I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Yulia Navalnaya leads the market at 6/4
- Donald Trump backed into 5/2 after Netanyahu's nomination claim
- Prize winner to be announced October 2025
2025 Nobel Peace Prize Betting Odds: Navalnaya Leads, Trump Surges After Nomination News
The betting market for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize has shifted sharply this month following Benjamin Netanyahu’s public support for Donald Trump’s nomination, with UK betting sites reacting by slashing the former U.S. President’s odds to 5/2.
Despite this momentum, it’s Yulia Navalnaya, widow of Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, who remains the 6/4 favourite to receive the prestigious global honour according to the latest odds from William Hill.
Navalnaya has continued her late husband’s advocacy for democracy and human rights in Russia and beyond, with international recognition mounting for her bravery and leadership.
| 2025 Nobel Peace Prize Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Navalnaya | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Donald Trump | 5/2 | 28.6% |
| Antonio Guterres | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| UNESCO | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Greta Thunberg | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| UNRWA / Philippe Lazzarini | 12/1 | 7.7% |
What the expert says...
Trump’s Nobel Nomination Hints Shakes Market
Netanyahu’s declaration earlier in July that he would formally nominate Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize has had an immediate effect on betting markets, with betting odds now giving the US President a 28.6% chance of winning.
While controversial, Trump’s nomination is expected to focus on his diplomatic efforts in the Israeli war against Hamas in Gaza.
The latest betting market puts the top two well clear of the rest below, with some big names featuring in the top 6 such as Greta Thunberg.
At 9/1, UN Secretary-General AntĂłnio Guterres remains a consistent contender thanks to his humanitarian and climate diplomacy work.
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Where to Bet on the Nobel Peace Prize
The Nobel Peace Prize market is available at select UK betting sites including William Hill, offering punters a chance to back the likely laureate ahead of the official announcement.
With free bets available, now is a smart time to get involved in one of the year’s most unpredictable novelty betting markets.
