French Open Tennis Betting Strategies & Statistics

Dive into the clay court dynamics of Roland-Garros betting! Explore strategic insights, understand unique tournament characteristics, and uncover advanced wagering techniques that transform tennis predictions from guesswork to calculated strategy.
French Open Tennis Betting Strategies & Statistics
James Banting
James Banting Tipster Competition Assistant

James has worked for the jockey club and has 20 years sports betting experience he utilises his skills in our tipster competitions and writes sports betting content.

2025 French Open

The French Open gets underway on Sunday 25th of May where Carlos Alcaraz will be looking to defend his title on the men's side having won his first French Open title in a five thriller against Alexander Zverev after trailing 2-1.

On the women's side of the tournament, Iga Świątek won her fourth title in five years and her third consecutive in 2024, the first player to win three on the spin since Justine Henin (2005-07) and she could become the first player during the open era to win four on the bounce.

We have not seen a homegrown player in the men's final since Henri Leconte's defeat in 1988 and on the women's side, it's been since Mary Pierce's defeat in 2005.

In this blog we will be looking at some statistics for the tournament, we also have a 2025 French Open Preview blog packed full of information which you will find useful.

Below we are going to look at how underdogs fare as the rounds go on, when it is worth backing them and which correct set scores appear most during the tournament.

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Early Rounds Favs vs Dogs

How often does an underdog win in the early rounds of the French Open?

Like at the other grand slam tournaments, the underdogs seem to open better on the women's side of the draw with 28% of them being successful compared to the 24% on the men's side.

  • Men's 1st Round Underdog: 149-632 (23.58%)
  • Women's 1st Round Underdog: 176-629 (27.98%)

The success rate drops for the next two rounds on the men's side down to 21% whilst the women's goes up with 30% winning in the next two rounds so rather contradicting numbers when comparing the two versions.

Later Rounds Favs vs Dogs

When does the underdog record improve during the French Open?

You would think that as the tournament goes on, the lower-ranked players get knocked out so matches become more balanced. However, on the men's side, the underdogs never really get a look in, from R4 onwards the success rate of the favourite is 83%, 79%, 84% & 90%!

On the women's side, it does get more competitive, round 4 to the semi-finals are the closest rounds with on average 36.29% of the underdog's winnings which is a big increase from 29.24% over the opening three rounds.

French Open Correct Set Betting

What is the most common winning set score at the French Open?

This will differ on both sides with the men's being best of five and the women's being best of three and there does seem to be more clearcut matches on the women's side.

A 2-0 win over the last ten years has occurred in 67.42% of the matches (834) whilst a 2-1 win has made up the other 32.58% of the matches (403). The two rounds which produce the most whitewashes have been the Quarter & Semi-Finals both with 70%.

On the men's side, a whitewash happens much less often with just 50.04% (618) of the wins being 3-0 with the R3 matches having the biggest percentage of matches finishing 3-0 with 58% of them.

The other matches have seen 31.66% of them finishing with a 3-1 score (391) and the remaining 18.30% have been closer with 3-2 scores (226).

Contributor Details

James's in-depth knowledge of tennis betting makes him a trusted authority in the world of tennis betting and he produces and manages the tennis content on OLBG including this for the French Open. Andy Powell is the man for collecting data to be used in blogs including this one and he maintains those in this article.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster Competition Assistant

James Banting is a seasoned sports betting specialist with a passion for tennis. His expertise stems from years of experience working in the betting industry and writing betting guides for a variety of sports, including tennis.
Andy Powell

Content Editor

Andy Powell is the man with the stats, he has collected the statistics that have been used in this blog and put them together in visual presentations.

- Andy Powell, Content Editor

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