Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Durham National Preview
Scheduled to take place in April of each year at the Sedgefield racecourse is the Durham National, the race is open to runners who are aged five or older with the race being run over a trip of three miles, five furlongs and fifty-four yards in which runner will face a total of twenty-four fences.
Durham National Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Sedgefield tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?
How competitive is the Durham National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Durham National, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Durham National Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Durham National next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.80. Ahead of the 2024 Durham National why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Chamirey from Donald McCain under the guidance of Jason Maguire, won in a time of 8:35.60, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Burren Moonshine, trained by Peter Bowen and ridden by Tom O'Brien set the quickest time of 6:54.50 in the 2007 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Durham National over the last 20 renewals:
- 2007 - Burren Moonshine (6:54.50)
- 2011 - Simply Smashing (7:02.30)
- 2004 - Lord Capitaine (7:04.30)
Durham National Past Winners
Here are the Durham National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Durham National as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 7:47.02 | Tommie Beau (IRE) 8yo 11-10 4/1 | James Best Seamus Mullins (GB) |
2022 7:22.84 | All About Joe (IRE) 7yo 11-0 7/1 | Alan Doyle (5lbs) Andrew Hamilton (GB) |
2021 7:31.59 | Hewick (IRE) 6yo 11-5 3/1F | S Fenelon (7lbs) John Joseph Hanlon (IRE) |
2020 7:29.60 | Red Giant (IRE) 9yo 10-1 16/1 | Sean Quinlan Jennie Candlish (GB) |
2019 7:56.40 | The Caller (GB) 8yo 10-1 13/2 | Sean Bowen Robert Stephens (GB) |
2018 7:26.30 | Brian Boranha (IRE) 7yo 11-6 7/1 | Henry Brooke Peter Niven (GB) |
2017 7:31.50 | Audacious Plan (IRE) 8yo 11-0 6/4F | Brian Hughes Dr Richard Newland (GB) |
2016 7:20.40 | Buachaill Alainn (IRE) 9yo 10-11 6/1 | Sean Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
2015 7:46.50 | Royale Knight (GB) 9yo 11-8 10/1 | William Kennedy Dr Richard Newland (GB) |
2014 7:53.20 | Royale Knight (GB) 8yo 11-1 11/4F | Daryl Jacob Dr Richard Newland (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Durham National have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 34 placings from 181 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 11 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
Durham National Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Durham National over the last 20 renewals is Dr Richard Newland who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Royale Knight (2014 & 2015) and Audacious Plan (2017). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Durham National is Peter Bowen (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Durham National trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Dr Richard Newland | 9-3-4 | +8.25 | +4.16 |
Peter Bowen | 13-2-4 | -2.00 | -3.82 |
Sue Smith | 19-1-8 | -12.50 | -4.73 |
Jennie Candlish | 4-1-2 | +13.00 | +7.95 |
Peter Niven | 4-1-2 | +4.00 | +2.57 |
Donald McCain | 3-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.06 |
Philip Kirby | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.30 |
Chris Bealby | 2-1-1 | +27.00 | +16.50 |
Andrew Hamilton | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
Robert Stephens | 1-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.90 |
Durham National Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Durham National over the last 20 renewals with both Brian Hughes and Sean Bowen who have both won the race two times. Brian Hughes winners have been with General Hardi (2010) and Audacious Plan (2017). Sean Bowen winners have been with Buachaill Alainn (2016) and The Caller (2019).
Here are some of the top Durham National jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Brian Hughes | 12-2-5 | +2.50 | +0.58 |
Sean Bowen | 7-2-3 | +7.50 | +3.33 |
Sean Quinlan | 7-1-3 | +10.00 | +5.79 |
Dougie Costello | 5-1-3 | +12.00 | +8.43 |
Henry Brooke | 5-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.38 |
Graham Lee | 5-1-2 | -0.67 | -0.42 |
Ryan Mania | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.30 |
William Kennedy | 1-1-1 | +10.00 | +6.25 |
Alan Doyle | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
James Best | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.50 |
2024 Durham National Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, (1, PU), (1, PU), PU, 5, 2, 3, PU, 2, 1, 6, 3, 1, 3, 4, 7, 1, 2, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Made 14 - 40 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Off a break of 5 - 53 days
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Made 1 - 5 starts (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 1 - 8 starts (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 2 falls (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ Going)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No more than +4yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 3 - 12 starts (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 69+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 22/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Held an OR of 107+ (Last 5)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 18 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 72+ (Going)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Sedgefield racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Durham National. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Durham National by adding a tip on the race here.
Durham National Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +54.33 is when runners had 0 wins in the past year. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 starts in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-39.
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Durham National are Sedgefield and Chepstow, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 185 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 11 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Durham National:
- Brian Boru (2 Wins)
- Kings Theatre (2 Wins)
- Oscar (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Durham National, that stallion is Presenting who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Surface To Air in 2008, winning for Chris Bealby at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Tom Messenger. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Durham National.
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