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- Bookmakers think there is just a 37% chance of Sweden or Finland Joining NATO this year
- It is more likely at 63% That nothing will happen in 2022
- Sweden and Finland are only 2 of 8 Nordic/Scandanavian Countries not in NATO
In the midst of the current geo-political situation in Ukraine, there has been some speculation about NATO membership for countries within proximity who are yet to join considering the option in 2022.
Bookmakers have opened betting on the possibility of Sweden, and/or Finland making moves to join NATO in 2022.
Sweden/Finland to Join NATO Betting
Smarkets exchange have opened a market for bets to placed or paid on the potential triggering of Sweden and or Finland being invited to join NATO in 2022
| Option | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| No | 1.56 | 64.10% |
| Yes | 2.70 | 37.04% |
What's so Special about Sweden and Finland?
The pair are the only two of eight Scandanavian/Nordic countries not in the treaty, so given the geography, speculation was bound to surface as to future considerations in the current climate.
Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson last week dismissed the idea that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would drive Sweden into the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, so that is one negative vote, although Finland, who share 830 miles of border with Russia has found President Sauli Niinisto claiming Finald will be reviewing its security policy to decide whether to join NATO.
Tension is high in the area with Russia warning or retaliatory measures should membership of NATO be considered, and opinion is somewhat split in Sweden with some saying independent decisions should be plainly made while others are concerned with the timing of such decisions being inflammatory in the current climate.
