3:45 Ffos Las Tips

Girls Night Out is a 3-year-old filly trained by Owen Burrows. She is 0-4 wins and made her handicap debut last time out when beaten 6.25 lengths over today's trip under Jim Crowley and was nearest at the finish. The winner, Star Drop, trained by the upwardly mobile James Owen (62), has since posted a career-high RPR of 84 in a Group 3 at Ascot. The runner-up, Bay Of Dreams (Tom Marquand), had won two of his previous four races, so the form looks strong for the grade. Girls Night Out is dropped 1 lb and, being a 3-year-old, receives a 12 lb allowance from her elders. She looks of significant interest and is my short-priced banker of the day under David Probert, who rides this track well with 25/106 wins in recent years, boasting a 24% win strike rate.

Recent form has damaged his price, but that only makes it better for us. Goes well with cut in the ground, and should suit him better here today. Trainer B J Lewellyn has a good record at this track and often has horses placed or better at lower grade Welsh meetings. Back in a slightly weaker field than he's used to, consistent pace should help him stay on.

The 5yo didn't do a lot wrong two weeks ago when beaten 3L. He’s facing much lower-rated rivals today. On an attractive mark judged on his form from last year. Strong jockey booking.

King's Castle is well-handicapped, 5lb below last Flat win, fitter for recent reappearance, has winning form at the trip and on the going, and could improve second run for new, capable yard.

Baikal has had a win and two 2nd places in his five flat runs this season interspersed with his hurdling career for which he had two wins back in 2023.

City Escape is in stall number 9, which is not ideal for her usual hold-up tactics. But with a strong pace, she should get the chance to settle and come late. She was 6th at Bath 24 days ago when denied a clear run, beaten about 3 lengths off 57, and now runs off 56, which looks a fair mark considering she won off 57 in May. She has a good record at this course and distance with 2 wins and a place from 4 runs, and overall has 3 wins and 5 places from 24 runs at the trip. From 57 career starts, she has 7 wins and 14 places, giving her a 12% win rate and 37% place rate. The blinkers and eye shield have worked well in the past and stay on here. She runs fine on this type of ground and stays on late when the race collapses, so a strong pace plays to her strengths. Trainer David Loughnane has a solid record in this grade, and Whelan knows how to ride her patiently. Each way chance if she gets a clean run through in the straight.

This one will be fitter for last time out run as they are dropping it down in grade with a good jockey booking/change. A good value each way bet.