB NH

PAUL NICHOLLS (NON CHASE)

Champion trainer who generally gets his string firing early. 

• 2019     10/63     16%     (£31.01)

• 2020     25/76     33%    +£44.36

• 2021     15/59     27%     (£16.99)

• 2022     22/57     39%    +£16.34

Two really good years from the last Three and it wouldn’t be ridiculous to expect a single figure loss in 2021 using early prices from 15 winners.  Having watched a recent interview he said that his horses were further forward than in recent years.

Remember we are ignoring his chasers who are 39/160 and (£27.06) over the 4 November’s.

KIM BAILEY (CHASE)

Back from last month where he gave us a profit with all his runners.

• 2019     5/18     28%     (£ 3.38)

• 2020     5/21     24%    +£ 2.10

• 2021     3/11     27%    +£ 6.00

• 2022     2/17     12%    +£ 9.00

Steady stuff and he’s 1/1 with his chase runners in October.

IRISH NH

WILLIE MULLINS (ALL)

Needs no introduction, this is the month he starts the big guns on their first steps to possible Cheltenham glory.

• 2014     34/80     43%    (£ 4.23)

• 2015     26/59     44%    +£ 2.94

• 2016     20/46     43%    +£ 7.74

• 2017     18/47     38%    (£ 7.89)

• 2018     13/54     24%    (£ 4.71)

• 2019     31/101   31%    (£ 5.15)

• 2020     26/67     39%    (£ 4.81)

• 2021      9/47      19%    (£ 3.96)

• 2022     16/58     28%    (£ 1.51)

I know what you're thinking “why are we following a trainer with 7 losing months out of the last 9”?  Well most of the losing months are less than £5 LSL and with double figure winners we would definitely turn those losing months into winning ones using Early prices.                   An example of this was July 2022 we made a +£4.18 profit from Mullins, that month he had 17 winners and his SP loss was (£13.52), so £17.60 extra profit from 17 winners.        June 2023 he made an appearance again, our figures showed a +£11.50 LSP from 17 winners, the SP win was just +£3.41 so £8 extra.  His figures are so consistent I’m certain that if he makes a single figure loss we will make a healthy profit.

GB AW

WILLIE HAGGAS (3YO’S)

Back from last year where he made a small profit from just 3 runners.

• 2016     2/3       67%     +£  3.67

• 2017     2/7       29%     +£  0.44

• 2018     3/9       33%     +£  2.00

• 2019     3/10     30%     +£  2.83

• 2020     4/9       44%     +£  4.54

• 2021     2/6       33%      (£  2.55)

• 2022     2/3       67%     +£ 4.50

Really solid stuff, no reason why we shouldn't be included again.

SIMON & ED CRISFORD (ALL)

Another back from last year where they gave a nice profit.

• 2018     7/25       28%     +£ 8.08

• 2019     2/11       18%     +£18.50

• 2020     5/18       28%     +£ 6.50

• 2021     6/20       30%     +£ 1.10

• 2022     4/13       31%     +£10.93

The third year of his inclusion, much better profit last year, hopefully more of the same.

DAVID SIMCOCK (ALL)  

Usually sneaks into an AW blog at some time over the winter.

• 2019     4/17     24%     +£18.50

• 2020     2/24      8%       (£13.75)

• 2021     4/13     31%     +£ 6.50

• 2022     4/24     17%     +£24.50

Solid stuff and comes into the month with a 32% strike rate and +£10 LSP in October.

CHARLIE APPLEBY (2YO’S)

Champion trainer who introduces some nice types over the winter.

• 2016     3/6     50%     +£ 3.85

• 2017     5/10   50%     +£ 7.27

• 2018     3/9     33%     +£ 6.00

• 2019     3/8     38%      (£ 2.33)

• 2020     6/15   40%      (£ 2.90)

• 2021     6/20   30%      (£ 4.91)

• 2022     8/18   44%     +£ 3.19

November is by far his best month for 2yo winners, a brilliant strike rate and we could even pinch a bit using early prices.                                                                                                                       

As always any comments, questions or observations please leave in the comments,  Good Luck

Results