Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Real Madrid and Brazil forward Vinícius Júnior is now 11/10 favourite to win this year's Ballon d'Or
- Former favourite Jude Bellingham drifts out to second favourite in the market
- Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last October after winning the World Cup
Real Madrid and Brazil forward Vinícius Júnior is now 11/10 favourite to win this year's Ballon d'Or
Betting remains available on who will win the 2024 Ballon d'Or with Real Madrid and Brazil forward Vinícius Júnior the new favourite with UK Betting Sites to win the famous award.
Vinícius Júnior is now 11/10 to win the Ballon d'Or after another successful season at Real saw him win La Liga for the third time in his career.
Saturday sees Real Madrid face Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League Final at Wembley with a win in this game as well as a good performance expected to see Vinicius Jr's odds shorten further.
It's fair to say that the Ballon d'Or market is Real Madrid dominated, with the top three contenders in Bet365's betting market all playing for the Spanish giants.
| Ballon d'Or 2024 Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Vinícius Júnior | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| Jude Bellingham | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Toni Kroos | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Harry Kane | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Kylian Mbappe | 8/1 | 11.1% |
What the expert says...
Former favourite Jude Bellingham drifts out to second favourite in the market
Back in April it was Jude Bellingham who was the favourite to win the Ballon d'Or with Vini Jr not even featuring in the top five of the betting market.
Fast forward a month later though and Bellingham has now drifted out to second favourite in the betting market at 3/1 to win the award.
Bellingham though could see his odds shorten once more with a massive performance in the Champions League Final as well as a big summer at Euro 2024.
Ballon d'Or Betting Odds and History Of Winners
Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last October after winning the World Cup
Lionel Messi won the Ballon d'Or last year following a triumphant World Cup victory at the end of 2022, despite significant support for Erling Haaland from fans and pundits.
After winning the World Cup, Messi left PSG to join Inter Miami in the MLS where his move to America has been a success.
Messi's latest Ballon d'Or win was his eighth in an era largely dominated by him and Cristiano Ronaldo with the pair winning 13 of the last 15 Ballon d'Or awards.
The only other players to win the award during this period were Karim Benzema in 2022 and Luka Modric in 2018 with Kaka being the last player to win before their dominance, winning in 2007.
Football Expert Author Contribution
Jake Ashton
Senior News Editor
