Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Robert Jenrick now 6/5 favourite to become next Conservative Party leader.
- James Cleverly and Boris Johnson also feature in the top of the market.
- Farage’s April comments may have accelerated speculation around Jenrick’s leadership ambitions.
Robert Jenrick Emerges as Favourite to Replace Kemi Badenoch
The betting market for the next Conservative Party leader has shifted once again, with Robert Jenrick now leading the way at 6/5 with UK Betting Sites amid reports that Kemi Badenoch is unpopular amongst the Tories.
Jenrick, who previously served as Minister of State for Immigration, appears to be gaining momentum within the party, with rivals and political commentators tipping him as the likely successor.
Notably, Reform UK leadeer Nigel Farage publicly stated in April that Jenrick is “clearly shaping himself up” for the leadership role.
Although Jenrick lost out to Badenoch during the leadership contest last November, recent murmurs from Westminster suggest he remains a serious contender to take over should a vacancy arise.
William Hill's latest betting market gives an implied probability of 45.5% that Jenrick will be the next leader of the Conservative Party.
| Next Conservative Leader | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Jenrick | 6/5 | 45.5% |
| James Cleverly | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Boris Johnson | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Andrew Griffin | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Rupert Lowe | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Nigel Farage | 16/1 | 5.9% |
What the expert says...
Momentum Building Behind Jenrick
With the Conservative Party facing growing internal unrest and electoral pressure from Reform UK, a leadership reshuffle could be looming.
Jenrick's recent public statements on immigration and economic reform have struck a chord with the party's right wing, potentially positioning him as the unity candidate needed in a post-Badenoch era.
James Cleverly, former Home Secretary, sits second in the market at 7/2 while Boris Johnson re-enters the frame at 7/1.
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Where to Bet on Politics
Political punters looking to wager on the next Tory leader can find this market at a number of best political betting sites.
Don’t forget to take advantage of the latest new betting offers from top UK betting sites ahead of a potentially pivotal few months in Westminster.
