tgoadby

I have a deep passion for both football and horse racing, and I've turned that passion into a lifelong pursuit of finding those winning selections. For football, I live and breathe the game. From the Premier League to lower divisions, I watch matches, analyze statistics, and dissect the ins and outs of the beautiful game. My goal is simple: to provide you with well-researched, data-driven tips that can help you make the most out of your football bets. Whether it's a thrilling derby or an underdog's upset, I've got my eye on the pulse of football. But it doesn't stop there. Horse racing is another realm where I've found my stride. There's something magical about the races – the thundering hooves, the jockeys' strategy, and the sheer unpredictability. I've immersed myself in the world of horse racing, studying form, track conditions, and jockey performances. My tips aren't just random selections; they're the result of meticulous research and a keen eye for spotting value in each-way bets. Whether it's a weekend football match or a prestigious horse racing event, I'm here to guide you. My tips are a product of hours of analysis, and I'm thrilled to share them with you. So, if you're looking to add an extra layer of excitement to your sports betting, stick around.

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tgoadby's Tips History

04 July 2025

03:10 CHI White Sox @ LA Dodgers

LA Dodgers -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.74

Win

The pitching matchup presents a statistical mirage. Aaron Civale’s peripherals signal severe regression, a disastrous prospect against the league’s top home run offense in a hitter-friendly park.

02:00 WIN Bluebombers @ CAL Stampeders

CAL Stampeders

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.45

Win

The highest-value play on the board. The 40.8% implied probability undervalues Calgary’s legitimate chance to win outright, fueled by home field, the turnover battle, and their O-line advantage.

CAL Stampeders 3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

Calgary's 4-2 ATS record in recent matchups, their +2.0 turnover margin advantage, and their top-ranked offensive line provide multiple paths to keeping this game within a field goal.

Under 50.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Winnipeg’s elite defense matches up well against a volatile Calgary offense. Calgary’s unsustainable red zone perfection is due for regression, likely resulting in field goals instead of touchdowns.

00:30 New York City v Toronto FC

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

History points to goals in this fixture, with a head-to-head average of 3.32 goals per game. Considering Toronto's high-scoring away matches, this appears to be a very probable outcome.

New York City & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

New York City boasts a formidable 70% win rate at home. Combined with Toronto's knack for scoring on the road, 71% BTTS away, this selection offers excellent value.

Toronto FC (AH) 1.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Despite their league position, Toronto has been resilient in their last three away games. This bet provides a safety net, paying out if Toronto avoids a multi-goal defeat.

03 July 2025

20:00 Castleford v Huddersfield

Huddersfield

To Win

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

At odds of 2.50, the Giants offer exceptional value. The market overrates a struggling Castleford side missing its best player, making an away victory a highly probable and profitable outcome.

Huddersfield 4.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Castleford’s attack is severely blunted by the suspension of key hooker Liam Horne. Huddersfield, boosted by returning players, should keep this contest well within the generous 4.5-point handicap.

19:55 7:55 Tipperary

Loughrask Rainbow

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Loughrask Rainbow at 9.00 offers solid each-way value. He ran an encouraging fourth on his return at Sligo, suggesting more to come. The step back up in trip is a significant plus, and with fitness on his side, he can hit the frame.

Midnight Fairy

Daily Racing

50 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@6.00

Lose

-50

Midnight Fairy at 6.00 is a strong contender. A course winner last time out, she showed great tenacity to win. A 7lb rise in the weights seems manageable for this improving mare who is not yet fully exposed. She can go in again.

17:57 5:57 Bellewstown

Carvalhal

Daily Racing

50 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@9.00

Lose

-50

Carvalhal at 9.00 is a compelling choice. Despite a wide draw, this horse has been remarkably consistent with three consecutive third-place finishes. The return to a sounder surface is a major plus, and with a 7lb claimer on board, he looks poised for a big run.

Eagles Whistle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Eagles Whistle at 10.00 offers excellent each-way value. After a solid third-place finish over a longer distance at Leopardstown, this consistent performer should appreciate the drop back in trip. With top jockey Chris Hayes booked, this horse has a strong chance of hitting the places at a good price.

17:35 5:35 Tipperary

Dunkerque

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Dunkerque at 11.00 presents great each-way value. Making his handicap debut for the top Gavin Cromwell yard, his consistent form in maiden hurdles suggests he is well-prepared for this. With a 7lb claimer up, he could easily outperform his odds and find a place.

The Banger Doyle

Daily Racing

50 WINNBAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@4.33

Lose

-50

The Banger Doyle at 4.33 is exceptionally well-handicapped. Running off a mark 31 lbs lower than his chase rating, and coming off a strong second-place finish over fences, he holds a significant class edge over this field. He is a major contender.

17:22 5:22 Bellewstown

Sovereign Banter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Sovereign Banter at 10.00 offers excellent each-way value. He ran a decent fourth at Limerick recently and seems to be on a fair handicap mark based on his earlier maiden form. With the experienced Seamie Heffernan in the saddle, if he stays the trip, he has a great chance of hitting the frame at generous odds.

