Wimbledon Tennis Betting Strategies & Statistics

Dive into the dynamic world of Wimbledon betting, exploring strategic handicaps, in-play markets, and probability calculations. Uncover the nuanced landscape of tennis wagering, where precise predictions and calculated risks transform spectator excitement into potential financial opportunities.
Wimbledon Tennis Betting Strategies & Statistics
James Banting
James Banting Tipster Competition Assistant

James has worked for the jockey club and has 20 years sports betting experience he utilises his skills in our tipster competitions and writes sports betting content.

2025 Wimbledon

The Wimbledon gets underway on Monday 30th of June where Carlos Alcaraz will be looking to make it three consecutive titles having beaten Djokovic in both the 2023 & 2024 finals.

During the Open Era, he would join the likes of Björn Borg, Pete Sampras, Roger Federer & Novak Djokovic who have all three three consecutive tournaments.

On the women's side of the tournament, Barbora Krejčíková made it back-to-back wins for Czech players in 2024 with Markéta Vondroušová winning the title in 2023.

Andy Murray's win in 2016 is the last time we saw a Brit in the men's final at Wimbledon whilst the long wait continues for the women with Virginia Wade (1977) the last to make a final.

In this blog we will be looking at some statistics for the tournament, we also have a 2025 Wimbledon Preview blog packed full of information which you will find useful.

Below we are going to look at how underdogs fare as the rounds go on, when it is worth backing them and which correct set scores appear most during the tournament.

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Early Rounds Favs vs Dogs

How often does an underdog win in the early rounds of the Wimbledon?

In the opening round of Wimbledon, the underdog has been more successful on the women's side than the men's side.

  • Men's 1st Round Underdog: 135-624 (21.63%)
  • Women's 1st Round Underdog: 178-629 (28.30%)

For the opening three rounds, it remains fairly consistent on the men's side whilst despite a slight drop in the second round, in the third round on the women's side the underdogs pass the 30% mark.

Later Rounds Favs vs Dogs

When does the underdog record improve during the Wimbledon?

As you would expect, the matches get more closely matched as the tournament advances into the latter stages. In round four on the women's side, the underdogs win percentage rises above 30% for the first time (31.65%) and then goes to 35% for the quarter-finals.

Things are not so clear on the men's side, whilst round four does have a higher underdog win rate (24.36%) than the previous three rounds and it does rise again for the quarter-finals (27.03%), the semi-final is another matter with just 5.26% of underdogs being successful!

Wimbledon Correct Set Betting

What is the most common winning set score at Wimbledon?

This will differ on both sides with the men's being best of five and the women's being best of three and there does seem to be more clearcut matches on the women's side.

A 2-0 win over the last ten years has occurred in 67.84% of the matches (846) whilst a 2-1 win has made up the other 32.16% of the matches (401). The best rounds for 2-0 wins are both Semi and the Final which have both seen 70% of matches end in whitewashes.

On the men's side, a whitewash happens much less often with just 47.12% (581) of the wins being 3-0 with the Round 3 matches having the biggest percentage of matches finishing 3-0 with 51.59% of them, the only round which is over 50%.

The other matches have seen 32.28% of them finishing with a 3-1 score (398) and the remaining 20.60% have been closer with 3-2 scores (254).

Contributor Details

James's in-depth knowledge of tennis betting makes him a trusted authority in the world of tennis betting and he produces and manages the tennis content on OLBG including this for the Wimbledon. Andy Powell is the man for collecting data to be used in blogs including this one and he maintains those in this article.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster Competition Assistant

James Banting is a seasoned sports betting specialist with a passion for tennis. His expertise stems from years of experience working in the betting industry and writing betting guides for a variety of sports, including tennis.
Andy Powell

Content Editor

Andy Powell is the man with the stats, he has collected the statistics that have been used in this blog and put them together in visual presentations.

- Andy Powell, Content Editor

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