tgoadby

I have a deep passion for both football and horse racing, and I've turned that passion into a lifelong pursuit of finding those winning selections. For football, I live and breathe the game. From the Premier League to lower divisions, I watch matches, analyze statistics, and dissect the ins and outs of the beautiful game. My goal is simple: to provide you with well-researched, data-driven tips that can help you make the most out of your football bets. Whether it's a thrilling derby or an underdog's upset, I've got my eye on the pulse of football. But it doesn't stop there. Horse racing is another realm where I've found my stride. There's something magical about the races – the thundering hooves, the jockeys' strategy, and the sheer unpredictability. I've immersed myself in the world of horse racing, studying form, track conditions, and jockey performances. My tips aren't just random selections; they're the result of meticulous research and a keen eye for spotting value in each-way bets. Whether it's a weekend football match or a prestigious horse racing event, I'm here to guide you. My tips are a product of hours of analysis, and I'm thrilled to share them with you. So, if you're looking to add an extra layer of excitement to your sports betting, stick around.

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tgoadby's Tips History

02 October 2025

17:20 5:20 Bellewstown

Hangry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Hangry is a long-standing maiden, but his last run was his best this year, finishing fourth with a strong closing effort. The strong pace forecast is predicted to benefit him, and at 8.00, he's a great value play to hit the frame in a race where others have less appealing form.

Secret Rock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.87

Lose

-50

Secret Rock is the most consistent horse in the field, with a 3rd place finish just three days ago and top jockey Colin Keane booked. Despite the quick turnaround, his light weight and return of the tongue strap suggest he is ready to capitalize on a workable mark in this weak-looking handicap.

16:45 4:45 Bellewstown

Arcland

Daily Racing

50 WINNBAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@4.33

Lose

-50

Arcland is the most consistent flat runner in the race, with four top-two finishes in his last four flat runs. The nine-year-old arrives on the back of a hurdle win, showing excellent current fitness. He's proven on soft ground and at this distance, making him the solid favourite.

Highland Bells

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Highland Bells is a long-standing maiden, but she's dropped to a low mark of 41. She has run respectably on soft ground and over this distance. At 17.00, with a significant 3lb jockey claim, she is capable of sneaking into a place in this open handicap.

16:25 4:25 Clonmel

Great Bird

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 02/10 at 11:060.15 deduction for Sharetheknowledge@6.00 withdrawn at 15:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.15) = 18.00

@18.00

Win

Great Bird has little form to go on, but his fourth place on handicap debut in April, only beaten 5 lengths off this very mark of 87, suggests ability. He makes his seasonal return with jockey Sean Flanagan booked at a significant price.

Wing Back

Daily Racing

50 WINAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@3.50

Lose

-50

Wing Back is a progressive 5-y-o who won and placed in his last two runs with the hood. Still well treated on maiden form, and the step up to this staying trip should bring further improvement.

15:55 3:55 Clonmel

Amron Diamond

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Amron Diamond is well-treated on his best form and is now running off a low mark. His fourth-place finish last time was a promising return to form, and the return of cheekpieces gives him a great chance to be involved at 17.00.

Hope She Flies

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 3.25 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@4.50

Win

175

Hope She Flies was a dominant, front-running winner at Roscommon just 3 days ago, proving the tactics and ground suit. While carrying a 7lb penalty and stepping up in trip, her recent form and the track's prominent racer bias make her the solid favourite to win again.

15:45 3:45 Bellewstown

Eruption

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

She is a C&D winner with a clear class edge, having won here off a mark of 61. Now running off 44, she is seriously well-treated. Despite poor recent form, the booking of Dylan Browne McMonagle on a CD winner at this price is too tempting to ignore for an each-way play.

Only Spoofing

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@5.50

Lose

-50

This 11-year-old is in excellent form, coming off a very solid second at Fairyhouse. He's proven on the ground, and the likely Very Strong pace in this small field will ensure a testing gallop, which is ideal for his late surge. He's tough and consistent at this level.

01 October 2025

17:00 Pardubice v Banik Ostrava

Draw

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Four of the last 12 meetings have ended level, and both clubs are win-averse in current form. With defensive frailty but matched weaknesses, a draw at around 3.60??"3.65 offers strong value.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Pardubice home matches average 3.5 goals, and head-to-head history shows frequent high scores. Over 2.5 goals offers value as both sides struggle defensively and can contribute offensively.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Both teams have scored in 100% of Pardubice league games, with Banik’s away BTTS at 60%. With both attacks more effective than their defences, both to score represents strong value.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Combining two prevalent outcomes, draw and both teams scoring, enhances returns. Both teams’ weak back lines and moderate attacking output point to a likely 1??"1 or 2??"2 result. Elevated odds present value.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

A 2-2 scoreline is the statistically most likely of the high-probability correct scores, reflecting both sides’ vulnerabilities. With odds as high as 11.00??"13.00, this is a high-reward, low-stake play.

