4:15 Warwick Tips

The model I run suggests Time Interval should win this race. This result has largely been driven by Time Interval having a relatively high RPR compared to the 8 runners in this field. Has a kind official ranking, leaving Time Interval carrying relatively low weight compared to its peers. This horse is one of only two who have placed recently (won 13 days ago this distance). The model has issued a low confidence reading, indicating only a 0.5pts bet (on a scale of 0-4).

Sits on a lovely looking mark at present, 15 lbs below his opening handicap mark. Admittedly, he does seem to be regressing, but I'm not convinced he was ever a chaser. The fact he won 2 of his 7 runs over hurdles and no wins from 5 runs over fences would support that theory. He finished 2nd in a Grade 2 over hurdles, bumping into the useful Fennors Cross, beaten just over 3L by the winner. He also finished a fair 3rd in the Dovecote Grade 2 novices behind Rubuad in his pomp. He showed nothing over fences last term. He reverted to hurdles off the back of a long break just over 3 weeks ago. He ran well, to be fair, beaten just 7L behind Glory And Fortune, back in 3rd place. He's been dropped a handy 3 lbs for that effort. He should strip fitter for that pipe opener last time out.

Five starts over hurdles for the 5yo, form 31120. Something amiss when last seen but has since had a 2 month break to freshen up. A good runner-up on his handicap debut during March. The drop down to this 2m trip on quick ground looks very positive going off his wide margin maiden win last Oct. This front runner might be hard to catch.