Over 1.5, Where can we get the best value?

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In a series of Blogs this month, I look at where the best potentialvalue football bets can be found, in which leagues around theworld.The Over 1.5 bet is now becoming more and more popular as afootball investment strategy,and certainly one

Over 1.5, Where can we get the best value?
Steve Madgwick Editor-In-Chief

Editor-In-Chief with 20 years experience covering the betting angles to breaking news stories. Daily slots player, Portsmouth fan and League Snooker Player

Best Value Betting

In a series of blogs this month, I look at where the best potential value football bets can be found, in which leagues around the world. 

When deciding on our bets we have to consider where the value is, both pre-match and on any in-running bets, we place.

Now the odds naturally change the most when betting in running, and those of you who have never bet in running before should take a read of the brilliant olbg.com article in running betting basics

That article answers all your in running questions and gives helpful advice on the pros and cons of in-running betting.  Over 1.5, Where can we get the best value?

The Over 1.5 goals bet I feature in this blog is now becoming more and more popular as a football investment strategy, and certainly one I have played and still like to play most frequently.

As with every bet we make, we have to look for value, for without it, long term profit is not possible, so here is a look at where and what odds we should be reasonably expecting to find for an Over 1.5 bet based on historical results by league.

I generally look for bets in the region from 1.30 to 1.40, but did you know based on results this season, odds on the event should be 1.08 in Holland to 1.82 in Greece?

For Example: in the Dutch Eerste Divisie, there have been 97 games in which 89 of those matches have had 2 or more goals, that's a 92% strike rate, and odds of 1.08. 

Value Betting

Every bet anyone makes has to offer value in relation to true probability.

If I could get 1.30 for each of the games in that league I would be rolling in it.

At the other end of the spectrum, we have the top flight in Greece where goals are hard to come by. 

If you are thinking of backing Over 1.50 goals here on the basis that only 35 games from 64 played have contained 2 or more goals, you would need to be playing odds of at least 1.82 for the bet,  to take 1.30 or 1.40 would be folly.

Below are top and bottom five leagues, the current stats for Over 1.5 goals and  the odds

League Games Qualify Percentage Odds
Holland Eerste 97 89 91.75% 1.08
Scottish Div 1 50 44 88% 1.13
Norwegian Div 1 224 193 86.16% 1.16
Scottish Division 2 50 43 86% 1.16
Belgium 104 89 85.57% 1.16
Serbia 80 53 66.25% 1.5
Slovenia 72 47 65.27% 1.53
Apertura 120 78 65% 1.53
Italy C1B 64 40 62.5% 1.6
Greece 64 35 54.68% 1.82

I like the bet personally, as I like football and like goals, and all we have to do is cheer on both sides and enjoy every attack

Have fun with Over 1.5 and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Make sure you always use the best online bookmaker for over 1.5 goals betting, the odds on offer can vary wildly. 

I'll collate the information and odds for Over 2.5 goals in the next blog

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