You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Durham National Preview
Scheduled to take place in April of each year at the Sedgefield racecourse is the Durham National, a race open to runners who are aged five or older, with the race being run over a trip of three miles, five furlongs and fifty-four yards, in which runners will face a total of twenty-four fences.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Durham National will hold the title of 'Michael Watson Civils & Groundworks Durham National Handicap Chase'.
Durham National Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Sedgefield tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners?
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Durham National market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Durham National, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Durham National Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Durham National Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Durham National Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Durham National races over the last 20 renewals:
- Burren Moonshine (6:54.50) in 2007
- Simply Smashing (7:02.30) in 2011
- General Hardi (7:05.10) in 2010
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Durham National next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -0.80. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Durham National, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Burren Moonshine, trained by Peter Bowen and ridden by Tom O'Brien, who set the fastest winning time in the Durham National. That runner won the race in a time of 6:54.50 in 2007. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Donald McCain and jockey Jason Maguire with Chamirey who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 8:35.60 in the 2012 renewal.
Durham National Past Winners
Here are the Durham National past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Durham National are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 7:38.10 | Jesuitique (FR) 9yo 10-7 11/2 | Charlie Hammond Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole (GB) |
| 2023 7:47.02 | Tommie Beau (IRE) 8yo 11-10 4/1 | James Best Seamus Mullins (GB) |
| 2022 7:22.84 | All About Joe (IRE) 7yo 11-0 7/1 | Alan Doyle (5lbs) Andrew Hamilton (GB) |
| 2021 7:31.59 | Hewick (IRE) 6yo 11-5 3/1F | S Fenelon (7lbs) John Joseph Hanlon (IRE) |
| 2020 7:29.60 | Red Giant (IRE) 9yo 10-1 16/1 | Sean Quinlan Jennie Candlish (GB) |
| 2019 7:56.40 | The Caller (GB) 8yo 10-1 13/2 | Sean Bowen Robert Stephens (GB) |
| 2018 7:26.30 | Brian Boranha (IRE) 7yo 11-6 7/1 | Henry Brooke Peter Niven (GB) |
| 2017 7:31.50 | Audacious Plan (IRE) 8yo 11-0 6/4F | Brian Hughes Dr Richard Newland (GB) |
| 2016 7:20.40 | Buachaill Alainn (IRE) 9yo 10-11 6/1 | Sean Bowen Peter Bowen (GB) |
| 2015 7:46.50 | Royale Knight (GB) 9yo 11-8 10/1 | William Kennedy Dr Richard Newland (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Durham National have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 34 placings from 178 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 8 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
Durham National Trainer Statistics
Here are the Durham National trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seamus Mullins | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.50 |
| David Thompson | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Durham National Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Durham National over the last 20 renewals is Sean Bowen, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Buachaill Alainn (2016) and The Caller (2019).
Here are the Durham National jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bowen (Fairlawn Flyer) | 8-2-4 | +6.50 | +4.33 |
| James Best (Tommie Beau) | 1-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.50 |
2025 Durham National Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, (1, PU), (1, PU), PU, 5, 2, 3, PU, 2, 1, 6, 3, 1, 3, 4, 7, 1, 2, 3, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Off a break of 5 - 53 days
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Ran in 14 - 40 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 4 - 15 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/GF (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 1 - 8 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No more than 2 falls (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not BB/BR/GR in colour
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 69+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 22/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Won within last 9 starts
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 115+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Not fallen (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Sedgefield racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Durham National. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Durham National by adding a tip on the race here.
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Durham National Trend Shortlist
Sedgefield will host the 2025 renewal of the Durham National, which will be run at 4:06 pm on Sunday, 19th October 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Bagheera Ginge (11/4)
- Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
- Mr Jamie Neild (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
Others: Moodofthemoment (14/15), Fairlawn Flyer (14/15), Ivane (13/15), Bumpy Evans (13/15) and Tommie Beau (10/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (11:33 am Friday 17th October 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Durham National Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +58.50, is when runners had 0 wins in the past year.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 starts in the past 90 days, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-39.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Durham National is Chepstow; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Chepstow last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 181 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Durham National:
- Brian Boru (2 Wins)
- Kings Theatre (2 Wins)
- Oscar (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Durham National; that stallion is Presenting, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Surface To Air in 2008, winning for Chris Bealby at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Tom Messenger. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Durham National, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Durham National
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Durham National. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Jesuitique Worcester - 4th of 5 (8/1) | Bob Love King Of The Dirt Novices Chase |
| 2023 - Tommie Beau Newton Abbot - 4th of 7 (6/1) | Weatherbys Handicap Chase |
| 2022 - All About Joe Cartmel - 2nd of 6 (6/1) | Molson Coors Cavendish Cup Handicap Chase |
| 2021 - Hewick Gowran Park - 2nd of 8 (9/2) | Good Enuf 2 Eat Caterers At Gowran Park Handicap Hurdle |
| 2020 - Red Giant Perth - 7th of 8 (14/1) | Weatherbys Racing Bank David Whitaker Handicap Chase |
| 2019 - The Caller Newton Abbot - 3rd of 8 (5/1) | Devondale Electrical Handicap Chase |
| 2018 - Brian Boranha Perth - 3rd of 7 (12/1) | Prestige Venues And Events Handicap Chase |
| 2017 - Audacious Plan Huntingdon - 1st of 8 (6/4) | 32Red Casino Handicap Hurdle |
| 2016 - Buachaill Alainn Chepstow - 5th of 16 (16/1) | toteexacta Handicap Chase |
| 2015 - Royale Knight Fontwell - 7th of 7 (7/1) | James Todd Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Durham National Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
