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- Jasmine Mitchell (3/1) opens as the early favourite to win Bake Off 2025.
- Hassan (7/2) and Aaron Mountford-Myles (9/2) look like strong challengers.
- Hairdresser Nadia Mercuri (11/2) is a lively outsider with flair and creativity.
Great British Bake Off 2025: Who Will Be Crowned Winner?
The nation’s favourite baking show returns tonight as a fresh batch of 12 hopefuls step into the iconic Bake Off tent.
From software engineers to hairdressers and medical students, this year’s line-up is as diverse as ever.
While the technical challenges and dreaded soggy bottoms will ultimately decide who takes home the trophy, that hasn’t stopped the speculation on who will go all the way.
Based on early profiles and backgrounds, here are the odds on this year’s Great British Bake Off winner.
Great British Bake Off 2025 Winner Odds
| Great British Bake Off 2025 Winner | Odds* | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Mitchell | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Hassan | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Aaron Mountford-Myles | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Nadia Mercuri | 11/2 | 15.4% |
| Jessika Trassel | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Iain Ross | 13/2 | 13.3% |
| Carol "Pui Man" Li | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Tom | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Nataliia Richardson | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Lesley Holloway | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Leighton Morgan | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Toby Littlewood | 16/1 | 5.9% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
Rising Stars to Watch
Jasmine Mitchell (3/1) tops the early market. At just 23, the London-based medical student is tipped to bring precision and creativity to the tent, a combination that has produced winners before.
Close behind is Hassan (7/2), a scientist from Doncaster whose analytical mind could give him an edge in technical challenges.
Aaron Mountford-Myles (9/2), a senior systems architect from Stoke-on-Trent, also draws early support thanks to his calm and methodical approach.
Meet the Bakers
| Baker | Age | Hometown | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Mountford-Myles | 38 | Stoke-on-Trent, England | Senior systems architect |
| Hassan | 30 | Doncaster, England | Analytical research & development scientist |
| Iain Ross | 29 | Belfast, Northern Ireland | Software engineer |
| Jasmine Mitchell | 23 | London, England | Medical student |
| Jessika Trassel | 32 | London, England | Service designer |
| Leighton Morgan | 59 | Surrey, England | Software delivery manager |
| Lesley Holloway | 59 | Kent, England | Hairdresser |
| Nadia Mercuri | 41 | Liverpool, England | Hairdresser |
| Nataliia Richardson | 32 | East Yorkshire, England | Office assistant |
| Carol "Pui Man" Li | 51 | Essex, England | Bridal designer |
| Toby Littlewood | 29 | Warwickshire, England | Business development executive |
| Tom | 31 | London, England | Creative entrepreneur |
Expert View
What the expert says...
Where to Bet on Bake Off
While Bake Off winner markets aren’t always available across all platforms, novelty punters can usually find prices once the series kicks off at the best entertainment betting sites.
Fans keeping a close eye on odds movements may also want to check out free bets and sign-up promotions from UK betting sites.
