Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Ousmane Dembele is now 2/1 favourite for the 2025 Ballon d’Or following PSG’s semi-final victory over Arsenal.
- Inter Milan eliminated Barcelona, dealing a blow to former favourite Lamine Yamal’s chances.
- bet365 offer updated odds as the Champions League Final looms large.
Champions League Results Shake Up Ballon d’Or Race
With the Champions League final now set, PSG vs Inter Milan, the race for the 2025 Ballon d'Or has taken a dramatic turn.
Following a stunning PSG performance to knock out Arsenal and Inter Milan’s dramatic win against Barcelona, Ousmane Dembele has leapfrogged the field to become the 2/1 favourite with Bet365.
His match-winning performances for PSG this season have placed him firmly in pole position to claim football’s top individual honour, especially with the spotlight now on the Champions League Final as the defining event of the season.
The market with UK Betting Sites has seen Gianluigi Donnarumma be a massive mover in recent weeks too with the PSG goalkeeper tumbling down to 5/1 third favourite.
| 2025 Ballon d'Or Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ousmane Dembele | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Lamine Yamal | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Raphinha | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Lautaro Martinez | 7/1 | 12.5% |
What the expert says...
What Happened to Lamine Yamal?
Just two weeks ago, Barcelona wonderkid Lamine Yamal was the 6/4 market leader following his sensational semi-final first-leg performance.
But after Barça’s second-leg defeat to Inter, the 17-year-old’s chances have taken a significant hit, drifting out to 7/2.
While his season has been extraordinary, missing out on a Champions League final could cost him the crown.
Can a Goalkeeper or Striker Steal It?
If PSG win the final, don’t rule out Gianluigi Donnarumma (5/1).
The Italian shot-stopper has been in incredible form during the knockout rounds and a match-winning performance in the final could see him join a rare class of Ballon d’Or-winning keepers with Lev Yashin the only one.
On the other side, Lautaro Martinez (7/1) leads the line for Inter and is a massive figure for the club.
If he delivers the decisive moment in Munich, his Ballon d’Or case will be impossible to ignore.
Ballon d'Or Betting Odds and History Of Winners
Where to Bet on the Ballon d’Or 2025
Markets are open now at leading betting sites, including bet365, with odds shifting rapidly in response to Champions League developments.
Before placing a bet, check out the latest free bets and our expert guide to the best football betting sites.