14:48 2:48 Bellewstown

Port Louis

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@4.33

Lose

-50

Despite running just two days ago, his second place at Down Royal confirmed he's in peak form. He's proven to handle the distance and the expected strong pace plays right into his hands setting up his closing speed. With Colin Keane retaining the ride, he's the top win selection.

Rampage

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

This horse has a clear affinity for this track and race, having finished runner-up in a C&D handicap last year off a rating of 70. He's currently running off 63, offering superb value. The trainer is local, and the race pace should suit his hold-up style.

14:13 2:13 Bellewstown

Carvalhal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Consistent horse this summer, placing three times over slightly shorter trips earlier this year. The first-time cheekpieces could sharpen him up, and his turf form makes him overpriced at a nice each-way price.

Nibras Rainbow

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-50

Recent form is excellent, finishing runner-up in two recent competitive handicaps (including one over C&D). He's in-form, the visor is back, and he's narrowly preferred for the win.

29 September 2025

20:00 Everton v West Ham

West Ham

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Everton inconsistent, often struggle breaking down compact mid-blocks. West Ham’s counterpunching and set-piece strength travel well. At 4.50, Hammers offer a solid overlay in a coin-flip matchup.

28 September 2025

20:05 Bayonne v Toulon

Bayonne -4.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Bayonne have won 17 of 18 at home and dominated three of their last four home meetings with Toulon. The visitors’ travel issues make the six-point handicap (if available) very achievable.

16:30 Newcastle v Arsenal

Newcastle

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

Arsenal favorites, but Newcastle’s St James’ Park fortress and aerial threat create matchup edges. At 3.20, market underrates home advantage. Live underdog with tactical pathways to win.

15:30 Bristol Bears v Leicester Tigers

Bristol Bears -6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Bristol’s devastating attack rarely falters at home and Leicester, without several pack leaders, should struggle to contain them. Bears have covered similar lines in their last three home meetings.

13:00 El Salvador v VRAC

El Salvador -3.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

El Salvador’s extraordinary record at home and desire to avenge Cup Final humiliation suggest they’ll edge a tight contest. VRAC struggle here, the small handicap is well within realistic expectations.

13:00 Northampton Saints v Exeter Chiefs

Exeter Chiefs 10.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Chiefs covered this line in both meetings last season, and Saints’ injury crisis levels the contest. Extra experience in Exeter’s pack should keep this tight.

12:00 Varbergs BoIS FC v IK Oddevold

IK Oddevold (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

IK Oddevold’s form surge (80% win rate in the last five matches), impressive away run, and prior results vs. Varbergs suggest backing Oddevold +0.25 for insurance in a tight Superettan clash.

11:30 Sassuolo v Udinese

Udinese (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.82

Lose

-50

Udinese have an outstanding head-to-head record at Sassuolo and greater recent form, with Sassuolo’s home struggles persisting. Udinese +0.25 minimizes risk with both teams’ erratic defensive trends.

11:15 NEC v AZ

AZ (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in Eredivisie and have a resilient away record. NEC’s recent defensive issues make AZ -0.50 a sensible bet in what profiles as a competitive, high-scoring match.

11:00 Kawasaki Frontale v Kashiwa Reysol

Kawasaki Frontale (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.88

Push

Kawasaki Frontale 0.0 offers value as hosts are strong at home and Kashiwa Reysol have failed to win their last three. Expect a tight, competitive J1 fixture.

10:30 Cerezo Osaka v Kyoto Sanga FC

Kyoto Sanga FC (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

Kyoto Sanga have covered this handicap in four of their last six away matches. Sanga’s robust recent results and Cerezo’s patchy form make the +0.25 line a value play.

07:05 Brisbane Broncos v Penrith Panthers

Under 49.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.97

Win

Finals intensity usually suppresses scoring. Panthers’ defense is elite. Broncos are likely to play tight. 1.97 on under 49.5 is strong value in a pressure-driven contest.

27 September 2025

20:00 Leeds v St Helens

St Helens 6.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Leeds are favourites, but Saints have finals pedigree, and tight margins are common. +6.5 covers key outcomes, and 1.91 is generous for a proven big-game side.

15:00 Crystal Palace v Liverpool

Crystal Palace

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Palace at Selhurst Park often raise levels against elite sides. Liverpool’s high line leaves space for runners. At 5.00, Palace springing a shock isn’t far fetched.

15:00 Sheff Wed v QPR

QPR

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

QPR sit comfortably mid-table, picking up consistent results. Sheffield Wednesday languish near the bottom, struggling defensively. At similar prices to the hosts, QPR offer real value with their stronger current form.

