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davidg3907's blogs

Premier League Statistics from different angles

Premier League Statistics from different angles

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For each of the last 12 seasons, I have kept records of EPL results. One extra piece of data that I have maintained is the odds available at kick-off. To keep these as meaningful and consistent as possible, only a...

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Premier League. Tissues can be more accurate than 1X2 predictions.

Premier League. Tissues can be more accurate than 1X2 predictions.

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I mention the Premier League but the same principles would apply to most leagues. Once into August, most serious football pundits and punters will have framed their shortlist of teams that could win the Premier League, finish in the top

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Betting Tips and Possession Stats for Beating the Bookmakers in The Corners Market

Betting Tips and Possession Stats for Beating the Bookmakers in The Corners Market

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After a satisfactory season taking on the bookmakers with my cornerpredictions, betting tips, and betting blog in the Premier League,I set out on what I hoped would be a similarly successful foray atthe Euros. I accepted that there would be

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Betfair Review: What is the difference between Arbitrage Betting and Trading and can I profit?

Betfair Review: What is the difference between Arbitrage Betting and Trading and can I profit?

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What is Arbitrage Betting and can I profit?The (very) short answer to the second part is of course,yes.Simplistic as it may sound, this is because Arbitrage betting(arbing) is not actually betting (gambling) at all, because thereis no risk involved once

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Bookmakers place odds are worse than I thought.

Bookmakers place odds are worse than I thought.

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For the purpose of this blog, it will be assumed in all cases thatodds accurately reflect each horse's chance of winning. The sameodds will then be used to estimate the place odds as accurately aspossible. Books will be adjusted to

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LAYING Delving deeper into the dark art.

LAYING Delving deeper into the dark art.

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LAYING. Delving deeper into the dark art.I have run a series of blogs on the subject of laying. Maybe now isthe time to dig a bit deeper into the complexities of the subjectand perhaps explode a few myths along the

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Betfair Laying - Taking it further

Betfair Laying - Taking it further

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Taking Betfair laying to the next levelIt is now more than a year since I ran a series of blogs with theintention of helping those who may be thinking of starting out onthat path. When time permitted, along with a

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Working for a bookie 1965 to 1972 ( part 2 )

Working for a bookie 1965 to 1972 ( part 2 )

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Are you suitably refreshed after reading part 1.At the time there was no racing on Good Friday , Sundays or theweek before Xmas. We could open the office to take telephone betson one Sunday a year , Arc day. By

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Working for a bookie 1965 to 1972 ( part 1 )

Working for a bookie 1965 to 1972 ( part 1 )

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Working for a bookie in the early years.The Executioner has written an excellent blog about how the bettingindustry has evolved in the 50 years since betting shops werelegalised. Please read his blog first as this is a follow up aimedat

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Risk Averse - to be or not to be

Risk Averse - to be or not to be

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How risk averse are you ?Every so often I make a very profound statement and I clearlyremember the last one in 1967 ! However , I digress and this is aserious question. Please try not to look too far ahead

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Find a Yeti in the Trading Market

Find a Yeti in the Trading Market

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A bit like the Holy Grail or the Yeti , I have not the slightestidea where it is - but it must be out there somewhere. What must :?The thin line between trading and ' covering bets ' or '

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The Law Of Large Numbers and the Law Of Averages

The Law Of Large Numbers and the Law Of Averages

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Everyone is familiar with the Law Of Averages and most with theproblems incorrect application can cause. However , less arefamiliar with the Law Of Large Numbers.For those fully conversant with the rightsand wrongs of the Law Of Averages , feel

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Binary Betting ( Mini Spreads ) explained

Binary Betting ( Mini Spreads ) explained

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BINARY BETTING EXPLAINEDAs the number of ways that punters can bet increases , the numberof ways that punters can make mistakes increases. Unfortunately thelevel of sympathy from bookmakers towards punters making thoseerrors seems to be at an all time low.Anyone

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Betting bots - part 2

Betting bots - part 2

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The case for a trading bot with possible in play option.There are actually two separate comparisons here. One is against astandard bot ( i.e. no in-play facility ) and the other is againstdoing it all manually on Betfair.HELP PLEASE Whilst

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Do You or I need a BOT ?

Do You or I need a BOT ?

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Is using a BOT likely to help me?IMPORTANT:- This is not a promotion of anyspecific product, even should that product be recognisable by thedescription. The purpose of this blog is to highlight what one may,or should, expect a bot to

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Introduction To Laying - Final Thoughts

Introduction To Laying - Final Thoughts

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Introduction To Laying Final ThoughtsIn this series of BLOGS it is hoped that I have covered in some waymost of the tools available and how to use some of them. A few bitsneeded to be omitted from the last BLOG

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Introduction To Laying - The next stage

Introduction To Laying - The next stage

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The Next StageYou know the feeling , Santa forgot to leave batteries with yournew toy or a flat pack arrived without instructions.Over the last 3 BLOGS it is hoped that you have become familiarwith the basic concept of laying.That being

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Introduction to Laying - part 3

Introduction to Laying - part 3

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Introduction to laying - Part 3This is longer than intended but I could find no sensible place tosplit it.One market I venture into every season with reasonable success isthe Premiership Relegation market. This may be a season longinvestment if bets

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Introduction to Laying - part 2

Introduction to Laying - part 2

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Introduction to laying part 2Having hopefully grasped the basics of what laying involves , it istime to consider how best to put that information to work. However, as I mentioned in the first article , laying is a personal thingand

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Introduction to Laying

Introduction to Laying

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An Introduction To LayingSTOP ! Before progressing further....The OLBG Betting School has an article on what is meant by the term‘ laying ‘ , and covers some basic concepts with regard to theexchanges.https://www.olbg.com/school/laying_intro.phpIf a complete novice to laying , it

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