Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Geoffrey Esper favourite to win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest after finishing in second place last year
- 16-time champion Joey Chestnut was banned from the event last month in dramatic fashion
- Miki Sudo is once again favourite to win the Women's Championship
Geoffrey Esper favourite to win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest after finishing in second place last year
Betting remains open on this year's Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest with the big show as always taking place on 4 July and we have a brand new favourite in the betting odds for the event.
Geoffrey Esper is evens to win the 2024 Hot Dog Eating Contest following the dramatic banning of 16-time champion Joey Chestnut, who was originally the 1/50 favourite to win yet again.
Chestnut's ban has blown the market wide open with last year's runner-up Esper now the evens favourite to win with Bet365 who has James Webb just behind him in the market.
UK Betting Sites are offering odds on both the men's and women's events this year with both taking place on July 4 and it's Esper who has a 50% chance of winning the male event according to the odds.
| Nathan's Mens Hot Dog Eating Contest Winner 2024 | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Esper | 1/1 | 50.0% |
| James Webb | 9/5 | 35.7% |
| Nick Wehry | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Bartley Weaver | 13/2 | 13.3% |
What the expert says..
16-time champion Joey Chestnut was banned from the event last month in dramatic fashion
Joey Chestnut was well ready to make it 17 wins at Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest this summer before he was dramatically banned last month.
Major League Eating announced last month that Chestnut wouldnot be allowed to participate this year saying, "We are devastated to learn that Joey Chestnut has chosen to represent a rival brand that sells plant-based hot dogs rather than competing in the 2024 Nathan's Famous Fourth of July Hot Dog Eating Contest."
That ban is due to the deal that Chestnut has with Impossible Foods, who are a plant-based brand that are a rival to Nathan's.
Netflix announced that Chestnut will face off against old rival Takeru Kobayashi in a live Hot Dog eating event on their platform on September 2.
Miki Sudo is once again favourite to win the Women's Championship
Miki Sudo has held a similar dominance to Chestnut in the Women's only Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest with a total of 8 titles won in the 10 years she has competed.
Sudo is the massive favourite to win once again this year with her odds currently sitting at 1/20 to win the event ahead of Mayoi Ebihara.
The American competitive eater won by 6 Dogs in last year's event and has the women's record in the event with a total of 48.5 dogs eaten back in 2020.
| Nathan's Women's Hot Dog Eating Contest Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Miki Sudo | 1/20 | 95.2% |
| Mayoi Ebihara | 15/2 | 11.8% |
| Michelle Lesco | 25/1 | 3.8% |
