News: Politics & Current Affairs

Donald Trump leads 2025 Nobel Peace Prize odds at 13/2 after reports he helped prevent nuclear conflict between India and Pakistan. See the full market and expert analysis.

Reform UK have leapfrogged the Conservatives into second place in the betting to win the most seats at the next UK General Election, with Labour holding on as favourites.

Wes Streeting is 9/2 favourite to succeed Keir Starmer, but LabourList polls show Andy Burnham leading in grassroots support. Starmer's exit not expected soon as Labour enjoy governing power.

Robert Jenrick is now 6/5 favourite to become the next Conservative leader, with bookies reacting to growing political rumours and Nigel Farage’s April comments pointing to Jenrick’s leadership ambitions.

Elon Musk has accused Donald Trump of appearing in the Epstein files, fuelling speculation the president may not finish his second term. Bookies now go 12/5 he leaves office early.

Pope Leo XIV is the 1/1 favourite to be named Time Person of the Year 2025, with bookmakers backing his influence following his historic appointment. Trump and AI also feature in the betting.

The SNP are 1/7 favourites to win the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election, with Reform UK second in the betting. We look at the full odds, candidates, and where to bet.

The UK’s warmest-ever start to May has caused a surge in weather betting interest, with odds now 2/1 that the 40.3°C temperature record set in 2022 will fall in 2025.

Cardinal Robert Prevost has been elected as the new Pope, stunning betting markets as a 66/1 outsider. See how the Conclave unfolded and what this unexpected result means for the Church.

Betting odds suggest a 50% chance the US will enter recession in 2025, with evens offered amid rising concern. We break down the market signals, historical context, and expert warnings.