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- Reform UK now 4/11 to win the Runcorn and Helsby By-Election
- Labour's first big test under Keir Starmer on the way
- Reform UK hoping for massive win
Reform UK now 4/11 to win the Runcorn and Helsby By-Election
Another week goes by where odds are offered on the Runcorn and Helsby By-Election and Reform UK continue to shorten in the odds with UK Betting Sites to win at the polls.
Reform UK were instantly placed as favourites in the betting market for the By-Election as soon as it was announced following Mike Amesbury's suspension.
Just a fortnight ago, bookies had Reform UK as the 4/6 favourites to win in Runcorn and Helsby but they have since shortened even further into 4/11.
William Hill's latest market now gives a 73.3% implied probability of Reform UK winning here with Sarah Pochin running for the party.
Sarah Pochin, a former Cheshire East councillor, was previously a member of the Conservatives before she was expelled in 2020 after a row over mayoral nominations.
| Runcorn and Helsby By-Election Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 4/11 | 73.3% |
| Labour | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Conservatives | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Lib Dems | 50/1 | 2.0% |
| Workers Party of Britain | 50/1 | 2.0% |
Labour's first big test under Keir Starmer on the way
The upcoming By-Election in Runcorn and Helsby has been seen as many as the first big test of Keir Starmer's reign as Prime Minister.
Runcorn and Helsby is based in an area that has been dominated by the Labour party for the past 40 years and now a loss will be classed as a disaster.
The full list of candidates for Runcorn and Helsby is:
Catherine Anne Blaiklock (English Democrats)
Dan Clarke (Liberal Party)
Chris Copeman (Green Party)
Paul Duffy (Liberal Democrats)
Peter Ford (Workers Party)
Howling Laud Hope (Monster Raving Loony Party)
Sean Houlston (Conservatives)
Jason Philip Hughes (Volt UK)
Alan McKie (independent)
Graham Harry Moore (English Constitution Party)
Paul Andrew Murphy (Social Democratic Party)
Sarah Pochin (Reform)
Karen Shore (Labour)
John Stevens (Rejoin EU)
Michael Williams (independent)
Reform UK hoping for massive win
Reform leader Nigel Farage will be hoping to grab a massive win in the first big By-Election since he became leader of the party.
The party is heading to this one for the first big test in the political field since the general election last July.
May 1 will also see local and mayoral elections take place across the country in what could be a massive day for Farage's party.