15:00 Southampton v Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Middlesbrough sit top with five wins from six, riding high in confidence. Southampton’s defensive issues and lack of victories increase appeal, making Middlesbrough’s away price excellent value against vulnerable opposition.

12:30 Swansea v Millwall

Swansea

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Swansea remain unbeaten at home in ten league matches, showing strong consistency. Millwall struggle on the road, and with home advantage, Swansea look well-priced to claim another three points here.

12:30 Wrexham v Derby

Wrexham

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Wrexham’s momentum is building, highlighted by their away win at Norwich. Returning home with confidence, they can expose Derby’s inconsistencies, making their current odds a value play for victory.

26 September 2025

20:00 Leigh v Wakefield

Wakefield 10.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Leigh’s form dipped and Wakefield’s desperation adds volatility. +10.5 covers key scorelines in a low-confidence matchup. 1.91 is fair value with upside if Leigh rotate.

20:00 West Brom v Leicester

Leicester

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Leicester arrive in fair form, West Brom’s recent struggles highlight vulnerability, and Leicester’s attacking edge offers plenty of upside at a generous price away from home.

10:50 Melbourne Storm v Cronulla Sharks

Cronulla Sharks 8.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.88

Win

Storm’s attack has misfired post-finals, while Cronulla’s defense travels well. +8.5 gives solid margin cover in a likely grind. 1.88 offers edge on expected line movement.

25 September 2025

15:35 3:35 Newmarket

Archer Royal

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

Archer Royal impressed on debut at Chelmsford, quickening stylishly to win over 7f. With stamina in his pedigree and scope for improvement, he looks capable of stepping forward in this Group 3.

24 September 2025

17:45 Elverum vs Runar

Elverum -5.50

Match Handicap

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Elverum's staggering historical dominance over Runar, winning over 80% of their matchups, far exceeds the implied probability of this handicap line. A statistical anomaly worth exploiting.

17:30 Herning Ikast W vs Kobenhavn W

Kobenhavn (W) 6.50

Match Handicap

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Kobenhavn's impressive 3-0 start suggests their form is undervalued. The generous +6.5 handicap against a historically dominant Herning side provides significant betting value.

15:00 3:00 Goodwood

Alpha Crucis

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

Alpha Crucis is a course and distance winner with recent strong form. Finishing second last time out, he's a top contender to go one better here.

23 September 2025

19:45 Fulham v Cambridge Utd

Cambridge Utd (AH) 1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Win

Fulham is expected to make wholesale squad changes for this cup tie. Cambridge, a proven cup upset team, can keep the match close, making a large handicap on the underdog highly valuable.

19:30 Anderlecht v Gent

Gent

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@4.75

Lose

-50

Anderlecht faces a significant injury crisis, with key players sidelined. The odds seem to under-reflect this weakened state, making a bet on Gent or the draw a compelling value proposition.

19:30 Red Star FC 93 v Troyes

Troyes

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@2.65

Win

A deep historical review shows Troyes' overwhelming dominance over Red Star FC 93, winning seven of nine total matches and all four away fixtures. The odds are severely mispriced.

18:00 Athletic Bilbao v Girona

Athletic Bilbao

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@1.50

Lose

-50

Bilbao's home advantage and recent form are strong. Girona's extensive injury and suspension list, coupled with their poor start to the season, makes the 1.50 price a significant value.

18:00 Espanyol v Valencia

Espanyol

50 WINAThis tip was used on Football 4Fold Acca.

@2.30

Lose

-50

Espanyol's strong home form contrasts with Valencia's poor away record. The odds appear to undervalue the home side, possibly due to a recency bias from Valencia's recent win.

15:30 Pakistan vs Sri Lanka T20

Sri Lanka

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Recent head-to-head dominance, superior strategy in UAE, and undervalued opening partnership make Sri Lanka’s odds highly attractive despite Pakistan’s venue record and market favoritism.

P Nissanka

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

His ongoing purple patch with the bat, powerplay aggression, and impeccable conversion rate in pressure matches present excellent value at MoM odds of 9.00.

S Farhan (Pakistan)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Tournament’s top PAK scorer, Farhan’s reliable starts and deep batting potential, paired with generous odds, form a quality value bet.

P Nissanka (Sri Lanka)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Asia Cup form leader and resilient opener, Nissanka has the skills and temperament suited to Abu Dhabi, keeping his selection valuable.

15:28 3:28 Warwick

Beau Quali

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.38

Lose

-50

With an impressive track record of placing in four out of his seven hurdle starts, Beau Quali looks poised to challenge for victory on his seasonal debut.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

tgoadby

tgoadby's Tips History

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