tgoadby

I have a deep passion for both football and horse racing, and I've turned that passion into a lifelong pursuit of finding those winning selections. For football, I live and breathe the game. From the Premier League to lower divisions, I watch matches, analyze statistics, and dissect the ins and outs of the beautiful game. My goal is simple: to provide you with well-researched, data-driven tips that can help you make the most out of your football bets. Whether it's a thrilling derby or an underdog's upset, I've got my eye on the pulse of football. But it doesn't stop there. Horse racing is another realm where I've found my stride. There's something magical about the races – the thundering hooves, the jockeys' strategy, and the sheer unpredictability. I've immersed myself in the world of horse racing, studying form, track conditions, and jockey performances. My tips aren't just random selections; they're the result of meticulous research and a keen eye for spotting value in each-way bets. Whether it's a weekend football match or a prestigious horse racing event, I'm here to guide you. My tips are a product of hours of analysis, and I'm thrilled to share them with you. So, if you're looking to add an extra layer of excitement to your sports betting, stick around.

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tgoadby's Tips History

15 June 2025

23:00 PHX Mercury @ LV Aces

LV Aces 4.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.91

Open

The market's aggressive adjustment for A'ja Wilson's absence creates value on the home underdog. A 4.5-point cushion is substantial for a talented roster against an equally injury-plagued Mercury team.

Under 164.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Open

A strong contrarian angle against public trends. The Aces’ league-worst field goal percentage and Phoenix's turnover-focused defense point toward a disjointed, lower-scoring game than recent history suggests.

19:35 Race 4 Belmont At The Big A

Funny Joke

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Open

This horse represents fantastic each-way value. His last outing was a solid third at Aqueduct and is one to take seriously. The 11.00 odds seem generous.

President Z

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Open

Boasting top jockey Irad Ortiz Jr., this horse has an admirable career strike rate. His promising recent third-place finish makes him the one to beat.

19:20 PIT Pirates @ CHI Cubs

PIT Pirates

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

The market has fundamentally mispriced the starting pitchers by over-weighting Keller's misleading record. At these odds, there is significant value in backing the underdog in a game that projects closer to a coin flip.

PIT Pirates 1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@1.56

Win

The convergence of a strong starting pitcher, neutralizing weather conditions, and a recent head-to-head trend of one-run games makes it highly probable the Pirates will keep this contest close.

Under 7.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

The pitching matchup, featuring an undervalued Mitch Keller against a regressing Colin Rea, combined with run-suppressing weather at Wrigley Field, creates a powerful environment for a low-scoring affair.

18:20 Germany vs Northern Ireland

Germany 1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Germany’s proven resilience, partisan home crowd, and Pietreczko’s clutch finishing make them formidable. The 2024 head-to-head finished 8-7, suggesting another tight contest where this handicap offers significant value.

Northern Ireland

Most 180s

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

Josh Rock is the most prolific maximum-hitter in the match by a significant margin. This statistical dominance, combined with a likely high leg count, makes this one of the most probable outcomes.

Over 13.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

The clash of Northern Ireland's scoring and Germany's grit, combined with the pressure of a semi-final and a history of close matches, strongly indicates a contest extending to at least 7-7.

17:00 Bayern Munich v Auckland City

Bayern Munich & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

At 4.50, the odds undervalue the chance of a consolation goal. A rotated Bayern defense focused on attack may suffer a lapse, allowing Auckland’s experienced forwards to score.

Auckland City (AH) 5.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The +5.0 handicap is inflated due to public bias. Auckland’s tournament resilience and defensive organization, coupled with likely second-half rotation from Bayern, makes a six-goal victory margin a difficult task.

17:00 England U21 v Slovenia U21

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

All four historical head-to-head meetings saw both teams score. Combined with England's porous defence, which has a modest 43% clean sheet rate, this selection offers excellent value.

England U21 & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

The market undervalues a Slovenian goal. This bet combines the probable outcome (England win) with the historically consistent and under-priced likelihood of Slovenia scoring, offering superior odds to a win-to-nil.

Slovenia U21 (AH) 1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

Slovenia has never lost to England by more than one goal in four meetings. This handicap provides a significant cushion, winning even with a narrow Slovenian loss, reflecting historical competitiveness.

