tgoadby

I have a deep passion for both football and horse racing, and I've turned that passion into a lifelong pursuit of finding those winning selections. For football, I live and breathe the game. From the Premier League to lower divisions, I watch matches, analyze statistics, and dissect the ins and outs of the beautiful game. My goal is simple: to provide you with well-researched, data-driven tips that can help you make the most out of your football bets. Whether it's a thrilling derby or an underdog's upset, I've got my eye on the pulse of football. But it doesn't stop there. Horse racing is another realm where I've found my stride. There's something magical about the races – the thundering hooves, the jockeys' strategy, and the sheer unpredictability. I've immersed myself in the world of horse racing, studying form, track conditions, and jockey performances. My tips aren't just random selections; they're the result of meticulous research and a keen eye for spotting value in each-way bets. Whether it's a weekend football match or a prestigious horse racing event, I'm here to guide you. My tips are a product of hours of analysis, and I'm thrilled to share them with you. So, if you're looking to add an extra layer of excitement to your sports betting, stick around.

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tgoadby's Tips History

17 September 2025

18:00 IF Hallby HK vs IFK Skovde HK

IFK Skovde HK

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.47

Open

Skovde, with solid preseason form and a squad benefiting from stability, travel to Hallby, who have struggled in recent preseason matches. Skovde’s balanced attack justifies support against unconvincing hosts.

18:00 VasterasIrsta HF vs Onnereds HK

Onnereds HK

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

Onnereds arrive off a positive finish to last season and bring an attacking punch. Meanwhile, VasterasIrsta lacked cutting edge in preseason events. Current form tips value to Onnereds.

17:45 Kolstad vs Dinamo Bucuresti

Dinamo Bucuresti

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.60

Lose

-50

Dinamo Bucuresti come off strong European campaigns and retain most key players, while Kolstad’s squad has not yet gelled. Odds undervalue Bucuresti's cohesiveness and experience in close games.

03:10 PHI Phillies @ LA Dodgers

PHI Phillies

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

The Phillies’ lineup offers depth and power, and they’ve taken games from the Dodgers before. At 2.15, their offensive firepower and recent momentum make them a live underdog against strong opposition.

01:40 MIA Marlins @ COL Rockies

COL Rockies

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Colorado in Coors Field always carries upset potential. The Rockies’ bats can explode at altitude, while Miami often struggles to generate consistent offense on the road. Value lies in home advantage.

00:40 LA Angels @ MIL Brewers

LA Angels

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

The Angels are big underdogs but offer value. They’ve shown offensive bursts recently, and the Brewers can struggle for runs. If Angels’ bullpen holds, their power hitting could deliver an upset.

00:40 NY Yankees @ MIN Twins

MIN Twins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.37

Lose

-50

The Twins have strong value at home. Their pitching rotation matches up well, and Yankees’ lineup has been inconsistent. At this price, Minnesota’s home-field edge makes them a tempting outsider.

16 September 2025

20:00 Benfica v FK Qarabag

Under 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.92

Lose

-50

Recent UCL home fixtures for Benfica have capped total corners between seven and nine, while Qarabag’s compact setup restricts flow both ways. Bookmakers slightly overestimate the openness. Under 9.5 stands out.

Under 4.00

Total Cards

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@1.90

Win

Benfica and Qarabag avoid unnecessary fouls, with recent UCL matches consistently under 4 cards. This cautious first group game promises more composure than confrontation. The odds are good.

20:00 Real Madrid v Marseille

Marseille

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Madrid are heavy favourites, but Marseille’s pressing and transitional speed can punish lapses. At 8.00, the market ignores Champions League volatility. French sides often overperform against Spanish giants.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

Both Madrid and Marseille pile up corners in domestic matches and will play this group opener at a high tempo. Both tactical setups encourage wide play and frequent blocked shots.

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@1.85

Win

Both sides play high-tempo, high-risk football. Madrid and Marseille average well over two cards per match this season, and referee Peljto is card-prone. Odds for over 4 cards represent genuine value.

