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Bookmakers Closing Accounts: Why They've Got it Wrong

Bookmakers Closing Accounts: Why They've Got it Wrong

If you're reading this, it may be because you've gone through theexperience of having one, or more, accounts closed by the majorbookmakers. It's becoming a more common-place occurrence and is nolonger reserved for the ultra-shrewd, big-playing gambler. It'shappening to punters
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Keeping your own Match Ratings to Predict Results

Keeping your own Match Ratings to Predict Results

Keeping your own Match Ratings and using them to PredictResultsIntroductionI've been keeping records of my own match ratings for each PremierLeague game this season. It's something I've been meaning to do fora while and something I know that plenty of
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Bookmaker Offers And Concessions - Scavenging For A Profit

Bookmaker Offers And Concessions - Scavenging For A Profit

I would like to start this blog with a story that many readers willfind unbelievable, but is the absolute truth.In November 2000, a work colleague and I started to visit a newlyopened independent bookmaker's premises, which was convenientlyclose to our
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UNDERPERFORMING OVERPERFORMERS.

UNDERPERFORMING OVERPERFORMERS.

MIRROR MIRROR ON THE FLOOR.Somewhere at some time long ago, somebody shattered a mirror,following this they experienced a boatload of nasty things foraround 7 years, and then they had a change of fortune. In aperfectly understandable need to understand what
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JOIN OUR CLUB.

JOIN OUR CLUB.

JOIN OUR CLUB.Do you know that there are systems and software out there thatcould have predicted that 4/7 winner ? This is the kind ofinformation that is surely worth a big subscription every month, Imean nearly a half point profit
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The ‘Team To Score’ Acca; New Favourite Bet Type

The ‘Team To Score’ Acca; New Favourite Bet Type

‘Team To Score' Multiples; My New Favourite Bet TypeOver the last few weeks I have been trialling a new, or at leastnew to me, betting strategy. It goes like this; I choose no fewerthan 8 teams to simply score a
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Bookmakers place odds are worse than I thought.

Bookmakers place odds are worse than I thought.

For the purpose of this blog, it will be assumed in all cases that odds accurately reflect each horse's chance of winning. The same odds will then be used to estimate the place odds as accurately as possible.
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Betting Traps - Survivorship Bias

Betting Traps - Survivorship Bias

In an obscure B-Side to one of their earlysingles, the band Oasis asked listeners, “Do You Wanna Be ASpaceman?” Probably by the time of life they were listening to thissong, most people would have given up any childhood hopes ofbecoming
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Converting Odds To Probability

Converting Odds To Probability

I'm a maths geek. I really like probability. So when I make a betalways like to compare the probability of the result I am bettingon to the odds from the bookies. It is not for everyone but itgives a good
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Why Fiddling with Markets can be your downfall

Why Fiddling with Markets can be your downfall

Why Fiddling With Markets Can Be Your DownfallWe all like bigger odds on our bets but quite often we pay theprice for seeking out those odds and betting on ‘fiddly' markets.So much of making profit in football betting is about
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