What the Premier League Would Look Like if Only 90 Minutes Was Considered

Updated: 113 Football

Discover how FIFA's added time directive has seen more minutes played and the difference added time goals would have made to the Premier League table.

What the Premier League Would Look Like if Only 90 Minutes Was Considered
Dan Tracey Data Scientist and Football Editor

Writer, analyst, podcaster, Spurs fan. Three out of four is not bad. If there is a data angle, I will find it.

Dive into the world of Premier League football where FIFA's latest added time directive has revolutionized the duration of games, leaving the traditional match length in its wake. Learn how these changes affect the standings and betting strategies, and what if league outcomes were frozen at 90 minutes. This article offers an in-depth analysis of the potential impact on your favourite teams, the league table itself, and which Betting Sites offer 90-minute betting options.

How Would the EPL look Without Added Time?

⏱️ Ever wondered how the Premier League table would look if games ended at 90 minutes? FIFA's new rules have changed the game! Find out the surprising impacts on standings and betting 🕒⚽

Bookmakers that Offer 90 Minute Betting

Betfair offer 90 minute betting markets on their sportsbook site: Check the full terms and conditions for this offer.

Current and Correct Premier League Table

Position Team P W D L GF GA GD PTS
1 Arsenal 31 22 5 4 75 24 51 71
2 Liverpool 31 21 8 2 72 30 42 71
3 Man City 31 21 7 3 71 31 40 70
4 Tottenham 31 18 6 7 65 45 20 60
5 Aston Villa 32 18 6 8 66 49 17 60
6 Man United 31 15 4 12 45 46 -1 49
7 West Ham 32 13 9 10 52 56 -4 48
8 Newcastle 31 14 5 12 65 52 13 47
9 Chelsea 30 12 8 10 55 52 3 44
Share

*Everton 8 points deducted, Nottingham Forest 4 Points Deducted

Arsenal find themselves top of the Premier League and they do so by goal difference alone. Nine goals better off than Liverpool in second and these two are both a point better off than Manchester City in third.  

No games in hand and no what ifs at present, a simple race for the title and one that this season involves three teams instead of the usual two. Who will come out on top? With a margin of error this small, I would not like to say.

At the bottom, Everton’s run in with the football laws has seen them suffer another two-point deduction but one that still sees them two points clear of Nottingham Forest and Luton in the battle to avoid 18th.

The City Ground outfit have been hit with their own four-point deduction and as a consequence, Luton find themselves in the bottom three on goal difference. With the amount of deductions now taking place, this season may end up finishing in the appeal courts.

90 Minute Premier League Table

Now that the real life Premier League table is in place, we can look at the 90 minute table and see what changes have been made. Who benefits the most from added time? Who wishes there was no concept of additional minutes? 

Position Team P W D L GF GA GD PTS
1 Man City 31 20 5 3 68 28 40 65
2 Arsenal 31 17 7 4 66 24 42 58
3 Liverpool 31 16 10 2 64 28 36 58
4 Aston Villa 32 16 5 8 62 46 16 53
5 Tottenham 31 15 6 7 58 38 20 51
6 Man United 31 13 5 10 40 38 2 44
7 Brighton 31 11 9 8 48 45 3 42
8 Newcastle 31 12 5 11 61 49 12 41
9 West Ham 32 11 8 10 47 53 -6 41
Share

*Everton 8 points deducted, Nottingham Forest 4 Points Deducted

If the Premier League had no added time attached to its 2023/24 matches, it would be Manchester City who would currently rule the roost. A massive seven points clear at the top, as Arsenal find themselves placed as their nearest challengers.

A margin this big only highlights how important injury time has been and with Arsenal being so far behind in this table compared to in real life, it does suggest that the Emirates outfit have done a lot of their heavy lifting as the seconds begin to run out.

From there the Gunners would be better off than Liverpool by virtue of goal difference and on the basis of 90 minutes alone, these two teams may have already conceded when it comes to this season’s title race.  