19:00 Exeter v Cardiff

Exeter

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Cardiff stronger on paper, but Exeter’s home form and compact defensive structure can frustrate. At 3.75, implied odds underrate their chance of nicking a low??'margin League Cup upset.

19:00 RKC v Vitesse

Vitesse

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

RKC short-priced despite inconsistency. Vitesse’s counterattacking pace and ability to exploit transitions offer value. At 10, the market overstates RKC dominance. Variance in Eredivisie clashes is historically high.

18:00 Brynas IF vs Lulea HF

Over 5.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

Recent fixtures between these teams have been high-event, often surpassing six goals. Brynas's offense is potent at home, while Lulea frequently counters with rapid transitions, making this over line a calculated value play.

18:00 Farjestad BK vs IF Malmo Redhawks

IF Malmo Redhawks

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Despite being heavy underdogs, Malmo has scored reliably in recent meetings and their odds suggest a low chance of victory, yet, they secured strong results in away openers before. Team trends and SHL’s high upset frequency in early rounds signal genuine value here.

Over 5.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Historical head-to-head clashes are high-scoring, with recent totals averaging over 6 goals per match. Both teams show offensive intent, and Farjestad’s occasional defensive lapses allow Redhawks to contribute to a likely over outcome.

18:00 Leksands IF vs Orebro HK

Orebro HK

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Despite being slight outsiders, Orebro HK have shown a robust away profile and have already registered a win this season in similar spots. Leksand struggles with defensive coverage against teams with speed on transition, supporting the perception that Orebro’s win probability is undervalued by the market.

Over 5.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

Both clubs are conceding three-plus goals per game recently, and their meetings tend to be up-tempo with vulnerabilities in second and third periods. At even odds or better, the over has clear positive expectation thanks to the offensive profiles of both teams.

18:00 Skelleftea AIK vs Rogle BK

Rogle BK

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Rogle have won three straight against Skelleftea, including two on the road, and enter this match in solid defensive form. Bookmakers overrate Skelleftea’s home advantage, presenting value backing the away dog??"especially as the sides are closer in strength than lines suggest.

18:00 Vaxjo Lakers HC vs HV71

HV71

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-50

HV71, a promotion side but with solid preseason form and a revitalized roster, is being underrated at around 40% win probability. Yet, their head-to-heads last season were split, including away wins. Lakers' odds are short, providing value on HV71’s side for those willing to back a slight underdog upset.

Over 5.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

Both sides feature attacking lineups and historical meetings point to scorelines at or above this total. Early season SHL tends toward higher goal averages, and goalie metrics also indicate potential for an over in a competitive matchup.

17:45 Athletic Bilbao v Arsenal

Athletic Bilbao

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

San Mamés is notoriously hostile. Arsenal are favorites, but Bilbao’s pressing and aerial strength can disrupt. At 5.00, home advantage plus Arsenal’s away variance makes this a live dog.

Over 9.50

Total Corners

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@1.95

Lose

-50

Arsenal’s attack consistently forces set pieces, and Bilbao’s vertical style at San Mames generates corners. The line is set generously low, aggressive wide play should push this match into double digits.

Under 4.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.90

Push

Both Athletic and Arsenal produce matches with low card counts, favoring tactical discipline over aggression. Odds for under outpace the true likelihood, given current team profiles.

17:45 PSV v Union Saint Gilloise

Under 10.00

Total Corners

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@1.88

Lose

-50

Eight of PSV’s last nine home matches in Europe landed under 10.5 corners. Union Saint-Gilloise prioritizes defensive solidity away, limiting corner generation for both sides, making the ‘unders’ attractive.

17:30 Hapoel Petach Tikva v Maccabi Tel Aviv

Hapoel Petach Tikva

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Derbies in Israel often defy form. Maccabi dominate, but Petach Tikva’s defensive grit and set-piece threat create variance. At 9.50, the price underrates upset probability.

