davidg3907's Betting Blog Profile

Premier League Statistics from different angles

Nov 17, 01:15 1 17186 Football

For each of the last 12 seasons, I have kept records of EPL results. One extra piece of data that I have maintained is the odds available at kick-off. To keep these as meaningful and consistent as possible, only a...

Premier League. Tissues can be more accurate than 1X2 predictions.

Nov 17, 01:16 2 4748 Football

I mention the Premier League but the same principles would apply to most leagues. Once into August, most serious football pundits and punters will have framed their shortlist of teams that could win the Premier League, finish in the top

Betting Tips and Possession Stats for Beating the Bookmakers in The Corners Market

Nov 06, 05:07 6 15066 Football

After a satisfactory season taking on the bookmakers with my cornerpredictions, betting tips, and betting blog in the Premier League,I set out on what I hoped would be a similarly successful foray atthe Euros. I accepted that there would be

Betfair Review: What is the difference between Arbitrage Betting and Trading and can I profit?

Sep 01, 03:25 1 6554 Other

What is Arbitrage Betting and can I profit?The (very) short answer to the second part is of course,yes.Simplistic as it may sound, this is because Arbitrage betting(arbing) is not actually betting (gambling) at all, because thereis no risk involved once

Bookmakers place odds are worse than I thought.

Jul 21, 12:58 4 2455 Other

For the purpose of this blog, it will be assumed in all cases thatodds accurately reflect each horse's chance of winning. The sameodds will then be used to estimate the place odds as accurately aspossible. Books will be adjusted to

LAYING Delving deeper into the dark art.

Nov 17, 12:59 13 14655 Other

LAYING. Delving deeper into the dark art.I have run a series of blogs on the subject of laying. Maybe now isthe time to dig a bit deeper into the complexities of the subjectand perhaps explode a few myths along the

Betfair Laying - Taking it further

Aug 04, 11:48 3 53835 Other

Taking Betfair laying to the next levelIt is now more than a year since I ran a series of blogs with theintention of helping those who may be thinking of starting out onthat path. When time permitted, along with a

Working for a bookie 1965 to 1972 ( part 2 )

Oct 20, 05:45 1 23489 Other

Are you suitably refreshed after reading part 1.At the time there was no racing on Good Friday , Sundays or theweek before Xmas. We could open the office to take telephone betson one Sunday a year , Arc day. By

Working for a bookie 1965 to 1972 ( part 1 )

Oct 08, 03:11 0 3410 Other

Working for a bookie in the early years.The Executioner has written an excellent blog about how the bettingindustry has evolved in the 50 years since betting shops werelegalised. Please read his blog first as this is a follow up aimedat

Risk Averse - to be or not to be

Nov 17, 02:36 2 3126 Other

How risk averse are you ?Every so often I make a very profound statement and I clearlyremember the last one in 1967 ! However , I digress and this is aserious question. Please try not to look too far ahead

Find a Yeti in the Trading Market

Nov 16, 07:09 0 2051 Other

A bit like the Holy Grail or the Yeti , I have not the slightestidea where it is - but it must be out there somewhere. What must :?The thin line between trading and ' covering bets ' or '

The Law Of Large Numbers and the Law Of Averages

Nov 17, 02:50 1 4623 Other

Everyone is familiar with the Law Of Averages and most with theproblems incorrect application can cause. However , less arefamiliar with the Law Of Large Numbers.For those fully conversant with the rightsand wrongs of the Law Of Averages , feel

Binary Betting ( Mini Spreads ) explained

Oct 09, 01:45 1 5135 Other

BINARY BETTING EXPLAINEDAs the number of ways that punters can bet increases , the numberof ways that punters can make mistakes increases. Unfortunately thelevel of sympathy from bookmakers towards punters making thoseerrors seems to be at an all time low.Anyone

Betting bots - part 2

Apr 15, 04:52 0 7568 Other

The case for a trading bot with possible in play option.There are actually two separate comparisons here. One is against astandard bot ( i.e. no in-play facility ) and the other is againstdoing it all manually on Betfair.HELP PLEASE Whilst

Do You or I need a BOT ?

Nov 18, 09:09 6 4331 Other

Is using a BOT likely to help me?IMPORTANT:- This is not a promotion of anyspecific product, even should that product be recognisable by thedescription. The purpose of this blog is to highlight what one may,or should, expect a bot to

Introduction To Laying - Final Thoughts

Nov 17, 12:53 0 2199 Other

Introduction To Laying Final ThoughtsIn this series of BLOGS it is hoped that I have covered in some waymost of the tools available and how to use some of them. A few bitsneeded to be omitted from the last BLOG

Introduction To Laying - The next stage

Nov 17, 12:56 0 4144 Other

The Next StageYou know the feeling , Santa forgot to leave batteries with yournew toy or a flat pack arrived without instructions.Over the last 3 BLOGS it is hoped that you have become familiarwith the basic concept of laying.That being

Introduction to Laying - part 3

Oct 28, 12:48 0 2498 Other

Introduction to laying - Part 3This is longer than intended but I could find no sensible place tosplit it.One market I venture into every season with reasonable success isthe Premiership Relegation market. This may be a season longinvestment if bets

Introduction to Laying - part 2

Nov 17, 12:55 0 2504 Other

Introduction to laying part 2Having hopefully grasped the basics of what laying involves , it istime to consider how best to put that information to work. However, as I mentioned in the first article , laying is a personal thingand

Introduction to Laying

Sep 28, 12:18 2 3333 Other

An Introduction To LayingSTOP ! Before progressing further....The OLBG Betting School has an article on what is meant by the term‘ laying ‘ , and covers some basic concepts with regard to theexchanges.https://www.olbg.com/school/laying_intro.phpIf a complete novice to laying , it

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