5:08 Roscommon Tips

Best form of these over hurdles, having finished 3rd in the Dawn Run last year, and has the best form of these over fences, where she is likely to be a better chaser. The one to be on here.

Runcok switches to chasing after a poor run last time over hurdles. But he was highest rated over hurdles, and if he jumps well enough on his first attempt over fences, he should beat the more experienced mare Birdie Or Bust, who gained her first win last time helped by the fall of challenging Out For A Stroll two out at Killarney. She made all there over further.

The model I run suggests Encanto Bruno can win this one. Encanto Bruno lines up here with a comparably high RPR to the rest of the field but is not overly penalized for it in the weights. All runners go out with a very similar weight to carry around this 2m round trip. Encanto Bruno is one of the few showing form coming into this contest. A decent second 57 days ago and is a previous distance winner, so knows how to get the job done at this distance. The model has issued a 'low' stake indicator as a result of the small gap back to second in the race simulation. This translates to a 0.75pt bet on a scale of 0-4.