Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Vinicius Junior is the bookies favourite to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or award
- Real Madrid teammate Kylian Mbappe follows just behind in early betting market
- Rodri was crowned winner of the 2024 Ballon d'Or back in November
Vinicius Junior is the bookies favourite to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or award
Real Madrid superstar Vinicius Junior is the early betting favourite to win the 2025 Ballon d'Or award with UK Betting Sites already offering odds on who will be crowned winner next October.
Vini Jr was the long-time favourite for the 2024 award but subsequently lost to Rodri in October's ceremony which led to the whole of Real Madrid's entourage refusing to attend.
The latest betting market has the Brazilian forward as the 7/2 favourite to win the award in 2025 though with Paddy Power putting him at the top of the odds list.
Those odds give an implied probability of 22.2% that Vini Jr wins the award next year with a whole host of big name players featuring towards the top of the betting.
| 2025 Ballon d'Or Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Kylian Mbappe | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Lamine Yamal | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Mohamed Salah | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Erling Haaland | 7/1 | 12.5% |
What the expert says...
Real Madrid teammate Kylian Mbappe follows just behind in early betting market
Following just behind Vini Jr in the betting odds for the 2025 Ballon d'Or is his Real Madrid teammate Kylian Mbappe who sits at 9/2 in the latest market.
Mbappe's start to life at Real Madrid has been mixed to say the least with regular criticism from pundits and fans around his performances so far as Real's leading man.
Of course it's too early to call his Summer move from PSG a flop but he will need a big change in performances to be in the running for the 2025 Ballon d'Or despite being the early second favourite.
Ballon d'Or Betting Odds and History Of Winners
Rodri was crowned winner of the 2024 Ballon d'Or back in October
Despite months and months of Vinicius Junior sitting as favourite for the 2024 Ballon d'Or it was Manchester City midfielder Rodri who won the award back in October.OLBG reported on the morning of October 28 that Vini Jr had moved from 1/6 favourite out to 12/1 after various leaks that Rodri would be crowned Ballon d'Or winner at the ceremony.
These leaks were proven to be correct with Rodri confirmed as winner of the award but a season-ending knee injury for the Man City player means that he won't be in the conversations for the 2025 trophy.