Premier League 2023/24 90 Minute Standings:

🔝 Manchester City leads by 7 points 🏆 Arsenal in 2nd! ⚽ Liverpool further back on a worse difference than the Gunners, Aston Villa secures Champions League spot. 🥉 Tottenham & Manchester United in top 6. Arsenal needs late goal fix! ⚽⏰ Relegation zone: Everton and Nottingham Forest are not quite clear of Luton 😬

Sitting fourth in the table would be Aston Villa and in the battle for the remaining Champions League place, they would find themselves a two points of Tottenham – positions that are the opposite of what is happening in real life.  

Rounding out the top six would be Manchester United, the Red Devils sitting two points clear of Brighton as the Seagulls round out the European places. In addition to this, Newcastle, West Ham and Wolves would all find themselves in the top 10.

At the bottom, the picture begins to get worse for Luton and although they have been assisted by the recent points deduction to Nottingham Forest, in this table they find themselves three points from safety in 18th.  

Points Difference

With two contrasting tables now in play, the next step is to see the points difference between the two and in doing this, we can see who the true profiteers of adding time are and who ends up bemoaning all this newfound added time.

Team P W D L GF GA GD PTS
Arsenal 31 5 -2 0 9 0 9 13
Liverpool 31 5 -2 0 8 2 6 13
Tottenham 31 3 0 0 7 7 0 9
Chelsea 30 2 2 -1 8 6 2 8
West Ham 32 2 1 0 5 3 2 7
Aston Villa 32 2 1 0 4 3 1 7
Newcastle 31 2 0 1 4 3 1 6
Man City 31 1 2 0 3 3 0 5
Bournemouth 31 1 2 0 5 6 -1 5
Share

While there is something to be said for leaving it late and with Arsenal earning a net profit of 13 additional points in added time and all those additional entries have fired the Gunners to the top of the Premier League table.

13 additional points for Arsenal, the same number of additional points for Liverpool and with both teams able to squeeze out every last second of the game, the race for this season’s title looks set to go down to the wire.

Four points more than Tottenham who have managed to pick up a net profit of nine points thanks to goals in added time and with them now ahead of Aston Villa in the Premier League table, they are another club that has highlighted the importance of late goals.

Spurs have gained one more point than Chelsea who with eight points are another point better off than West Ham and Aston Villa with seven points profit each. How important will these additions be in the race for European places? Only time will tell.

Now propping up this comparison table, three clubs have a net loss at present. The trio of Burnley, Sheffield United and Crystal Palace are all seemingly struggling when it comes to game management within the confines of the Premier League.

While if relegation was decided on dropped points alone, it would be Crystal Palace in the biggest mess and although they are five points clear of safety in real life, the Eagles under Oliver Glasner cannot rest on their laurels just yet.

Positional Comparison

Finally, we can add another layer of context by comparing a team’s position from the 90 minute table to the overall table and see who has benefitted the most from a positional standpoint: 

Team 90 Min Position Official Table Position Change
Chelsea 12 9 3
West Ham 9 7 2
Arsenal 2 1 1
Liverpool 3 2 1
Tottenham 5 4 1
Bournemouth 13 12 1
Everton 16 15 1
Luton 18 18 0
Man United 6 6 0
Share

When all the numbers are crunched and the positions are all realigned, we can see that seven clubs have currently profited from late goals. However, some have profited more than others and although five clubs are all one place better off, Chelsea and West Ham have done even better.

After Chelsea’s incredible win over Manchester United at Stamford Bridge, it has helped place the Blues into ninth. Were it not for goals after 90 minutes had elapsed, then Mauricio Pochettino’s men would only be 12th.

The Hammers would only find themselves in 9th position if the clock stopped on 90 minutes and with David Moyes’ men currently in the mix thanks to late goals, this additional time may prove to be a huge difference when the season comes to an end.