Undefeatable

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@4.33

Lose

-50

Undefeatable at 4.33 is a solid choice for the win. This horse showed great promise after a troubled run last time out, finishing a close third. Off the same mark, and with Gary Carroll on board, he looks poised to go a couple better. The slight step up in trip should suit, making him a strong contender in this field.

17:00 Belgium Women v Italy Women

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Both teams exhibit aggressive, attack-oriented tactical identities under their current coaches. Recent results confirm this, with nine of their last eleven combined competitive and friendly matches featuring three or more goals.

Belgium Women & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

A high-value synthesis of our core theses. This combines Belgium’s proven ability to defeat Italy with the high probability of a game where both sides find the net.

Belgium Women (AH) 0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose+Push

-25

Belgium’s remarkable head-to-head dominance, winning four of the last five encounters, is undervalued. This wager provides a significant cushion, winning fully on a Belgian victory or draw.

13:59 1:59 Nottingham

Sharben Rose

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Sharben Rose is consistently fast (best 30.44s, highest speed rating) and at 3.50 odds, she’s undervalued relative to her true winning chance, making her the strongest bet.

13:42 1:42 Nottingham

Grey Wind

Daily Races

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Top pick Grey Wind. Strong A3 form. Recent win at 30.10s and consistent placing record. Strike rate significantly exceeds implied probability from 6.00 odds.

13:30 Daniel Evans vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic to win 3 - 1

Set Betting

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Djokovic has dropped a set in three of his last four Wimbledon opening rounds. This pattern, coupled with his recent on-court medical consultation, makes a four-set victory a high-value proposition.

Over 30.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

This selection is a direct consequence of the other angles. A single competitive set won by Evans, or even a tight three-set match, makes surpassing this total highly probable.

Daniel Evans 7.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

Evans’s current ranking belies his proven grass-court prowess, including recent wins over top-15 players. Combined with Djokovic’s history of early-round lapses, Evans is well-equipped to keep sets competitive.

13:26 1:26 Nottingham

Ravenshill Anna

Daily Races

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Exceptional value at 6.00 odds with a good strike rate versus implied probability. Recently won A3 grade at an excellent 30.30s time. Strong from trap 6 despite statistics.

13:08 1:08 Nottingham

Wolf Jet

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Top pick Wolf Jet. Recent excellent form with second place at a good time last week. Strong A3 grade runner improving significantly.

12:51 12:51 Nottingham

Jaymir Lucy

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

A young bitch in sensational form, dropping in class after an Open Race win. Her potent early pace and recent fast times make her an outstanding value bet to beat the favourite.

12:34 12:34 Nottingham

Antigua Goose

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

A rapidly improving youngster whose recent form is top-class. Perfectly drawn on the outside to avoid trouble, he has the speed and trajectory to dominate this field. Clear value.

12:18 12:18 Nottingham

Cloneen Ace

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Boasts consistent A5 form and an ideal wide draw. Possesses the early pace to avoid trouble and stay clear, making it the most probable winner with a great chance.

12:01 12:01 Nottingham

Daring Laganore

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

Its last relevant run was a win in these conditions. Trainer is in form, and at 6.00, it represents outstanding value against its true chance.

11:43 11:43 Nottingham

Hitthebottleneil

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

In blistering form with four wins from his last five starts. His perfect draw in the wide box should grant him a clear run while others find trouble. Outstanding value.

11:27 11:27 Nottingham

Harwell Blondie

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

The standout value bet. A massive drop in class from A5/A6 races. Its 9.00 odds completely underestimate its strong winning chance in this company.

10:30 NC Dinos @ Hanwha Eagles

NC Dinos

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.91

Push

The market prices this as a coin flip, ignoring the massive starting pitching mismatch. Dinos starter Shin Min-hyeok dominates Hanwha, while Eagles starter Eom Sang-back struggles significantly, creating clear value.

Under 9.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

A high total fails to account for three key factors, Shin Min-hyeok's effectiveness against Hanwha, the Eagles' elite bullpen, and the pitcher-friendly dimensions of the new Daejeon stadium.

02 July 2025

20:20 8:20 Tipperary

Metamorpheus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Metamorpheus 11.00 has been running respectably and now steps back up to a more suitable trip. His current odds look generous for a horse with a solid chance of placing.

Thegooseiscooked

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Thegooseiscooked (5.00) ran an excellent third on her seasonal return. With the world-class Colin Keane now taking the ride and conditions to suit, she is primed for a victory.

20:00 Switzerland Women v Norway Women

Norway Women

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

Norway Women are most likely to win. Their recent Nations League double over Switzerland, superior experience in major tournaments, and attacking depth tip the balance towards a Norway victory.

