Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Manchester City are 8/13 to retain their Premier League title this season
- Arsenal and Chelsea look to be the two teams fighting it out for the final Top 4 spot
- Bournemouth favourites to be relegated this year
Manchester City are 8/13 to retain their Premier League title this season
A new Premier League season brings a wave of optimism for a whole host of teams, but it's Manchester City who are again the bookmakers favourites to win the league this year.
City have recruited well with the signings of Erling Haaland, Julian Alvarez and Kalvin Phillips and will be hoping to push on once again.
Liverpool are second favourites in the betting at 9/4 with Paddy Power to win the league, with Tottenham third favourites at 14/1.
The Reds beat City in the Community Shield last weekend and will take that victory as a massive positive going into the new season.
Arsenal and Chelsea look to be the two teams fighting it out for the final Top 4 spot
Top 4 will always be a priority for every big team in the league as it secures you Champions League football in the next season.
Manchester City and Liverpool are 1/33 and 1/16 respectively to finish in the Top 4 this season, with Tottenham third favourites in the market.
Chelsea and Arsenal are the two teams who look to have equal chances of finishing in the Top 4 and it could be a big scrap this year.
| Top 4 Finish 2022/23 | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 8/13 | 61.9% |
| Chelsea | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Arsenal | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Man United | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Newcastle | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Manchester United are going into the season in a new era under Erik ten Hag, but that hasn't boosted their Top 4 odds according to bookies.
They're 7/4 in the market with 5 teams above them so it may be a tough ask for them to get a Champions League spot this season.
Bournemouth favourites to be relegated this year
The promoted teams are usually always the favourites to go straight back down and this year is no different with Bournemouth 2/5 favourites to be relegated.
Scott Parker's side look to have a 71.4% chance of being relegated from the division this year, with Fulham and Nottingham Forest just behind them in the market.
| Relegation from Premier League 2022/23 | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 2/5 | 71.4% |
| Fulham | 5/4 | 44.4% |
| Nottingham Forest | 5/4 | 44.4% |
| Leeds | 9/4 | 30.8% |
| Southampton | 3/1 | 25.0% |
Leeds were well and truly in the relegation battle last year and this year may be no different under Jesse Marsch and with a small squad to deal with too.
The Saints also feature low down in the market and Ralph Hassenhuttl has been in and around the favourites in the managerial sack race in the last 6 months.
Further Premier League reading
Premier League Strong Season Starters
2022 Premier League Happy Fan Index