Seven clubs profiting, another six feeling the pinch at the other end. Brighton the worst of all and if the clocked stopped on 90, the Seagulls would be in the European positions. Instead, they currently find themselves in 10th.

While Manchester City highlighting that you must play right to the end and although they would have a monster margin at the top if there was no added time past ninety minutes, it does not count for a great deal when you consider their current standing of third.

With seven teams being unaffected at the time of writing, it perhaps suggest that every club in their own way is being affected by late goals. Just with the other nine that were just mentioned, they are getting affected in a slightly bigger way.

Methodology

One of the main takeaways from the 2022 FIFA World Cup was not necessarily Lionel Messi finally getting his hands on the one prize that had constantly eluded him until then but more the amount of additional minutes played within the confines of Qatar.

A newly added time directive from FIFA saw time-wasting quickly become a thing of the past, and with some games creeping into 100-minute territory without anything in the way of a serious injury, it certainly added a new dimension to any fixture played on the game’s biggest stage.

Although there were plenty of additional minutes to be added, the directive was largely deemed a success and if players wanted to try and kill the clock as they would in the past, they would simply see those same seconds added back on.

As always, if a directive is a success in the World Cup it will then soon trickle down to domestic competitions and at the start of the 2023/24 season, the Premier League decided to take the same stance on timewasting.

Again, this has led to a flurry of additional minutes being added to proceedings and not only are paying supporters getting more action overall but it also widening the number of minutes available for in-play betting.

Something which has created a double-edged sword for those who like a weekend wager, as although it does offer punters more time for a bet to get over the line, it also offers the same additional minutes for it all to go wrong. 

Thankfully the bookies have tried to see off this threat and offer something of a safety net when it comes to late, late goals. With new 90-minute markets in place, it means any goals in the newfound abundance of added time will not affect the outcome just seconds before.

This got us thinking, what if the Premier League was decided on results at 90 minutes? The clock stops dead and all those late twists in the tale are erased, as a consequence, the league table could have a completely different look to it.

This meant the next step was to record all this season’s Premier League results slice off all the goals post 90 minutes and see how those final scores would comprise a league table with this new criteria.

Source

https://fbref.com/en/

Data correct as of 10th April 2024

Author

Dan Tracey is deeply entrenched in the world of sports data analysis and football content creation, celebrated for his intricate understanding of the game's statistical landscape and his heartfelt enthusiasm for Tottenham Hotspur. With over eight years as the creative force behind Real Football Man, Dan has demonstrated a remarkable ability to dissect and distill complex football data into engaging content that appeals to fans and professionals alike. As a Football Content Creator, his work ranges from data analysis to podcasting, infusing industry expertise into every endeavour.

Dan Tracey

Dan Tracey

Data scientist and football editor

Dan Tracey is a multi-talented writer, data analyst and podcaster whose six-year career in the sports data sphere has seen incredible successes. From helping UEFA create their annual technical reports to writing articles for Sports Betting Websites including sites like TheLinesUS and Goal - there's no shortage of areas where his expertise shines through! In addition, he can be heard on podcasts lending an insightful voice as well as providing weekly betting angles - all culminating with him teaming up OLBG.com in the present day. Simply put: wherever you find angled data being crunched? You'll also likely find Dan not far behind!

👨‍🏫 Specialist Subjects🔬📚

Dan's specialist area is data; and lots of it! Wherever we need numbers to create our unique deep dive articles, Dan is our go-to. Dan is also a Tottenham Fan and a football commentator for Newcastle Blue Star

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Keep Reading

Exclusive Interview with Mauricio Sulamain

Updated: 61 Boxing and MMA

Exclusive Interview with Mauricio Sulamain

Mauricio Sulaimán Saldivar (born December 30, 1969) is a formidable figure in the international boxing universe, known for his significant contributions to the sport. Since 2014, Sulaimán has presided over the World Boxing Council (WBC), a coveted position that cements...

Continue Reading

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!