Next Conservative Leader Odds: Robert Jenrick 6/5 Favourite To Replace Badenoch

Robert Jenrick is now 6/5 favourite to become the next Conservative leader, with bookies reacting to growing political rumours and Nigel Farage’s April comments pointing to Jenrick’s leadership ambitions.
Next Conservative Leader Odds: Robert Jenrick 6/5 Favourite To Replace Badenoch

Credit: Tim Hammond / No10 Downing Street

Jake Ashton
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  • Robert Jenrick now 6/5 favourite to become next Conservative Party leader.
  • James Cleverly and Boris Johnson also feature in the top of the market.
  • Farage’s April comments may have accelerated speculation around Jenrick’s leadership ambitions.

Robert Jenrick Emerges as Favourite to Replace Kemi Badenoch

The betting market for the next Conservative Party leader has shifted once again, with Robert Jenrick now leading the way at 6/5 with UK Betting Sites amid reports that Kemi Badenoch is unpopular amongst the Tories.

Jenrick, who previously served as Minister of State for Immigration, appears to be gaining momentum within the party, with rivals and political commentators tipping him as the likely successor. 

Notably, Reform UK leadeer Nigel Farage publicly stated in April that Jenrick is “clearly shaping himself up” for the leadership role.

Although Jenrick lost out to Badenoch during the leadership contest last November, recent murmurs from Westminster suggest he remains a serious contender to take over should a vacancy arise.

William Hill's latest betting market gives an implied probability of 45.5% that Jenrick will be the next leader of the Conservative Party.

Next Conservative LeaderOddsProbability
Robert Jenrick6/545.5%
James Cleverly7/222.2%
Boris Johnson7/112.5%
Andrew Griffin10/19.1%
Rupert Lowe16/15.9%
Nigel Farage16/15.9%
What the expert says...
Robert Jenrick’s leadership odds shortening to 6/5 suggests a real shift in sentiment among political punters. With Kemi Badenoch's leadership increasingly under scrutiny, the Tory hierarchy may already be eyeing Jenrick as her replacement.

Jake Ashton - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Momentum Building Behind Jenrick

With the Conservative Party facing growing internal unrest and electoral pressure from Reform UK, a leadership reshuffle could be looming. 

Jenrick's recent public statements on immigration and economic reform have struck a chord with the party's right wing, potentially positioning him as the unity candidate needed in a post-Badenoch era.

James Cleverly, former Home Secretary, sits second in the market at 7/2 while Boris Johnson re-enters the frame at 7/1.

Where to Bet on Politics

Political punters looking to wager on the next Tory leader can find this market at a number of best political betting sites

Don’t forget to take advantage of the latest new betting offers from top UK betting sites ahead of a potentially pivotal few months in Westminster.

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
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Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

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