19:45 7:45 Tipperary

Glenroyal

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.00

Lose

-50

Glenroyal 4.00 showed significant improvement when finishing a strong second in his last race. This gelding is lightly raced, likely to progress further, and represents a top stable, making him a solid win prospect.

You Are Mine

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

You Are Mine 10.00 offers excellent each-way value. A consistent performer who was a game second recently, the step up in trip should suit. The front-running style is a plus at this track.

19:10 7:10 Tipperary

Mother Mara

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.62

Lose

-50

Mother Mara 2.62 is a strong contender for the win. Her recent second-place finish at Fairyhouse, where she was narrowly beaten, suggests she is in peak form and ready to secure a victory.

Wait For It

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Wait For It 12.00 presents a compelling each-way opportunity. With top jockey Colin Keane booked and a potentially favorable handicap mark based on previous runs, this horse could easily outperform its generous odds.

14:07 2:07 Monmore

Swift Zoo

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Possesses phenomenal historical times far superior to this A7 grade. If his stamina holds after sprinting, his class should dominate. The 3.75 odds offer outstanding value.

13:51 1:51 Monmore

Elderberry Fire

Daily Races

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

A model of consistency meeting this D1 challenge in peak form. Her recent 15.16s run proves she is the favourite's equal, and a perfect wide draw guarantees a clear passage.

13:33 1:33 Monmore

Anchor Banken

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Boasts the fastest recent time in a higher grade. A perfect draw in Trap 6 allows him to avoid likely middle crowding, making his superior pace the deciding factor.

13:17 1:17 Monmore

Round In Circles

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

A Win bet on Trap 3, Round In Circles, at odds of 5.50. This bet directly targets the most significant value discrepancy identified in the race.

13:00 Cameron Norrie vs Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe to win 3 - 1

Set Betting

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

This bet refines a simple Tiafoe win by acknowledging Norrie’s resilience and serving strength, making a straight-sets victory unlikely. It offers superior value by correctly pricing a competitive, not dominant, win.

Over 40.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

The match pits two dominant servers against two non-elite returners on grass. This dynamic creates a high probability of long, tight sets, multiple tiebreaks, and a four or five-set duration.

Cameron Norrie 2.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

Norrie’s elite 86.3% service hold rate on grass over the last year is undervalued. This serving prowess makes it statistically improbable for Tiafoe to win sets by large margins.

12:59 12:59 Monmore

Up The Anti

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

As the sole wide seed, he is set for a dream trouble-free run. His form at this level is solid, and at these odds, he is the outstanding value selection.

12:42 12:42 Monmore

Ace Impact

Daily Races

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Boasting the fastest recent times and a prime outside draw, this early-paced dog is the pick here. He is perfectly positioned to avoid trouble and is the most likely winner.

12:26 12:26 Monmore

Trinity Bestie

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Overlooked due to recent form, but her runs were in a higher grade. Possesses the fastest time here and the class drop makes her the outstanding value selection.

12:09 12:09 Monmore

Winterfield Kell

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

Possesses timing figures far superior to this A10 grade. Her recent calculated time was exceptional despite a troubled run, and her wide draw provides a clear path to victory.

11:52 11:52 Monmore

Kilwest Barney

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

A recent winner in a fast time who now drops in grade. This significant class advantage is not fully reflected in his price, making him the outstanding value bet.

11:34 11:34 Monmore

Daleroad Roger

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Possesses the fastest time and proven early pace. Was unlucky when crowded last time out, a risk reduced in this five-runner field. Outstanding value at the available odds.

11:18 11:18 Monmore

Winterfield Soot

Daily Races

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Boasts solid recent A7/A8 form and gets a perfect draw inside a slow starter. At generous odds, represents outstanding value to secure the rail and dominate from the front.

11:01 11:01 Monmore

Elderberry Flash

Daily Races

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Huge value at 13.00. Hails from a red-hot kennel, is improving with every run, and gets a perfect draw for his wide-running style to avoid potential inside trouble.

11:00 Queensland Reds v British & Irish Lions

Queensland Reds 30.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

The handicap is inflated by the Lions’ last win. A proud, experienced Reds side playing at home, facing a much-changed Lions XV, can keep the margin inside 31 points.

Over 64.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Lions’ potent attacking system, directed by Finn Russell, should run riot against a vulnerable Reds defence that will be forced into a high-risk game due to key absences.

11:00 Vissel Kobe v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

A higher-reward play, this bet aligns with a repeat of the Super Cup result. It combines Sanfrecce’s defensive solidity with their proven ability to win to-nil.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.78

Lose

-50

Sanfrecce boasts the league's best defense and a psychological edge from their Super Cup win. Their strong away form can nullify Vissel's attack, making this excellent value to avoid defeat.

01:00 IND Fever @ MIN Lynx

Under 162.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Minnesota's league-slowest pace and #1 defense, combined with the heightened intensity of a championship final, create a powerful formula for a lower-scoring game, overriding historical head-to-head trends.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

tgoadby

tgoadby's Tips History

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