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- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms are the current favourite with Ladbrokes to win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, priced at 3/1
- Donald Trump has drifted out to 12/1, having previously traded at shorter prices, following a World Cup period that raised questions over his relationship with FIFA president Gianni Infantino
- Doctors Without Borders, Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Yulia Navalnaya round out the leading contenders in a genuinely varied field
Wide-Open Field For This Year's Prize
The race for one of the world's most prestigious honours is well underway, and bookmakers already have a detailed picture of how this year's Nobel Peace Prize market is shaping up.
Ladbrokes have priced up a field spanning humanitarian organisations, political figures and religious leaders, reflecting just how broad the conversation around this year's prize has become.
With no single dominant favourite emerging by a significant distance, this looks set to be one of the more competitive years for the award in some time.
At the top of the market, Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms currently hold the shortest price at 3/1.
The grassroots humanitarian network has drawn significant international attention for its efforts amid the ongoing crisis in Sudan, and its position at the head of the betting reflects growing recognition of humanitarian work carried out in extremely difficult circumstances.
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Trump's Odds Drift Amid World Cup Scrutiny
One of the more notable movements in this year's market concerns Donald Trump, whose price has drifted out to 12/1.
That shift has come in the wake of a World Cup tournament that raised several questions around his level of involvement, including his close relationship with FIFA president Gianni Infantino.
Reports have since emerged suggesting Trump would like to see Infantino installed as the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with Trump reportedly describing him as widely respected and possessing a genuine ability to bring people together.
Infantino is set to replace Portugal's António Guterres, who steps down from the role at the end of the year, though such an appointment would require significant international backing to succeed.
Nobel Peace Prize Odds: The Full Breakdown
| Nominee/Organisation | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Doctors Without Borders | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Pope Leo XIV | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| UNRWA | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Save the Children | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Donald Trump | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Francesca Albanese | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Political Figures Also Feature Prominently
Beyond the humanitarian organisations, several political figures also occupy places near the top of the market.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy is priced at 6/1, continuing to be a regular feature in Nobel Peace Prize conversations given the ongoing situation in Ukraine, while Yulia Navalnaya follows at 7/1.
Pope Leo XIV also features prominently at 8/1, alongside UNRWA, also priced at 8/1, reflecting the organisation's continued prominence in discussions around humanitarian relief efforts.
Where To Bet On The Nobel Peace Prize
With the announcement still some months away, this market is likely to continue shifting as global events unfold. It's worth comparing prices across a range of betting sites as the picture develops, and checking for free bets if you're new to betting on award markets like this one.
Our guide to the top political betting sites is a good starting point for comparing your options.
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