I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.
- Shortlist of 6 Announced on 14th September - Bookmakers react accordingly
- The Promise by Damon Galgut is now betting Sites favourite at 5/2
- 2020 winner Suggie Bain by Douglas Stuart was the favourite to win at this stage last year
There were 7 disappointed authors from the Booker prize betting yesterday as their chances were killed off with the final shortlist of 6 being announced.
The biggest to have been dropped being Kazuo Ishiguru's Klara and the Sun which had been Third Favourite at the shortlist 13 stage. Rachel Cusk's Second Place will not be gaining that position this year either after being dropped.
Damon Galgut's 'The Promise' remains the favourite to win at 5/2 with bookmakers, closely followed by Richard Power's highly acclaimed 'Bewilderment' at 3/1, the remainder of the odds suggest this is rather a two-horse-race
Booker Prize 2021 Betting
Betting on the Booker prize now the shortlist has been finalised will gather pace, as the authors have a tortuous wait until November 3rd to find out the winner.
| Book | Author | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Promise | Damon Galgut | 5/2 | 28.57% |
| Bewilderment | Richard Powers | 3/1 | 25.00% |
| Great Circle | Maggie Shipstead | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| No One Is Talking About This | Patricia Lockwood | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| The Fortune Men | Nadifa Mohammed | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| A Passage North | Anuk Arudpragasm | 10/1 | 9.09% |
**Probability percentage figures include bookmakers overround - odds correct at 12/9/2021
Predicting the Winner of the Booker Prize becomes a little easier at the final shortlist stage and clear favourites have emerged with Richard Powers' 'Bewilderment' second most popular with punters.
Richard Powers looking for his first with Bewilderment being his second nomination. He made the shortlist in 2018 with 'The Overstory' and is rightly considered one of the favourites in 2021.
3rd November
The Booker Prize winner is announced on the 3rd November 2021, with the winning author rewarded with a £50,000 prize
Whilst there are only 6 left in the final round of the competition, being the favourite at the head of the market in the long list counted for little in 2020, when Suggie Bain by Douglas Stuart had three favoured titles ahead in the betting odds.
That said, once the shortlist was announced, it was the clear favorite in the betting, so a glance at who is top of the probability with bookmakers after the shortlist is announced is a must!
