Wimbledon Tennis Betting Strategies & Statistics

Dive into the dynamic world of Wimbledon betting, exploring strategic handicaps, in-play markets, and probability calculations. Uncover the nuanced landscape of tennis wagering, where precise predictions and calculated risks transform spectator excitement into potential financial opportunities.
Wimbledon Tennis Betting Strategies & Statistics
James Banting
James Banting Expert Guide

Ever feel like you’re guessing when betting on tennis, cricket or golf? I make sense of the stats and trends so you can bet confidently and enjoy watching your bets play out.

2026 Wimbledon

The Wimbledon tournament gets underway on Monday, the 29th of June, where Jannik Sinner will be looking to defend his title, having won it for the first time in 2025.

He defeated Carlos Alcaraz 3-1 in the final, a player who was looking to win his third consecutive title and is sure to be back in 2026 looking to reclaim his title.

On the women's side of the tournament, Iga Świątek, who was a previous 4x French Open champion and US Open champion, won her first-ever Wimbledon title.

She defeated Amanda Anisimova 6-0, 6-0 in just 57 minutes in a ruthless display, and it was the first 6-0, 6-0 scoreline in a Grand Slam final since Graff achieved it in 1988 (French Open).

In this blog, we will be looking at some statistics for the tournament. We also have a 2026 Wimbledon Preview blog packed full of information, which you will find useful.

Below, we are going to look at how underdogs fare as the rounds go on, when it is worth backing them and which correct set scores appear most during the tournament.

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Early Rounds Favs vs Dogs

How often does an underdog win in the early rounds of Wimbledon?

In the opening round of Wimbledon, the underdog has been more successful on the women's side than the men's side.

  • Men's 1st Round Underdog: 141-621 (22.71%)
  • Women's 1st Round Underdog: 177-623 (28.41%)

For the opening three rounds, it remains fairly consistent on the men's side, whilst despite a slight drop in the second round, in the third round on the women's side, the underdogs pass the 30% mark.

Later Rounds Favs vs Dogs

When does the underdog record improve during Wimbledon?

As you would expect, the matches get more closely matched as the tournament advances into the latter stages. In round four on the women's side, the underdogs' win percentage continues to rise, with 36.84% before dropping to 30% for the quarter-finals.

Things are not so clear on the men's side, whilst round four does have a higher underdog win rate (22.97%) on par with the previous three rounds, but drops below 20% for both Quarters and Semis before rising to 30% for the final.

Wimbledon Correct Set Betting

What is the most common winning set score at Wimbledon?

This will differ on both sides, with the men's being best of five and the women's being best of three, and there does seem to be more clear-cut matches on the women's side.

A 2-0 win over the last ten years has occurred in 67.98% of the matches (847), whilst a 2-1 win has made up the other 32.02% of the matches (399). The best round for 2-0 wins is the Final, which has seen 70% of matches end in whitewashes.

On the men's side, a whitewash happens much less often, with just 46.79% (575) of the wins being 3-0, with the Round 3 matches having the biggest percentage of matches finishing 3-0, with 52.23% of them, the only round which is over 50%.

The other matches have seen 32.47% of them finishing with a 3-1 score (399), and the remaining 20.75% have been closer with 3-2 scores (255).

Contributor Details

James's in-depth knowledge of tennis betting makes him a trusted authority in the world of tennis betting, and he produces and manages the tennis content on OLBG, including this for the Wimbledon. Andy Powell is the man for collecting data to be used in blogs, including this one, and he maintains those in this article.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting is a seasoned sports betting specialist with a passion for tennis. His expertise stems from years of experience working in the betting industry and writing betting guides for a variety of sports, including tennis.
Andy Powell

Content Editor

Andy Powell is the man with the stats, he has collected the statistics that have been used in this blog and put them together in visual presentations.

- Andy Powell, Expert Guide

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