17:00 Finland U21 v Ukraine U21

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

Finland’s last five matches averaged 4.0 total goals, while Ukraine’s averaged 3.6. Both teams exhibit potent attacks and defensive frailties, making a high-scoring encounter the most probable game script.

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Finland has seen both teams score in their last five consecutive matches. Ukraine has seen it in four of their last five, possessing a potent attack but a consistently vulnerable defense.

Finland U21 (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.79

Lose

-50

Ukraine’s price is too short for a team with only one win in their last five games. Finland’s resilient 2-2 draw against the Netherlands shows they are undervalued.

16:50 4:50 Downpatrick

Ar Nos Na Gaoithe

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@10.00

Win

This mare is competitively weighted. Her recent form is respectable, and the forecasted weak pace could play to her strengths, making her an excellent each-way proposition at double-figure odds.

Chatterbox

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.33

Lose

-50

This consistent mare arrives in good form after a strong second on the flat. Returning to hurdles off a workable mark, with proven ability on similar ground, she represents a solid win prospect.

16:00 Varbergs BoIS FC v Vasteras SK FK

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Varbergs' defense is leaking goals and missing their keeper. Vasteras are in potent scoring form. Statistical models and recent results for both teams strongly point towards a high-scoring game.

15:45 Limerick v Wexford

Wexford

FT Result

50 WIN

@2.80

Open

Wexford have already beaten Limerick this season and enter this in blistering scoring form. At these odds, they represent significant value to cause an upset against a potentially over-favoured home side.

Wexford 1.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Open

The Division 4 Final was decided by just two points. Wexford's explosive 5-23 demolition of Antrim shows their attack is peaking, making them excellent value to keep this close.

15:35 3:35 Gowran Park

Roderick

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Despite a long losing streak, he has been in excellent form with two recent runner-up finishes. The quick turnaround and re-fitting of blinkers suggest connections mean business today.

Sneddy Eddie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Win

150

Ignore his last run where he had excuses. He was well-backed that day and his prior form is solid. At these odds, he represents strong each-way value to bounce back.

15:00 Salford v St Helens

Salford 38.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

St Helens' attack is severely blunted by a backline injury crisis, while Salford is stronger than in the last meeting. This huge handicap should be covered by the home side.

Under 50.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

A decimated Saints attack meets the league's most impotent offense. The conditions point strongly towards a controlled, lower-scoring affair, making the 'Under' an attractive correlated play.

14:30 2:30 Gowran Park

Asdana

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@6.00

Lose

-50

This filly has been a model of consistency, hitting the frame on her last three starts. Dropping back to a more suitable trip, she looks poised for a breakthrough win.

Withoutfurtherado

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

This gelding caught the eye with a fast-finishing sixth last time out. The step up to seven furlongs appears ideal, and with the likelihood of a strong pace to aim at, he represents excellent each-way value.

14:30 Wakefield v Leigh

Wakefield -2.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Combines superior current form, dominant home advantage, a key player return (Trueman), and a clear trend of winning by significant margins. Offers superior value to the straight win price.

Over 40.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

Backs Wakefield's rampant home scoring (112 points in last 2 home games) and Leigh's defensive fragility to overcome the precedent of a single, low-scoring cup tie. Trueman's return adds to attacking potential.

14:30 Yorkshire vs Durham T20

JDS Neesham (Durham)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Ollie Robinson is their leading run-scorer, but Jimmy Neesham's all-round form, including a recent unbeaten fifty, makes him a strong contender. Given his role as a finisher and his current confidence, Neesham presents an attractive option.

14:00 Latvia vs Greece

Greece

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

A high-probability anchor bet. Greece's perfect record, superior statistics, and head-to-head dominance make this the most likely outcome, suitable for accas despite the low standalone value.

Greece to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Greece is undefeated but has conceded a set in two of three tournament wins against comparable opposition. Latvia is competitive enough to steal a set, making this historically repeated outcome undervalued.

14:00 Louth v Clare

Clare 6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.73

Open

Louth’s heavy favouritism ignores Clare’s 2023 head-to-head win and their own narrow defeat to Down. Clare’s proven ability to compete makes this generous handicap the standout value selection.

14:00 Monaghan v Down

Monaghan

FT Result

50 WIN

@1.40

Open

Monaghan’s rising form??"recall that in their previous league and championship outings, they’ve been competitive, and their momentum has been building.