15:30 Bangladesh vs Afghanistan T20

Afghanistan

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-50

Afghanistan’s combination of in-form batting and elite spin bowling against an unsettled Bangladesh justifies backing them, even at implied win probability. Current odds overstate Bangladesh’s chances, creating small but real value.

15:25 3:25 Yarmouth

Nova Centauri

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.38

Lose

-50

NOVA CENTAURI, a promising debutante, finished strongly in his first race. With trainer in form and more stamina likely, he's poised for significant improvement and is a major contender.

14:30 Italy vs Belgium

Belgium to win 3-2

Set Score

50 WIN

@11.00

Win

500

Italy are elite, but Belgium’s attack led by Regers can pressure defenses. If Italy wobble, Belgium stealing it in five sets is a live, high-odds underdog angle.

14:00 Serbia vs China

China to win 3-2

Set Score

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Serbia are favored, but recent form is shaky. China’s athleticism and blocking can stretch this deep. Five-set volatility creates strong value at 6.00 for a narrow Chinese upset.

11:30 Pakistan W vs South Africa W 1st ODI

South Africa W

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

South Africa W offer solid value despite short odds. Their experienced batting order, stronger bowling attack, and recent dominance over Pakistan suggest they should control the game and secure victory comfortably.

Muneeba Ali (Pakistan W)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Muneeba Ali represents value as Pakistan’s most reliable top-order option. She anchors innings well, has recent form behind her, and offers a fair price compared to inconsistent teammates in this market.

L Wolvaardt (South Africa W)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Wolvaardt is South Africa’s standout player and a consistent run-scorer in ODIs. Her ability to convert starts into big innings makes her a strong pick, even at the shorter end of pricing.

11:00 France vs Finland

France to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

France dominate overall, but Finland showed resilience against Argentina. A single set swing is realistic, making 3-1 a higher??'value angle than the heavily backed 3-0 straight sweep.

10:30 Kiwoom Heroes @ Doosan Bears

Kiwoom Heroes

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

Doosan’s form is shaky, while Kiwoom’s offense has quietly improved. With Heroes’ speed and opportunistic hitting, the coin-flip nature of this matchup makes the even-money underdog a value grab.

10:30 LG Twins @ KT Wiz

LG Twins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

League leaders LG bring superior run production and bullpen depth. Market leans Wiz at home, but Twins’ consistency and clutch hitting make them undervalued underdogs at this price point.

10:30 Lotte Giants @ Samsung Lions

Lotte Giants

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Samsung are slight favorites, but Giants’ lineup has been streaky-dangerous and recent H2H is nearly even. At +EV pricing, Giants’ bats offer volatility upside against a hittable Lions bullpen.

10:30 Philippines vs Egypt

Egypt to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Egypt are overwhelming favourites, but the Philippines can often steal a set with aggressive serving. Straight 3-0 is short; 3-1 offers better value if the underdogs nick momentum.

10:30 SSG Landers @ NC Dinos

NC Dinos

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

Landers are favored, but NC’s lineup has higher slugging metrics and home advantage. The market underrates their scoring ceiling. Dinos at plus money is a classic live underdog with bite.

03:10 PHI Phillies @ LA Dodgers

PHI Phillies

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Win

Phillies, with Ranger Suárez, are undervalued against a Dodgers team dealing with key injuries. Philly’s offense is among MLB’s best, and current form plus bullpen depth narrows the margin here.

02:40 SF Giants @ ARI Diamondbacks

SF Giants

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Giants are slightly undervalued versus Arizona, whose pitching is unreliable despite Gallen’s name recognition. San Francisco’s improved late-September form and bullpen stability suggest big-odds upside against an inconsistent favorite.

01:10 TEX Rangers @ HOU Astros

TEX Rangers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

The Rangers’ lineup is live, and Houston’s favorite status overstates the gap. With Leiter’s upside and recent road form, Texas is undervalued in this divisional rivalry at plus money.

00:45 CIN Reds @ STL Cardinals

CIN Reds

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

Cincinnati’s record in underdog spots ranks among MLB’s best, and they’re nearly a coin flip here. The Reds’ gritty offense and soft Cardinals bullpen favor a small-plus-money angle.

