6:12 Ballinrobe Tips

The model I run suggests Sunny South West can win this one. Sunny South West lines up here with a comparably high RPR but is not overly penalized for it in the weights. Steps out carrying a small amount more than the other runners in this smaller 6 horse field, but comes here with great form figures and looks to make it 3 wins on the spin. The model has issued a 'very low' stake indicator which has been driven by the poor value on offer with these already short odds. This translates to a 0.5pt bet on a scale of 0-4.

Gavin Cromwell trained 6yo I Am Mimi improved on maiden hurdle form to win on handicap hurdle debut 56 days ago here at Ballinrobe. It was a convincing effort, going easily 2 out, and going away at the finish. This is only a little classier in grade. Keith Donoghue returns for the ride. Contender.

Spy has placed twice from four runs at this distance and won previously on similar ground, though just once from 21 starts. Trainer Charles Byrnes won this race last year and sends this consistent hurdler off on a fair mark of 112. He was slowly away and held on the flat here last time but had run well over hurdles beforehand, so giving him some leeway here. With Philip Byrnes taking the ride and the yard often targets races like this, he looks like one for a 2-place shout here if the pace is decent today.