Monaghan -3.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.80

Open

If you're looking at a handicap bet, backing Monaghan at -3.50 appears to be the preferred option given their upward trajectory and the betting trends.

14:00 Scotland vs Netherlands T20

Netherlands

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

The head-to-head record is extremely tight, suggesting near-even chances. At these odds, Netherlands offers value, but this is highly conditional on them winning the toss and batting first.

BJ McMullen (Scotland)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

McMullen boasts the highest T20I average, strike rate, and top-score frequency among Scotland's main contenders. His odds at 5.50 significantly undervalue his proven ability to lead the innings.

M Levitt (Netherlands)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Levitt has the highest top-score percentage (35.3%) of any batsman in this match. His explosive, high-ceiling style makes him a prime candidate to dominate, offering exceptional value at this price.

13:10 Germany vs Australia

Australia

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

The market has overreacted to Germany's win over England. At this price, backing the 2022 champions, who possess greater scoring power and proven partnership pedigree, is the value play.

Australia

Most 180s

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

Australia's combination of Damon Heta, a prolific tour leader in 180s, and Simon Whitlock, a historic maximum machine, presents a huge statistical advantage over the German pairing.

12:25 Criterium Du Dauphine 2025 Stage 8

Maxim Van Gils

Win Outright

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

An ideal profile for this finish. A strong climber with the raw power for the plateau. In excellent form, motivated for a stage win, and will have long, high-value odds.

Santiago Buitrago

Win Outright

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

An elite climber motivated by the King of the Mountains jersey. He has the class and freedom to win from the break, and if the gap is large enough, he can survive the plateau.

12:20 Northern Ireland vs Republic of Ireland

Republic of Ireland 2.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

ROI are battle-hardened and improving. In a high-stakes derby, they possess the quality and resilience to keep the match close, making the +2.5 leg start exceptional value.

Draw

Most 180s

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

The market overrates Northern Ireland. Keane Barry’s strong 180-hitting nearly cancels out Josh Rock's prowess, making the odds for a tie in maximums an outstanding high-value longshot.

Over 12.50

Total Legs

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

An emotional all-Ireland clash between two well-matched teams points to a competitive affair. Expect the match to go long, easily surpassing the 12.5 leg line for a comfortable win.

01:40 Cody Durden v Jose Ochoa

Cody Durden

Win Fight

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

A classic wrestler-versus-striker matchup where the veteran wrestler is the underdog. Durden’s relentless takedowns and top control present a stylistic nightmare for the young, less experienced Ochoa.

01:10 Ricky Simon v Cameron Smotherman

Ricky Simon Decision or Technical Decision

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

The safest and most probable outcome. Simon’s relentless wrestling grind and top control can neutralize Smotherman for 15 minutes, leading to a dominant win on the judges’ scorecards.

01:00 Bulgaria vs Germany

Germany

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Statistical models favor Germany due to strong, consistent results in recent matches and tournaments. Their form and game management appear to be on an upward trajectory.

00:40 Phil Rowe v Ange Loosa

Phil Rowe

Win Fight

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

The line has moved too far in Loosa’s favor. Rowe’s massive reach advantage and proven finishing power are a direct counter to Loosa’s hittable, pressure-based style. This is value.

Phil Rowe KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@7.00

Win

300

If Rowe wins, a knockout is his most probable method. Loosa’s wrestling defense is elite, but his striking defense is porous. These odds massively undervalue Rowe’s primary win condition.

00:10 Jamey Lyn Horth v Vanessa Demopoulos

Vanessa Demopoulos By Submission

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Demopoulos’s best weapon is her jiu-jitsu. At good odds, a small wager covers a surprise submission if Horth makes a grappling error against the tricky veteran.

00:00 SAS Roughriders @ HAM Tiger Cats

HAM Tiger Cats 3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Despite defensive injuries, Hamilton is at home with QB Mitchell capable of a big game. They can keep it within a field goal against a Riders team also missing key pieces.

Under 51.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Key offensive injuries for both teams and Saskatchewan potentially emphasizing a clock-controlling run game against Hamilton's weak run defense could lead to a lower-scoring affair than some expect.

SAS Roughriders Over 27.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

Hamilton's secondary is severely depleted by injuries. Saskatchewan’s veteran QB Harris should exploit this, making over 27.5 points achievable despite some offensive absences for the Riders.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

tgoadby

tgoadby's Tips History

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