00:40 BAL Orioles @ CHI White Sox

CHI White Sox

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

White Sox present strong value at home in a matchup of weak teams, with Bradish vulnerable and Chicago’s streaky pop and bullpen improvement indicating live dog potential beyond their current long odds.

00:40 NY Yankees @ MIN Twins

MIN Twins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

Twins are a nice price. Rodon is hittable, and Minnesota’s lineup surges at home. Heavy public hatred of Minnesota creates a value discrepancy.

00:35 TOR Blue Jays @ TB Rays

TB Rays

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Rays offer solid value at home against a debuting Toronto starter. Tampa’s edge in simulation win probability, lineup depth, and home-field variance exceeds their implied price??"a strong plus-odds opportunity.

15 September 2025

23:45 ATL Braves @ WAS Nationals

WAS Nationals

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Nationals are undervalued at home; Braves’ ace Strider has been surprisingly hittable, and Washington’s lineup profiles well in its home park. Sharp money and data lean toward an upset here.

23:40 CHI Cubs @ PIT Pirates

PIT Pirates

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Pittsburgh offers value at home as the Pirates’ moneyline matches their true win probability, per multiple projection models, with Chicago’s modest offense and late bullpen volatility raising upset chances at plus odds.

20:00 Espanyol v Mallorca

Espanyol

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

Espanyol’s home edge, paired with their low-scoring profile, supports a narrow home win with limited action. Odds above 2.3, relative to the most probable scorelines, are strong value.

19:45 Como v Genoa

Draw

50 WIN

@3.70

Win

135

Recent encounters and comparable xG profiles strongly suggest a drawn-out contest, with Como solid at home and Genoa tightening up. A draw is well-priced versus true outcome probabilities.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@2.10

Win

Both Como and Genoa generate quality chances, but both also concede regularly. At these odds, BTTS Yes is value in a match that history says is likely to see goals at both ends.

19:45 Guingamp v Montpellier

Montpellier & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Montpellier’s road games deliver both goals and drama. Their attack can exploit Guingamp’s risky style, while conceding at least once. BTTS + away win is a valid high-odds strategy here.

19:30 Real Zaragoza v Albacete Balompie

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@1.73

Lose

-50

Both sides have an attacking outlook and porous defenses. Last season, Zaragoza and Albacete consistently featured in BTTS matches. Odds around 1.8 are generous relative to their offensive intent and defensive records.

Albacete Balompie & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Albacete’s attack travels well, while Zaragoza’s defense is fragile. If both sides score, Albacete’s clinical counter-attack can spring a result, providing strong value in the combo market.

18:30 Cherno More Varna v Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich

Cherno More Varna

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@1.40

Win

Cherno More are unbreached at home and boast superior squad depth. Even as odds are short, probability-to-payout ratio still offers a modicum of value.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

While Cherno More are favorites, Dobrudzha can capitalize on defensive lapses, especially late. At this price, BTTS Yes is value for a match more open than odds reflect.

18:00 Esbjerg Energy vs Odense Bulldogs

Over 5.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Both teams are combining for over 7 goals per match recently. Defensive structures are inconsistent early this season, and the line at 5.5 is below the average Metal Ligaen game total, suggesting an excellent shot for the over.

17:30 Verona v Cremonese

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@2.05

Lose

-50

Both Verona and Cremonese regularly score and concede, with both teams finding the net in 7 of their last 9 duels. Defenses are suspect, making BTTS Yes great value at these odds.

Cremonese & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Cremonese’s attack has hit stride, while Verona’s defense is leaky. BTTS & Cremonese win represents strong value, with the market underestimating Cremonese’s away threat after their hot start.

14:12 2:12 Brighton

Johnjay

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Johnjay returns to the track and distance of his last win, only 2lb higher in the weights. He is well-suited to the ground and has solid form, making him a strong contender in this race.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

tgoadby

tgoadby's Tips History

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